Comment on the Climate Station of the University of Hohenheim: Analysis of Air Temperature and Precipitation Time Series since 1878

2007 ◽  
Vol 18 (6) ◽  
pp. 797-800
Author(s):  
By Hans Erren
2013 ◽  
Vol 17 (5) ◽  
pp. 1383-1388
Author(s):  
Ya-Nan Guo ◽  
Xiao-Hua Yang ◽  
Xiao-Juan Chen ◽  
Ying Mei ◽  
Chong-Li Di

Air temperature and precipitation variation trends of the upstream of Lancang river using the time series from 1957 to 2011 are evaluated. The Mann-Kendall method is applied to study the trend and climatic jump of the air temperature and precipitation time series. It shows that the temperature has an obvious uptrend with an increase of 0.023?C per year. The annual precipitation of the upstream of Lancang river is 954.96 mm without any change, however, the precipitation is gradually increased from upstream to downstream. This paper is significant for understanding the climate change over the years, and it has practical significance for water resources allocation and management in the future.


2015 ◽  
Vol 19 (6) ◽  
pp. 2717-2736 ◽  
Author(s):  
A. Kuentz ◽  
T. Mathevet ◽  
J. Gailhard ◽  
B. Hingray

Abstract. Efforts to improve the understanding of past climatic or hydrologic variability have received a great deal of attention in various fields of geosciences such as glaciology, dendrochronology, sedimentology and hydrology. Based on different proxies, each research community produces different kinds of climatic or hydrologic reanalyses at different spatio-temporal scales and resolutions. When considering climate or hydrology, many studies have been devoted to characterising variability, trends or breaks using observed time series representing different regions or climates of the world. However, in hydrology, these studies have usually been limited to short temporal scales (mainly a few decades and more rarely a century) because they require observed time series (which suffer from a limited spatio-temporal density). This paper introduces ANATEM, a method that combines local observations and large-scale climatic information (such as the 20CR Reanalysis) to build long-term probabilistic air temperature and precipitation time series with a high spatio-temporal resolution (1 day and a few km2). ANATEM was tested on the reconstruction of air temperature and precipitation time series of 22 watersheds situated in the Durance River basin, in the French Alps. Based on a multi-criteria and multi-scale diagnosis, the results show that ANATEM improves the performance of classical statistical models – especially concerning spatial homogeneity – while providing an original representation of uncertainties which are conditioned by atmospheric circulation patterns. The ANATEM model has been also evaluated for the regional scale against independent long-term time series and was able to capture regional low-frequency variability over more than a century (1883–2010).


2015 ◽  
Vol 12 (1) ◽  
pp. 311-361 ◽  
Author(s):  
A. Kuentz ◽  
T. Mathevet ◽  
J. Gailhard ◽  
B. Hingray

Abstract. Improving the understanding of past climatic or hydrologic variability has received a large attention in different fields of geosciences, such as glaciology, dendrochronology, sedimentology or hydrology. Based on different proxies, each research community produces different kind of climatic or hydrologic reanalyses, at different spatio-temporal scales and resolution. When considering climate or hydrology, numerous studies aim at characterising variability, trends or breaks using observed time-series of different regions or climate of world. However, in hydrology, these studies are usually limited to reduced temporal scale (mainly few decades, seldomly a century) because they are limited to observed time-series, that suffers from a limited spatio-temporal density. This paper introduces a new model, ANATEM, based on a combination of local observations and large scale climatic informations (such as 20CR Reanalysis). This model allow to build long-term air temperature and precipitation time-series, with a high spatio-temporal resolution (daily time-step, few km2). ANATEM was tested on the air temperature and precipitation time-series of 22 watersheds situated on the Durance watershed, in the french Alps. Based on a multi-criteria and multi-scale diagnostic, the results show that ANATEM improves the performances of classical statistical models. ANATEM model have been validated on a regional level, improving spatial homogeneity of performances and on independent long-term time-series, being able to capture the regional low-frequency variabilities over more than a century (1883–2010).


2009 ◽  
Vol 1 (1) ◽  
pp. 77-90 ◽  
Author(s):  
Marian Melo ◽  
Milan Lapin ◽  
Ingrid Damborska

Abstract In this paper methods of climate-change scenario projection in Slovakia for the 21st century are outlined. Temperature and precipitation time series of the Hurbanovo Observatory in 1871-2007 (Slovak Hydrometeorological Institute) and data from four global GCMs (GISS 1998, CGCM1, CGCM2, HadCM3) are utilized for the design of climate change scenarios. Selected results of different climate change scenarios (based on different methods) for the region of Slovakia (up to 2100) are presented. The increase in annual mean temperature is about 3°C, though the results are ambiguous in the case of precipitation. These scenarios are required by users in impact studies, mainly from the hydrology, agriculture and forestry sectors.


2016 ◽  
Vol 18 ◽  
Author(s):  
Roberto Luís da Silva Carvalho ◽  
Bruno Irineu Silva do Nascimento ◽  
Carlos Alexandre Santos Querino ◽  
Marcelo José Gama da Silva ◽  
Angel Ramon Sanchez Delgado

Variáveis meteorológicas são extremamente importantes para o entendimento do clima de uma determinada região, pois com o estudo delas é possível, por exemplo, mapear os riscos de eventos extremos climáticos ou identificar melhores épocas de plantio. Neste sentido, o objetivo do presente trabalho é analisar as séries temporais referentes à temperatura do ar, umidade relativa e precipitação pluviométrica, no município de Ariquemes (RO), verificando os aspectos de sazonalidade e/ou tendência. Foram utilizados os dados disponibilizados pelo Instituto Nacional de Meteorologia – INMET e registrados pela estação Meteorológica Automática de Ariquemes/RO, no período de dezembro de 2010 até fevereiro de 2014. Os dados foram tratados e posteriormente analisados por softwares apropriados para a tabulação e análise estatística. Inicialmente, foi realizada uma análise exploratória de dados para identificar os valores médios observados, bem como os valores de máximo e mínimo para o período. A seguir, foram ajustados modelos individuais sazonais autoregressivos integrados de médias móveis – SARIMA para as séries temporais. Dentre os resultados, foi possível identificar os padrões existentes nas séries temporais que ajudarão a compreender a climatologia da região. Constatou-se ainda, que o modelo SARIMA é apropriado para o trabalho com as séries temporais de temperatura e umidade relativa do ar, não observando a mesma eficiência para a precipitação.


2015 ◽  
Vol 7 (5) ◽  
pp. 798
Author(s):  
Roberta Everllyn Pereira Ribeiro ◽  
Pâmela Ribeiro Ávila ◽  
José Ivaldo Brito ◽  
Elder Guedes Santos ◽  
Leandro Fontes Sousa

RESUMO Este trabalho tem por objetivo fornecer um breve conhecimento das análises climatológicas da temperatura e precipitação do município de Tucuruí-PA. Abordando pontos como a tendência anual da temperatura e precipitação, e a correlação entre as oscilações interanual e interdecadal dos oceanos atlântico e pacifico sobre a precipitação sazonal de Tucuruí a partir de uma serie de mais de 40 anos de dados. Os resultados mostraram que as menores temperaturas médias do ar ocorrem em fevereiro, as temperaturas médias do ar mais elevadas ocorreram no mês de outubro, a temperatura máxima do ar aumenta continuamente de fevereiro a outubro, decrescendo em novembro. Quando se fala na análise da tendência observou-se que apenas as series de temperaturas médias e mínimas apresentaram uma tendência positiva significativa. Há correlação com significância estatística apenas entre a precipitação das estações outono, inverno e primavera com o índice ODP. Observou-se uma dependência oscilatória entre as chuvas de verão e a OMA; uma dependência quadrática das chuvas de verão e ODP; correlação negativa entre as chuvas de outono e o IME; e correlação negativa entre as chuvas de outono e de inverno com a ODP.      ABSTRACT  This work aims to provide a brief knowledge of the climatological analyzes of temperature and precipitation in the municipality of Tucuruí-PA. Addressing points such as the annual trend of temperature and precipitation, and the correlation between the interannual and interdecadal oscillations of the Atlantic and Pacific oceans on seasonal rainfall Tucuruí from a series of more than 40 years of data. The results showed that the lowest average temperatures occur in February, the average temperatures of the air were higher in October, the maximum air temperature increases continuously from February to October, decreasing in November. When referring to the trend analysis revealed that only the series of medium and minimum temperatures showed a significant positive trend. There are only statistically significant correlation between rainfall seasons of autumn, winter and spring with the ODP. Observed oscillatory dependence between summer rainfall and OMA; a quadratic dependence of summer rains and ODP; negative correlation between the autumn rains and the IME; and negative correlation between the rains of autumn and winter with the ODP. Keywords: temperature, precipitation, interannual oscillations    


2008 ◽  
Vol 13 (1) ◽  
pp. 89-103
Author(s):  
Elwira Żmudzka

Abstract Analysis of time series was performed of cloudiness, air temperature and precipitation for the years 1951–2000, the data used representing lowland Poland. The properties of the temporal course of these elements of climate and the interrelations between their variability in time have been determined. The strength of dependence of precipitation and temperature upon the magnitude of cloudiness in the annual cycle has been assessed with the linear correlation coefficient. The essential climate-forming role of cloudiness has been confirmed. The magnitude of cloudiness over Poland explains up to 70% of variability of temperature and precipitation. These interrelations are the strongest in the warmer half of the year. Atmospheric circulation and cloudiness explain up to 85% of variability of the climate elements studied.


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