scholarly journals Capital Controls with International Reserve Accumulation: Can this Be Optimal?

2013 ◽  
Vol 5 (3) ◽  
pp. 229-262 ◽  
Author(s):  
Philippe Bacchetta ◽  
Kenza Benhima ◽  
Yannick Kalantzis
Keyword(s):  
Interest Rate ◽  
Central Bank ◽  
Open Economy ◽  
Capital Mobility ◽  
Capital Controls ◽  
International Capital ◽  
Asset Accumulation ◽  
International Capital Markets ◽  
Growing Economy ◽  
Domestic Interest Rate

Motivated by the Chinese experience, we analyze an economy where the central bank has access to international capital markets, but the private sector does not. The central bank is modeled as a Ramsey planner who can choose the domestic interest rate and the level of international reserves. Consumers are credit-constrained as in Woodford (1990). We find that a rapidly growing economy has a higher welfare without capital mobility. In the Chinese context, we argue that the domestic interest rate should be temporarily above the international rate and that there should be more foreign asset accumulation than in an open economy. (JEL E58, E62, F32, F41, O19, O24, P33)

Interest rate rules and equilibrium (in)determinacy in a small open economy: the role of internationally traded capital

2018 ◽  
Vol 18 (2) ◽  
Author(s):  
Wen-ya Chang ◽  
Hsueh-fang Tsai ◽  
Juin-jen Chang ◽  
Hsieh-yu Lin
Keyword(s):  
Interest Rate ◽  
Open Economy ◽  
Capital Mobility ◽  
Small Open Economy ◽  
International Capital ◽  
Interest Rate Rules ◽  
International Capital Mobility ◽  
Rate Feedback ◽  
Feedback Rule

Abstract This study develops a small-open-economy version of Benhabib, J., S. Schmitt-Grohé, and M. Uribe. 2001. “Monetary Policy and Multiple Equilibria.” American Economic Review 91: 167–186. We systematically explore the role of international capital mobility and the portfolio balance channel in terms of macroeconomic (in)stability when the government follows a commonly-adopted interest-rate feedback rule. In a one-traded-good model, the steady-state equilibrium, in general, is locally determinate; international capital mobility stabilizes the economy against business cycle fluctuations under a simple interest-rate feedback rule. In a two-good (traded and non-traded goods) model, the relationship between equilibrium (in)determinacy and the aggressiveness of interest rate rules is not monotonic, and crucially depends on households’ portfolio preferences. These results suggest that a unified interest rate rule can end up with very different consequences of macroeconomic (in)stability in an open economy from those in a closed economy.

International capital mobility and structural transformation

2018 ◽  
Vol 19 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Kyungsoo Kim ◽  
Wankeun Oh ◽  
E. Young Song
Keyword(s):  
Interest Rate ◽  
Structural Transformation ◽  
Open Economy ◽  
Capital Mobility ◽  
Technological Progress ◽  
Structural Changes ◽  
Small Open Economy ◽  
Value Added ◽  
International Capital ◽  
International Capital Mobility

Abstract This study examines the role of international capital mobility in shaping the relation between economic growth and structural transformation. We build a small open economy Ramsey model with two goods, tradables and nontradables. We show that if the long-run autarky interest rate of a small open economy is higher than the world interest rate, the employment and value-added shares of the tradables sector will rise over time. In the opposite case, the shares will fall. Because the autarky interest rate increases with the rate of technological progress, our result suggests that cross-country differences in the rate of technological progress may be a significant factor in accounting for diverse patterns of structural changes among countries.

SHOULD THE PRIVATE SECTOR PROVIDE PUBLIC CAPITAL?

2007 ◽  
Vol 11 (3) ◽  
pp. 318-346
Author(s):  
SANTANU CHATTERJEE
Keyword(s):  
Open Economy ◽  
Public Capital ◽  
Borrowing Constraints ◽  
International Capital ◽  
Standard Assumption ◽  
Production Externalities ◽  
International Capital Markets ◽  
Private Provision ◽  
Large Production ◽  
Government Provision

The choice between private and government provision of a productive public good like infrastructure (public capital) is examined in the context of an endogenously growing open economy. The accumulation of public capital need not require government provision, in contrast to the standard assumption in the literature. Even with an efficient government, the relative costs and benefits of government and private provision depend crucially on the economy's underlying structural conditions and borrowing constraints in international capital markets. Countries with limited substitution possibilities and large production externalities may benefit from governments encouraging private provision of public capital through targeted investment subsidies. By contrast, countries with flexible substitution possibilities and relatively smaller externalities may benefit either from governments directly providing public capital or from regulation of private providers. The transitional dynamics also are shown to depend on the underlying elasticity of substitution and the size of the production externality.

Business cycles in Ethiopia under alternative monetary policy rules

2019 ◽  
Vol 10 (3) ◽  
pp. 299-313
Author(s):  
Wondemhunegn Ezezew Melesse
Keyword(s):  
Monetary Policy ◽  
Interest Rate ◽  
Business Cycle ◽  
Central Bank ◽  
Capital Mobility ◽  
Developing Economies ◽  
Dsge Models ◽  
Money Growth ◽  
Content Type ◽  
Policy Shocks

Purpose The purpose of this paper is to compare business cycle fluctuations in Ethiopia under interest rate and money growth rules. Design/methodology/approach In order to achieve this objective, the author constructs a medium-scale open economy dynamic stochastic general equilibrium (DSGE) model. The model features several nominal and real distortions including habit formation in consumption, price rigidity, deviation from purchasing power parity and imperfect capital mobility. The paper also distinguishes between liquidity-constrained and Ricardian households. The model parameters are calibrated for the Ethiopian economy based on data covering the period January 2000–April 2015. Findings The main result suggests that: the model economy with money growth rule is substantially less powerful or more muted for the amplification and transmission of exogenous shocks originating from government spending programs, monetary policy, technological progress and exchange rate movements. The responses of output to fiscal policy shocks are relatively stronger under autarky which appears to confirm the findings of Ilzetzki et al. (2013) who suggest bigger multipliers in self-sufficient, closed economies. With regard to positive productivity shock, however, the model with interest rate feedback rule generates a decline in output and an increase in inflation, which are at odds with conventional empirical regularities. Research limitations/implications The major implication is that a central bank regulating some measure of monetary stocks should not expect (fear) as much expansion (contraction) in output following currency devaluation (liquidity withdrawal) as a sister central bank that relies on an interest rate feedback rule. As emphasized by Mishra et al. (2010) the necessary conditions for stronger transmission of interest-rule-based monetary policy shocks are hardly existent in emerging and developing economies targeting monetary aggregates; hence the relatively weaker responses of output and inflation in the model economy with money growth rule. Monetary policy authorities need to be cautious when using DSGE models to analyze business cycle dynamics. Quite often, DSGE models tend to mimic the proverbial “crooked house” built to every man’s advise. Whenever additional modification is made to an existing baseline model, previously established regularities break down. For instance, this paper documented negative response of output to technology shock. Such contradictions are not uncommon. For example, Furlanetto (2006) and Ramayandi (2008) have also found similarly inconsistent responses to fiscal and productivity shocks, respectively. Originality/value Using DSGE models for research and teaching purposes is not common in developing economies. To the best of the author’s knowledge, only one other Ethiopian author did apply DSGE model to study business cycle fluctuation in Ethiopia albeit under the implausible assumption of perfect capital mobility and a central bank following interest rate rule. The contribution of this paper is that it departs from these two unrealistic assumptions by allowing international risk premium as a function of the net foreign asset position of the country and by applying money growth rule which closely mimics the behavior of central banks in low-income economies such as Ethiopia.

RUFO expiration will not end Argentina debt lawsuits

2015 ◽  
Keyword(s):  
Central Bank ◽  
Capital Markets ◽  
International Capital ◽  
Content Type ◽  
International Capital Markets ◽  
Debt Markets ◽  
Growth Prospects ◽  
The Government ◽  
Severe Shortage

Significance Debt markets have failed to pressure Argentina to end the impasse with holdouts, with the government arguing that it could not offer them new terms without offering similar concessions to holders of restructured debt. With elections scheduled for October, the current government is likely to kick the problem to its successor, leaving Argentina facing continued litigation in US and UK courts. Impacts The Central Bank has effectively managed drawdowns of dollar reserves, helping the government to maintain its hard line against holdouts. While this policy persists, the country will remain locked out of international capital markets. The severe shortage of dollars will continue, and will continue to dampen growth prospects until resolved.

Capital Mobility, Consumption Substitutability and the Effects of Monetary Policy in Open Economies

2005 ◽  
Vol 6 (1) ◽  
pp. 79-94 ◽  
Author(s):  
Christian Pierdzioch
Keyword(s):  
Monetary Policy ◽  
General Equilibrium ◽  
Open Economy ◽  
Capital Mobility ◽  
International Capital ◽  
International Capital Mobility ◽  
Short Run ◽  
Cross Country ◽  
Optimizing Model ◽  
The Impact

Abstract I use a dynamic general equilibrium two-country optimizing model to analyze the implications of international capital mobility for the short-run effects of monetary policy in an open economy. The model implies that the substitutability of goods produced in different countries plays a central role for the impact of changes in the degree of international capital mobility on the effects of monetary policy. Paralleling the results of the traditional Mundell-Fleming model, a higher degree of international capital mobility magnifies the short-run output effects of monetary policy only if the Marshall-Lerner condition, which is linked to the cross-country substitutability of goods, holds.

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