scholarly journals Novel Ordered Stepped-Wedge Cluster Trial Designs for Detecting Ebola Vaccine Efficacy Using a Spatially Structured Mathematical Model

2016 ◽  
Vol 10 (8) ◽  
pp. e0004866 ◽  
Author(s):  
Ibrahim Diakite ◽  
Eric Q. Mooring ◽  
Gustavo E. Velásquez ◽  
Megan B. Murray
2014 ◽  
Vol 9 (2) ◽  
pp. e84-e90 ◽  
Author(s):  
Timothy J. Schultz ◽  
Alison L. Kitson ◽  
Stijn Soenen ◽  
Leslye Long ◽  
Alison Shanks ◽  
...  

Trials ◽  
2018 ◽  
Vol 19 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Erik Lundström ◽  
Eva Isaksson ◽  
Per Wester ◽  
Ann-Charlotte Laska ◽  
Per Näsman

2021 ◽  
Vol 2021 ◽  
pp. 1-16
Author(s):  
M. L. Diagne ◽  
H. Rwezaura ◽  
S. Y. Tchoumi ◽  
J. M. Tchuenche

We formulate and theoretically analyze a mathematical model of COVID-19 transmission mechanism incorporating vital dynamics of the disease and two key therapeutic measures—vaccination of susceptible individuals and recovery/treatment of infected individuals. Both the disease-free and endemic equilibrium are globally asymptotically stable when the effective reproduction number R 0 v is, respectively, less or greater than unity. The derived critical vaccination threshold is dependent on the vaccine efficacy for disease eradication whenever R 0 v > 1 , even if vaccine coverage is high. Pontryagin’s maximum principle is applied to establish the existence of the optimal control problem and to derive the necessary conditions to optimally mitigate the spread of the disease. The model is fitted with cumulative daily Senegal data, with a basic reproduction number R 0 = 1.31 at the onset of the epidemic. Simulation results suggest that despite the effectiveness of COVID-19 vaccination and treatment to mitigate the spread of COVID-19, when R 0 v > 1 , additional efforts such as nonpharmaceutical public health interventions should continue to be implemented. Using partial rank correlation coefficients and Latin hypercube sampling, sensitivity analysis is carried out to determine the relative importance of model parameters to disease transmission. Results shown graphically could help to inform the process of prioritizing public health intervention measures to be implemented and which model parameter to focus on in order to mitigate the spread of the disease. The effective contact rate b , the vaccine efficacy ε , the vaccination rate v , the fraction of exposed individuals who develop symptoms, and, respectively, the exit rates from the exposed and the asymptomatic classes σ and ϕ are the most impactful parameters.


2020 ◽  
Vol 5 (2) ◽  
pp. 78 ◽  
Author(s):  
Meksianis Z. Ndii

The use of vaccine and Wolbachia has been proposed as strategies against dengue. Research showed that the Wolbachia intervention is highly effective in areas with low to moderate transmission levels. On the other hand, the use of vaccine is strongly effective when it is implemented on seropositive individuals and areas with high transmission levels. The question that arises is could the combination of both strategies result in higher reduction in the number of dengue cases? This paper seeks to answer the aforementioned question by the use of a mathematical model. A deterministic model in the presence of vaccine and Wolbachia has been developed and analysed. Numerical simulations were presented and public health implications were discussed. The results showed that the performance of Wolbachia in reducing the number of dengue cases is better than that of vaccination if the vaccine efficacy is low, otherwise, the use of vaccine is sufficient to reduce dengue incidence and hence the combination of Wolbachia and vaccine is not necessary.


PLoS ONE ◽  
2015 ◽  
Vol 10 (4) ◽  
pp. e0123012 ◽  
Author(s):  
Samar M. Aoun ◽  
Gunn Grande ◽  
Denise Howting ◽  
Kathleen Deas ◽  
Chris Toye ◽  
...  

2015 ◽  
Vol 29 (6) ◽  
pp. 508-517 ◽  
Author(s):  
Samar Aoun ◽  
Kathleen Deas ◽  
Chris Toye ◽  
Gail Ewing ◽  
Gunn Grande ◽  
...  

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