Which Option Pricing Model Is the Best? HF Data for Nikkei 225 Index Options

2019 ◽  
Vol 4 (51) ◽  
pp. 18-39
Author(s):  
Kokoszczyński Ryszard ◽  
Sakowski Paweł ◽  
Ślepaczuk Robert
Keyword(s):  
Option Pricing ◽  
Implied Volatility ◽  
Model Performance ◽  
Stochastic Volatility Model ◽  
Percentage Error ◽  
Pricing Models ◽  
Index Options ◽  
Put Options ◽  
Pricing Errors ◽  
Volatility Model

Abstract In this study, we analyse the performance of option pricing models using 5-minutes transactional data for the Japanese Nikkei 225 index options. We compare 6 different option pricing models: the Black (1976) model with different assumptions about the volatility process (realized volatility with and without smoothing, historical volatility and implied volatility), the stochastic volatility model of Heston (1993) and the GARCH(1,1) model. To assess the model performance, we use median absolute percentage error based on differences between theoretical and transactional options prices. We present our results with respect to 5 classes of option moneyness, 5 classes of option time to maturity and 2 option types (calls and puts). The Black model with implied volatility (BIV) comes as the best and the GARCH(1,1) as the worst one. For both call and put options, we observe the clear relation between average pricing errors and option moneyness: high error values for deep OTM options and the best fit for deep ITM options. Pricing errors also depend on time to maturity, although this relationship depend on option moneyness. For low value options (deep OTM and OTM), we obtained lower errors for longer maturities. On the other hand, for high value options (ITM and deep ITM) pricing errors are lower for short times to maturity. We obtained similar average pricing errors for call and put options. Moreover, we do not see any advantage of much complex and time-consuming models. Additionally, we describe liquidity of the Nikkei225 option pricing market and try to compare the results we obtain here with a detailed study for Polish emerging option market (Kokoszczyński et al. 2010b).

STOCHASTIC VOLATILITY AND JUMP-DIFFUSION — IMPLICATIONS ON OPTION PRICING

1999 ◽  
Vol 02 (04) ◽  
pp. 409-440 ◽  
Author(s):  
GEORGE J. JIANG
Keyword(s):  
Option Pricing ◽  
Stochastic Volatility ◽  
Implied Volatility ◽  
Dynamic Properties ◽  
Jump Diffusion ◽  
Stochastic Volatility Model ◽  
Option Prices ◽  
Pricing Errors ◽  
Volatility Model ◽  
Random Jump

This paper conducts a thorough and detailed investigation on the implications of stochastic volatility and random jump on option prices. Both stochastic volatility and jump-diffusion processes admit asymmetric and fat-tailed distribution of asset returns and thus have similar impact on option prices compared to the Black–Scholes model. While the dynamic properties of stochastic volatility model are shown to have more impact on long-term options, the random jump is shown to have relatively larger impact on short-term near-the-money options. The misspecification risk of stochastic volatility as jump is minimal in terms of option pricing errors only when both the level of kurtosis of the underlying asset return distribution and the level of volatility persistence are low. While both asymmetric volatility and asymmetric jump can induce distortion of option pricing errors, the skewness of jump offers better explanations to empirical findings on implied volatility curves.

GENERALIZED BN–S STOCHASTIC VOLATILITY MODEL FOR OPTION PRICING

2016 ◽  
Vol 19 (02) ◽  
pp. 1650014 ◽  
Author(s):  
INDRANIL SENGUPTA
Keyword(s):  
Option Pricing ◽  
Stochastic Volatility ◽  
Gaussian Distribution ◽  
Implied Volatility ◽  
Stochastic Volatility Model ◽  
Inverse Gaussian ◽  
Martingale Measures ◽  
Structure Preserving ◽  
Volatility Model ◽  
Equivalent Martingale

In this paper, a class of generalized Barndorff-Nielsen and Shephard (BN–S) models is investigated from the viewpoint of derivative asset analysis. Incompleteness of this type of markets is studied in terms of equivalent martingale measures (EMM). Variance process is studied in details for the case of Inverse-Gaussian distribution. Various structure preserving subclasses of EMMs are derived. The model is then effectively used for pricing European style options and fitting implied volatility smiles.

Empirical performance of stochastic volatility option pricing models

2021 ◽  
pp. 2050056
Author(s):  
Przemyslaw S. Stilger ◽  
Ngoc Quynh Anh Nguyen ◽  
Tri Minh Nguyen
Keyword(s):  
Option Pricing ◽  
Stochastic Volatility ◽  
Implied Volatility ◽  
Model Performance ◽  
The Other ◽  
Heston Model ◽  
Pricing Models ◽  
Implied Volatility Surface ◽  
Empirical Performance ◽  
Volatility Surface

This paper examines the empirical performance of four stochastic volatility option pricing models: Heston, Heston[Formula: see text], Bates and Heston–Hull–White. To compare these models, we use individual stock options data from January 1996 to August 2014. The comparison is made with respect to pricing and hedging performance, implied volatility surface and risk-neutral return distribution characteristics, as well as performance across industries and time. We find that the Heston model outperforms the other models in terms of in-sample pricing, whereas Heston[Formula: see text] model outperforms the other models in terms of out-of-sample hedging. This suggests that taking jumps or stochastic interest rates into account does not improve the model performance after accounting for stochastic volatility. We also find that the model performance deteriorates during the crises as well as when the implied volatility surface is steep in the maturity or strike dimension.

scholarly journals Option Pricing under the Jump Diffusion and Multifactor Stochastic Processes

2019 ◽  
Vol 2019 ◽  
pp. 1-12 ◽  
Author(s):  
Shican Liu ◽  
Yanli Zhou ◽  
Yonghong Wu ◽  
Xiangyu Ge
Keyword(s):  
Diffusion Process ◽  
Option Pricing ◽  
Stochastic Volatility ◽  
Term Structure ◽  
Implied Volatility ◽  
Jump Diffusion ◽  
Stochastic Volatility Model ◽  
Heston Model ◽  
Volatility Model ◽  
Jump Diffusion Process

In financial markets, there exists long-observed feature of the implied volatility surface such as volatility smile and skew. Stochastic volatility models are commonly used to model this financial phenomenon more accurately compared with the conventional Black-Scholes pricing models. However, one factor stochastic volatility model is not good enough to capture the term structure phenomenon of volatility smirk. In our paper, we extend the Heston model to be a hybrid option pricing model driven by multiscale stochastic volatility and jump diffusion process. In our model the correlation effects have been taken into consideration. For the reason that the combination of multiscale volatility processes and jump diffusion process results in a high dimensional differential equation (PIDE), an efficient finite element method is proposed and the integral term arising from the jump term is absorbed to simplify the problem. The numerical results show an efficient explanation for volatility smirks when we incorporate jumps into both the stock process and the volatility process.

Empirical Performance of the Constant Elasticity Variance Option Pricing Model

2009 ◽  
Vol 12 (02) ◽  
pp. 177-217 ◽  
Author(s):  
Ren-Raw Chen ◽  
Cheng-Few Lee ◽  
Han-Hsing Lee
Keyword(s):  
Option Pricing ◽  
Stochastic Volatility ◽  
Stochastic Volatility Model ◽  
Pricing Model ◽  
Implementation Cost ◽  
Pricing Models ◽  
Cev Model ◽  
Constant Elasticity ◽  
Volatility Model ◽  
Option Pricing Model

In this essay, we empirically test the Constant–Elasticity-of-Variance (CEV) option pricing model by Cox (1975, 1996 ) and Cox and Ross (1976), and compare the performances of the CEV and alternative option pricing models, mainly the stochastic volatility model, in terms of European option pricing and cost-accuracy based analysis of their numerical procedures. In European-style option pricing, we have tested the empirical pricing performance of the CEV model and compared the results with those by Bakshi et al. (1997). The CEV model, introducing only one more parameter compared with Black-Scholes formula, improves the performance notably in all of the tests of in-sample, out-of-sample and the stability of implied volatility. Furthermore, with a much simpler model, the CEV model can still perform better than the stochastic volatility model in short term and out-of-the-money categories. When applied to American option pricing, high-dimensional lattice models are prohibitively expensive. Our numerical experiments clearly show that the CEV model performs much better in terms of the speed of convergence to its closed form solution, while the implementation cost of the stochastic volatility model is too high and practically infeasible for empirical work. In summary, with a much less implementation cost and faster computational speed, the CEV option pricing model could be a better candidate than more complex option pricing models, especially when one wants to apply the CEV process for pricing more complicated path-dependent options or credit risk models.

scholarly journals FUNCTIONAL ANALYTIC (IR-)REGULARITY PROPERTIES OF SABR-TYPE PROCESSES

2017 ◽  
Vol 20 (03) ◽  
pp. 1750013 ◽  
Author(s):  
LEIF DÖRING ◽  
BLANKA HORVATH ◽  
JOSEF TEICHMANN
Keyword(s):  
Option Pricing ◽  
Interest Rates ◽  
Heat Kernel ◽  
Kernel Methods ◽  
Implied Volatility ◽  
Stochastic Volatility Model ◽  
Continuity Properties ◽  
Regularity Properties ◽  
Volatility Model ◽  
Sabr Model

The stochastic alpha, beta, rho (SABR) model is a benchmark stochastic volatility model in interest rate markets, which has received much attention in the past decade. Its popularity arose from a tractable asymptotic expansion for implied volatility, derived by heat kernel methods. As markets moved to historically low rates, this expansion appeared to yield inconsistent prices. Since the model is deeply embedded in the markets, alternative pricing methods for SABR have been addressed in numerous approaches in recent years. All standard option pricing methods make certain regularity assumptions on the underlying model, but for SABR, these are rarely satisfied. We examine here regularity properties of the model from this perspective with a view to a number of (asymptotic and numerical) option pricing methods. In particular, we highlight delicate degeneracies of the SABR model (and related processes) at the origin, which deem the currently used popular heat kernel methods and all related methods from (sub-) Riemannian geometry ill-suited for SABR-type processes, when interest rates are near zero. We describe a more general semigroup framework, which permits to derive a suitable geometry for SABR-type processes (in certain parameter regimes) via symmetric Dirichlet forms. Furthermore, we derive regularity properties (Feller properties and strong continuity properties) necessary for the applicability of popular numerical schemes to SABR-semigroups and identify suitable Banach and Hilbert spaces for these. Finally, we comment on the short-time and large time asymptotic behavior of SABR-type processes beyond the heat-kernel framework.

scholarly journals Removing the Correlation Term in Option Pricing Heston Model: Numerical Analysis and Computing

2013 ◽  
Vol 2013 ◽  
pp. 1-11 ◽  
Author(s):  
R. Company ◽  
L. Jódar ◽  
M. Fakharany ◽  
M.-C. Casabán
Keyword(s):  
Option Pricing ◽  
Stochastic Volatility Model ◽  
Heston Model ◽  
Diffusion Reaction ◽  
Partial Differential ◽  
Linear Partial Differential Equations ◽  
Volatility Model ◽  
Classical Technique ◽  
Domain Consistency ◽  
Positive Coefficients

This paper deals with the numerical solution of option pricing stochastic volatility model described by a time-dependent, two-dimensional convection-diffusion reaction equation. Firstly, the mixed spatial derivative of the partial differential equation (PDE) is removed by means of the classical technique for reduction of second-order linear partial differential equations to canonical form. An explicit difference scheme with positive coefficients and only five-point computational stencil is constructed. The boundary conditions are adapted to the boundaries of the rhomboid transformed numerical domain. Consistency of the scheme with the PDE is shown and stepsize discretization conditions in order to guarantee stability are established. Illustrative numerical examples are included.

Option pricing under the fractional stochastic volatility model

2021 ◽  
Vol 63 ◽  
pp. 123-142
Author(s):  
Yuecai Han ◽  
Zheng Li ◽  
Chunyang Liu
Keyword(s):  
Brownian Motion ◽  
Option Pricing ◽  
Fractional Brownian Motion ◽  
Stochastic Volatility ◽  
Option Price ◽  
Stochastic Volatility Model ◽  
Option Prices ◽  
European Call Option ◽  
Volatility Model ◽  
The Impact

We investigate the European call option pricing problem under the fractional stochastic volatility model. The stochastic volatility model is driven by both fractional Brownian motion and standard Brownian motion. We obtain an analytical solution of the European option price via the Itô’s formula for fractional Brownian motion, Malliavin calculus, derivative replication and the fundamental solution method. Some numerical simulations are given to illustrate the impact of parameters on option prices, and the results of comparison with other models are presented. doi:10.1017/S1446181121000225

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