scholarly journals Optimal unit commitment scheduling of thermal power system based on the Monte Carlo method.

1989 ◽  
Vol 109 (2) ◽  
pp. 73-80
Author(s):  
Luo-nan Chen ◽  
Jun-ichi Toyoda
2018 ◽  
Vol 38 ◽  
pp. 04010
Author(s):  
Xiaojing Hu ◽  
Qiang Li ◽  
Hao Zhang ◽  
Ziming Guo ◽  
Kun Zhao ◽  
...  

Based on the Monte Carlo method, an improved risk assessment method for hybrid AC/DC power system with VSC station considering the operation status of generators, converter stations, AC lines and DC lines is proposed. According to the sequential AC/DC power flow algorithm, node voltage and line active power are solved, and then the operation risk indices of node voltage over-limit and line active power over-limit are calculated. Finally, an improved two-area IEEE RTS-96 system is taken as a case to analyze and assessment its operation risk. The results show that the proposed model and method can intuitively and directly reflect the weak nodes and weak lines of the system, which can provide some reference for the dispatching department.


Author(s):  
D. A. Boyarkin

Increasing calculation speed of the electric power system (EPS) reliability of is one of the key issues in their operational management and long-term development planning. Analytical methods to assess the EPS reliability seem to be impossible due to large size of the problem and, as a consequence, essentially the only option for assessing is to use the Monte Carlo method. When it is used both the speed and the accuracy of calculation directly depend on the number of randomly generated system states and the complexity of their calculation in the model. Methods aimed at increasing computational efficiency can relate to two directions - reducing the states under consideration and simplifying the computational model for each state. Both options are performed provided that calculation accuracy is retained.The article presents research on using the machine learning methods and, in particular, the multi-output regression method to modernize the reliability assessment technique via the Monte Carlo method. Machine learning methods are used to determine the power deficit (realization of a random variable) for each random EPS state.The use of multi-output regression enables comprehensive determining of values of all the required variables. The experimental studies are based on the two test circuits of electric power systems: three-zone and IEEE RTS-96 with 24 zones of reliability.


2020 ◽  
Vol 15 ◽  

One of the most important challenges in fluid mechanics, gas dynamics, and hydraulic machinery fields is measuring the flow velocity with high accuracy. It is more important in large systems; such as thermal power stations, large scale power generations, and combined cycle power plants. The exact estimation of the measurement uncertainty inflow velocity is extremely important in evaluating the accuracy of the measurement. This work describes the problem of estimating measurement uncertainty when there are two or more dominant components of the uncertainty budget. . Two methods, analytical and numerical methods are used to study the comparative analysis for the results of determining the expanded uncertainty of measurement using two methods: analytical method and the numerical method. The analytical method uses the law of uncertainty propagation and is based on the estimation of uncertainty values of type A and B, while the numerical technique depends on the evaluation of measured samples by the Monte Carlo method using a random number generator. The aim of this article is to show the Monte Carlo method as an alternative way to determine the distribution of individual components of the measurement uncertainty budget. Also, the measurement of liquid flow velocity by an ultrasonic method has been analyzed, which is commonly used due to high measurement accuracy and non-invasiveness. Due to the complexity of the equation defining the measured flow velocity, determining the measurement uncertainty is not an easy task.


2020 ◽  
Vol 2020 (4) ◽  
pp. 25-32
Author(s):  
Viktor Zheltov ◽  
Viktor Chembaev

The article has considered the calculation of the unified glare rating (UGR) based on the luminance spatial-angular distribution (LSAD). The method of local estimations of the Monte Carlo method is proposed as a method for modeling LSAD. On the basis of LSAD, it becomes possible to evaluate the quality of lighting by many criteria, including the generally accepted UGR. UGR allows preliminary assessment of the level of comfort for performing a visual task in a lighting system. A new method of "pixel-by-pixel" calculation of UGR based on LSAD is proposed.


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