Imprecise probabilities based on generalised intervals for system reliability assessment

2010 ◽  
Vol 4 (4) ◽  
pp. 319 ◽  
Author(s):  
Yan Wang
2019 ◽  
Vol 9 (24) ◽  
pp. 5422 ◽  
Author(s):  
Guodong Yang ◽  
Xianzhen Huang ◽  
Yuxiong Li ◽  
Pengfei Ding

The exact statistical characteristics of some components may be unavailable because of the limited sample information in practical engineering. One challenge that system reliability analysis faces is dealing with limited sample sizes, which introduces the potential for a high level of uncertainty in the analysis results. In this paper, we propose a procedure for the reliability analysis of complex systems with a limited number of samples. Bayesian inference is used to estimate the parameter intervals of the life distributions of the components with a limited number of samples. Then, probability boxes (p-box) are constructed from the parameter intervals to represent the life distributions of the components with a limited number of samples. In addition, the theory of survival signature is applied to calculate the reliability of the system with a mixture of precise and imprecise knowledge of the life distributions of the components. Finally, two numerical examples are given to illustrate the validity of the methods.


2012 ◽  
Vol 226-228 ◽  
pp. 1679-1682
Author(s):  
Yi Song Zou ◽  
Hai Tao Hou ◽  
Wei Peng

Based on reliability theory, the application calculation method of Concrete Filled Steel Tube (CFST) arch bridge system reliability index is studied. Select the most unfavorable load distribution in working condition of maximum moment and deflection at the mid-span, from the angle of strain energy, calculated the weights of CFST arch ribs component. On the basis of the grading standards of reliability assessment of the existing bridge components and the critical structures, CFST arch bridge system reliability assessment grading standards are constructed. CFST arch bridges reliability index are evaluated from two aspects (the arch ribs and segment) in this article. As the CFST arch bridge locates in the marine environment, corrosion environment is the serious level of C5-M, steel pipe corrosion is the major diseases of CFST, arch rib which on the corrosion conditions were assessed. The results show that the method can effectively assess the situation of CFST arch bridge.


Sign in / Sign up

Export Citation Format

Share Document