scholarly journals Obvious Ex Post Equilibrium

2017 ◽  
Vol 107 (5) ◽  
pp. 230-234 ◽  
Author(s):  
Shengwu Li

I propose a new solution concept, obvious ex post (OXP) equilibrium. This is a formal standard of cognitive simplicity for mechanisms, in settings with interdependent values. Under some standard assumptions, the ascending auction has an efficient OXP equilibrium. I discuss a decision theoretic foundation for OXP mechanisms.

2017 ◽  
Vol 5 (2) ◽  
pp. 132-142
Author(s):  
Arijit Sen

This paper shows that in a Spencian agency model, contract determination through alternating-offer bargaining can generate efficient outcomes. This result holds in parameter regimes in which the screening equilibrium (where the uninformed principal makes a take-it-or-leave-it offer to the agent) and the signalling equilibrium (where the informed agent makes a take-it-or-leave-it offer to the principal) both predict inefficient contracts. More generally, this paper clarifies that in negotiations under incomplete information involving interdependent values, symmetry in the bargaining protocol can limit the extent of allocation inefficiencies and can lead to ex post efficient agreements.


Author(s):  
Pasha Andreyanov ◽  
Tomasz Sadzik

Abstract In this article, we provide mechanisms for exchange economies with private information and interdependent values, which are ex post individually rational, incentive compatible, generate budget surplus, and are ex post nearly efficient, with many agents. Our framework is entirely prior-free, and we make no symmetry restrictions. The mechanisms can be implemented using a novel discriminatory conditional double auction, without knowledge of information structure or utility functions. We also show that no other mechanism satisfying the constraints can generate inefficiency of smaller order.


Author(s):  
Abbas Edalat ◽  
Samira Hossein Ghorban ◽  
Ali Ghoroghi

We employ the solution concept of ex post Nash equilibrium to predict the interaction of a finite number of agents competing in a finite number of basic games simultaneously. The competition is called a multi-game. For each agent, a specific weight, considered as private information, is allocated to each basic game representing its investment in that game and the utility of each agent for any strategy profile is the weighted sum, i.e., convex combination, of its utilities in the basic games. Multi-games can model decision making in multi-environments in a variety of circumstances, including decision making in multi-markets and decision making when there are both material and social utilities for agents as, we propose, in the Prisoner's Dilemma and the Trust Game. Given a set of pure Nash equilibria, one for each basic game in a multi-game, we construct a pure Bayesian Nash equilibrium for the multi-game. We then focus on the class of so-called uniform multi-games in which each agent is constrained to play in all games the same strategy from an action set consisting of a best response per game. Uniform multi-games are equivalent to multi-dimensional Bayesian games where the type of each agent is a finite dimensional vector with non-negative components. A notion of pure type-regularity for uniform multi-games is developed and it is shown that a multi-game that is pure type-regular on the boundary of its type space has a pure ex post Nash equilibrium which is computed in constant time with respect to the number of the types and is independent of prior probability distributions. We then develop an algorithm, linear in the number of types of the agents, which tests if a multi-game is pure type-regular on the boundary of its type space in which case it returns a pure ex post Nash equilibrium for the multi-game.


2018 ◽  
pp. 49-68 ◽  
Author(s):  
M. E. Mamonov

Our analysis documents that the existence of hidden “holes” in the capital of not yet failed banks - while creating intertemporal pressure on the actual level of capital - leads to changing of maturity of loans supplied rather than to contracting of their volume. Long-term loans decrease, whereas short-term loans rise - and, what is most remarkably, by approximately the same amounts. Standardly, the higher the maturity of loans the higher the credit risk and, thus, the more loan loss reserves (LLP) banks are forced to create, increasing the pressure on capital. Banks that already hide “holes” in the capital, but have not yet faced with license withdrawal, must possess strong incentives to shorten the maturity of supplied loans. On the one hand, it raises the turnovers of LLP and facilitates the flexibility of capital management; on the other hand, it allows increasing the speed of shifting of attracted deposits to loans to related parties in domestic or foreign jurisdictions. This enlarges the potential size of ex post revealed “hole” in the capital and, therefore, allows us to assume that not every loan might be viewed as a good for the economy: excessive short-term and insufficient long-term loans can produce the source for future losses.


2018 ◽  
Vol 1 (1) ◽  
pp. 23
Author(s):  
Tarmidzi Tarmidzi
Keyword(s):  
P Value ◽  

AbstrakPenelitian ini bertujuan untuk mengukur hubungan pola asuh orang tua terhadap psychological self concept anak usia sekolah dasar serta menganalisis psychological self concept anak usia sekolah dasar sesuai tipe pola asuh orang tuanya.  Dalam penelitian ini penulis menggunakan metode Penelitian Ex Post Facto.Sampel pada penelitian ini adalah 30 orang tua dan siswa SD Negeri 2 Kemantren Kabupaten Cirebon.  Berdasarkan hasil uji korelasi Pearson Product Moment (rppm) didapatkan nilai korelasi r = 0,301 dengan interpretasi hubungan yang rendah antara pola asuh orang tua dengan psychological self concept siswa.  Sedangkan P-Value yang didapat = 0,106 (P-Value> 0,01)  sehingga dapat disimpulkan bahwa tidak terdapat hubungan yang signifikan antara pola asuh orang tua dengan psychological self concept siswa.  Meskipun terdapat orang tua yang memiliki pola asuh otoriter, tetapi psychological self concept anaknya tetap dalam interpretasi baik. Kata kunci :     Pola Asuh Orang Tua;Psychological Self Concept


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