scholarly journals Long Short-Term Memory Networks for Traffic Flow Forecasting: Exploring Input Variables, Time Frames and Multi-Step Approaches

Informatica ◽  
2020 ◽  
pp. 1-27
Author(s):  
Bruno Fernandes ◽  
Fabio Silva ◽  
Hector Alaiz-Moreton ◽  
Paulo Novais ◽  
Jose Neves ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Traffic Flow ◽  
Short Term Memory ◽  
Short Term ◽  
Term Memory ◽  
Traffic Flow Forecasting ◽  
Long Short Term Memory ◽  
Input Variables ◽  
Time Frames

Long Short-Term Memory-Based Human-Driven Vehicle Longitudinal Trajectory Prediction in a Connected and Autonomous Vehicle Environment

2021 ◽  
pp. 036119812199347
Author(s):  
Lei Lin ◽  
Siyuan Gong ◽  
Srinivas Peeta ◽  
Xia Wu
Keyword(s):  
Traffic Flow ◽  
Short Term Memory ◽  
Road Traffic ◽  
Autonomous Vehicle ◽  
Trajectory Data ◽  
Road Transportation ◽  
Trajectory Prediction ◽  
Short Term ◽  
Term Memory ◽  
Long Short Term Memory

The advent of connected and autonomous vehicles (CAVs) will change driving behavior and travel environment, and provide opportunities for safer, smoother, and smarter road transportation. During the transition from the current human-driven vehicles (HDVs) to a fully CAV traffic environment, the road traffic will consist of a “mixed” traffic flow of HDVs and CAVs. Equipped with multiple sensors and vehicle-to-vehicle communications, a CAV can track surrounding HDVs and receive trajectory data of other CAVs in communication range. These trajectory data can be leveraged with recent advances in deep learning methods to potentially predict the trajectories of a target HDV. Based on these predictions, CAVs can react to circumvent or mitigate traffic flow oscillations and accidents. This study develops attention-based long short-term memory (LSTM) models for HDV longitudinal trajectory prediction in a mixed flow environment. The model and a few other LSTM variants are tested on the Next Generation Simulation US 101 dataset with different CAV market penetration rates (MPRs). Results illustrate that LSTM models that utilize historical trajectories from surrounding CAVs perform much better than those that ignore information even when the MPR is as low as 0.2. The attention-based LSTM models can provide more accurate multi-step longitudinal trajectory predictions. Further, grid-level average attention weight analysis is conducted and the CAVs with higher impact on the target HDV’s future trajectories are identified.

scholarly journals An AutoEncoder and LSTM-Based Traffic Flow Prediction Method

Sensors ◽  
2019 ◽  
Vol 19 (13) ◽  
pp. 2946 ◽  
Author(s):  
Wangyang Wei ◽  
Honghai Wu ◽  
Huadong Ma
Keyword(s):  
Traffic Flow ◽  
Prediction Accuracy ◽  
Short Term Memory ◽  
Smart Cities ◽  
Prediction Method ◽  
Short Term ◽  
Term Memory ◽  
Traffic Flow Prediction ◽  
Flow Prediction ◽  
Long Short Term Memory

Smart cities can effectively improve the quality of urban life. Intelligent Transportation System (ITS) is an important part of smart cities. The accurate and real-time prediction of traffic flow plays an important role in ITSs. To improve the prediction accuracy, we propose a novel traffic flow prediction method, called AutoEncoder Long Short-Term Memory (AE-LSTM) prediction method. In our method, the AutoEncoder is used to obtain the internal relationship of traffic flow by extracting the characteristics of upstream and downstream traffic flow data. Moreover, the Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) network utilizes the acquired characteristic data and the historical data to predict complex linear traffic flow data. The experimental results show that the AE-LSTM method had higher prediction accuracy. Specifically, the Mean Relative Error (MRE) of the AE-LSTM was reduced by 0.01 compared with the previous prediction methods. In addition, AE-LSTM method also had good stability. For different stations and different dates, the prediction error and fluctuation of the AE-LSTM method was small. Furthermore, the average MRE of AE-LSTM prediction results was 0.06 for six different days.

scholarly journals Short-Term Load Forecasting of Microgrid via Hybrid Support Vector Regression and Long Short-Term Memory Algorithms

2020 ◽  
Vol 12 (17) ◽  
pp. 7076 ◽  
Author(s):  
Arash Moradzadeh ◽  
Sahar Zakeri ◽  
Maryam Shoaran ◽  
Behnam Mohammadi-Ivatloo ◽  
Fazel Mohammadi
Keyword(s):  
Support Vector Regression ◽  
Performance Metrics ◽  
Short Term Memory ◽  
Load Forecasting ◽  
Support Vector ◽  
Short Term ◽  
Term Memory ◽  
Short Term Load Forecasting ◽  
Long Short Term Memory ◽  
Input Variables

Short-Term Load Forecasting (STLF) is the most appropriate type of forecasting for both electricity consumers and generators. In this paper, STLF in a Microgrid (MG) is performed via the hybrid applications of machine learning. The proposed model is a modified Support Vector Regression (SVR) and Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) called SVR-LSTM. In order to forecast the load, the proposed method is applied to the data related to a rural MG in Africa. Factors influencing the MG load, such as various household types and commercial entities, are selected as input variables and load profiles as target variables. Identifying the behavioral patterns of input variables as well as modeling their behavior in short-term periods of time are the major capabilities of the hybrid SVR-LSTM model. To present the efficiency of the suggested method, the conventional SVR and LSTM models are also applied to the used data. The results of the load forecasts by each network are evaluated using various statistical performance metrics. The obtained results show that the SVR-LSTM model with the highest correlation coefficient, i.e., 0.9901, is able to provide better results than SVR and LSTM, which have the values of 0.9770 and 0.9809, respectively. Finally, the results are compared with the results of other studies in this field, which continued to emphasize the superiority of the SVR-LSTM model.

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