Regional Drought Rainfall for Selangor River Basin in Malaysia Estimated Using L-Moments

2016 ◽  
Vol 9 (6) ◽  
pp. 413-432
Author(s):  
Jer Lang Hong ◽  
Kee An Hong
2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Nadeem Tariq ◽  
Akif Rahim ◽  
Farhan Aziz ◽  
Muhammad Yousaf

<p>Drought is a complex and less understandable natural phenomenon. Historical characteristics of droughts helps to understand the dynamics of the regional drought patterns. Numerous studies have predicted that the Chitral-Kabul River Basin (CKRB) is prone poses to serious threat due to global warming. This may endanger 10 million in habitants. The aim of this study is to revisit the characteristics of droughts in Kabul watershed, shared by Pakistan and Afghanistan. The monthly Standardized Precipitation-Evapotranspiration Index (SPEI) grided data (0.5<sup>o</sup> 0.5<sup>o</sup>) generated by climate research unit (CRU)version 4 has been used for study during the period 1901–2018. The four characteristics features i.e.  Areal extend, Frequency, Duration and Severity has been studied on spatial and temporal scale. The results show that the Kabul Basin has experienced an increasing extent of severe drought between 1940 and 1960, which increased further after the year 2000. The frequency of drought events in the northern part of the basin is much higher than in the southern part of the basin. Whereas the duration of the drought shows a declining trend in the northern part of the basin. The southern and western parts of the basin experienced a growing trend in the severity drought. At the same time, the incidence of consecutive droughts in the Kabul River basin has also increased. This study suggests that dry conditions in Kabul river basin have been enhanced in recent years. Overall, this study confirms the importance of SPEI for assessing the effects of regional drought.</p><p><strong>Keywords: Drought analysis, Frequency, Severity, Duration, Kabul river basin</strong></p>


2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Saeideh Parvizi ◽  
Saeid Eslamian ◽  
Mahdi Gheysari ◽  
Alireza Gohari ◽  
Saeid Soltani Kopai

Abstract Drought is one of the natural disasters that causes a great damage to the human life and natural ecosystems. The main differences are in the gradual effect of drought over a relatively long period; impossibility of accurately determining time of the beginning and end of drought; and geographical extent of the associated effects. On the other hand, lack of a universally accepted definition of drought has added to the complexity of this phenomenon. In the last decade, due to increasing frequency of drought in Iran and reduction of water resources, its consequences have become apparent and have caused problems for planners and managers. Therefore, in this study, to investigate severity and duration of meteorological, hydrological and agricultural drought in Karkheh River basin, regional frequency analysis of standardized precipitation index ( SPI ), standardized evapotranspiration index ( SEI ), standardized runoff index ( SRI ) and standardized soil moisture index ( SSI ) was performed using L-moments. Then, using Hosking and Wallis heterogeneity test, basin was divided into four homogeneous areas. After that, based on the Z statistic of goodness-of-fit test for each distribution, the best regional distribution function for each homogeneous region was selected. The results showed that hydrological drought occurs with a very short time delay in Karkheh River Basin after the meteorological drought and two indicators show meteorological and hydrological drought conditions well. Agricultural drought occurs after meteorological and hydrological drought, respectively, and its severity and duration are less than the other indicators. Meteorological, hydrological and agricultural droughts do not occur at the same time in all of the years and in general, the SPI drought Index shows the most severe droughts compared with the other three indices.


2016 ◽  
Vol 19 (3) ◽  
pp. 426-442 ◽  
Author(s):  
Amin Abdi ◽  
Yousef Hassanzadeh ◽  
Siamak Talatahari ◽  
Ahmad Fakheri-Fard ◽  
Rasoul Mirabbasi

The parameter estimation of statistical distributions is important for regional frequency analysis (RFA). The accuracy of different parts of RFA such as estimating the regional quantiles of the selected statistical distribution, determining the heterogeneity measure, and choosing the best distribution based on the Monte Carlo simulation, may be influenced by using the different values of regional parameters. To fulfill this aim, in the present study, a new model is developed for regional drought frequency analysis. This model utilizes the L-moments approach and the adjusted charged system search as an advanced meta-heuristic algorithm, in which some modifications on the equations of the algorithm are performed to improve its standard variant. The verification of the regional parameters estimated by the new methodology yields accurate results compared to other models. Furthermore, this study illustrates the usefulness of the robust discordancy measure against the classic one. For this purpose, different values of the subset factors (α) are utilized in the robust discordancy measure, and finally, the best value of subset factor is found equal to 0.8, which can accurately recognize discordant sites within the region.


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