scholarly journals Social security reform in the US: Lessons from Hungary

2007 ◽  
Vol 57 (4) ◽  
pp. 323-341
Author(s):  
A. Simonovits

The partial privatisation of the US Social Security system was clearly the top economic policy priority for the Bush administration around 2003. While many famous economists, publicists and politicians support, others reject the partial privatisation of the Social Security system. Political opposition has defeated the Bush plan but the basic idea will resurface sooner or later. Until now, international comparisons have been quite infrequent, concentrated on few countries (Chile, Great Britain and Sweden) and left out similar reforms introduced in similar situations, like in Hungary, Poland and other excommunist countries. In an attempt to fill this gap, in this article I outline the lessons learnt from the Hungarian reform, which started in 1998. The conclusion is simple: such a reform is feasible but does not solve the problems of social security (like sustainability and equity).

2011 ◽  
Vol 2011 ◽  
pp. 1-17 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jonathan A. Schwabish

This paper undertakes a new strategy to estimate emigration rates among US immigrants by inferring the probability of emigration using longitudinal administrative earnings data. Two groups of emigrants are evaluated separately: those who emigrate from the United States and those who leave both the United States and the Social Security system. About 1.0 to 1.5 percent of the foreign-born population emigrate from the USA every year, and between about 0.8 and 1.2 percent of foreign-born workers emigrate from the Social Security system. Regression analysis suggests that immigrants with lower earnings are more likely to emigrate and that the likelihood of emigrating from the United States increases with age, but is unchanged for those leaving the US Social Security system.


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