scholarly journals Underreaction to open market share repurchases,

2019 ◽  
Vol 30 (80) ◽  
pp. 172-185 ◽  
Author(s):  
F. Henrique Castro ◽  
Claudia Yoshinaga
Keyword(s):  
Factor Model ◽  
Abnormal Returns ◽  
Open Market ◽  
Stock Repurchase ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Average Abnormal Return ◽  
Fama And French ◽  
Repurchase Announcements ◽  
Buy Back ◽  
Term Performance

ABSTRACT This article aims to investigate the long-term performance of a portfolio of firms that announced the repurchase of their own stocks in the Brazilian market from 2003 to 2014. Open market stock repurchase is a means to distribute cashflow to shareholders. Some of the reasons for a firm to buy back its own stocks are: to adjust its capital structure; to reduce excessive cash levels; as an alternative to dividends; and signaling to the market in order to reduce information asymmetry between the firm and its investors. If the signaling hypothesis is true, then forming a portfolio with shares that announce repurchases generates abnormal returns in the long run. Our results show that repurchase announcements in the open market signal stock underpricing, and abnormal returns can be earned using this strategy. Results are inconsistent with the semi-strong form of the efficient markets hypothesis, which states that one cannot earn abnormal returns with publicly available information. We obtained abnormal returns using the capital asset pricing model (CAPM) and Fama and French three-factor model. Additionally, we divided the sample in growth and value firms. We found that the average abnormal return for firms that announce repurchase programs ranges from 5.4% to 7.9% for up to a 3-year period after the announcement. For value companies (more likely to repurchase stocks due to undervaluation), abnormal returns can reach up to 11.5% per year.

The post-repurchase announcement drift: an anomaly in disguise?

2015 ◽  
Vol 41 (2) ◽  
pp. 205-224 ◽  
Author(s):  
Thanh T. Nguyen ◽  
Ninon K. Sutton ◽  
Dung (June) Pham
Keyword(s):  
Stock Price ◽  
Abnormal Returns ◽  
Open Market ◽  
Calendar Time ◽  
Stock Repurchase ◽  
Earnings Announcement ◽  
Content Type ◽  
Post Earnings Announcement Drift ◽  
Earnings Performance ◽  
Repurchase Announcements

Purpose – The purpose of this paper is to reexamine the stock price drifts after open-market stock repurchase announcements by differentiating actual repurchases from repurchase announcements and by controlling for the repurchasing firms’ earnings improvement in the announcement year relative to the prior year. Design/methodology/approach – The authors use the calendar-time method and matching method based on different criteria to calculate the post-announcement abnormal returns. Findings – The results show that only firms actually repurchasing their shares exhibit a positive post-announcement drift. More importantly, the authors find that these repurchasing firms have the same post-announcement drift as their matching firms that have similar size and earnings performance but do not repurchase. This supports the argument that the post-repurchase announcement drift found in previous studies is not a distinct anomaly but the post-earnings announcement drift in disguise. Social implications – The post-repurchase announcement drift found in previous studies is the post-earnings announcement drift in disguise. Originality/value – The study shows that because high earnings performance positively relates to real repurchase activities, controlling for earnings performance in examining whether a drift occurs after repurchase announcements.

scholarly journals An Empirical Study of the Differential Market Reaction to Open-Market Stock Repurchase Announcements

2011 ◽  
Vol 18 (4) ◽  
Author(s):  
Zhenhu Jin
Keyword(s):  
Stock Price ◽  
Market Reaction ◽  
Abnormal Returns ◽  
Open Market ◽  
Costs And Benefits ◽  
Stock Repurchase ◽  
Price Reaction ◽  
Stock Price Reaction ◽  
Specific Factors ◽  
Repurchase Announcements

<p class="MsoBodyText2" style="text-align: justify; margin: 0in 0.5in 0pt; tab-stops: .5in;"><span style="font-size: 10pt;"><span style="font-family: Times;">Significant positive stock price reaction to stock repurchase announcements has been well documented in the finance literature.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;">&nbsp; </span>Most studies on repurchase focus on the average positive reaction; however, 30 percent of the repurchasing firms experience negative abnormal returns at announcement.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;">&nbsp; </span>This study examines the apparent heterogeneity in the stock price reaction to stock repurchase.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;">&nbsp; </span>The results show that the market reaction to repurchase announcements is determined by firm specific factors and is based on the overall costs and benefits analysis by the market of the stock repurchase program.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;">&nbsp; </span>The results are consistent with conventional signaling models and agency theories.</span></span></p>

scholarly journals Market underreaction to open market share repurchases on the JSE

2014 ◽  
Vol 45 (4) ◽  
pp. 59-69 ◽  
Author(s):  
N. Wesson ◽  
C. Muller ◽  
M. Ward
Keyword(s):  
South African ◽  
Market Share ◽  
Abnormal Returns ◽  
Share Repurchases ◽  
Share Repurchase ◽  
Open Market ◽  
Repurchase Announcements ◽  
Long Term Performance ◽  
Term Performance

This study examined the long-term performance of open market share repurchase announcements made by companies listed on the JSE during their reporting periods including 1 July 1999 to 2009. A total of 195 open market share repurchase announcements were identified. A maximum outperformance of about 35% was found on day t+550 (about two years subsequent to the announcement). After splitting the sample into 'value' (low P/E ratio) and 'growth' shares (high P/E ratio), it was found that the outperformance was almost entirely confined to the value portfolio, reaching a maximum of about 80% by day t+630 (about two-and-a-halfyears subsequent to the announcement). This study applied a more robust research methodology than used in earlier South African research on this topic; it also used an improveddataset and extended the research period, compared to other research. The results of this study showed much higher positive abnormal returns than were found in earlier international and South African studies. Investors should takeadvantage of the informational value of open market repurchase announcements and the related significant abnormal returns to be earned.

The Announcement Effects of Restricted Open Market Share Repurchases: Experience from Taiwan

2004 ◽  
Vol 07 (03) ◽  
pp. 335-354 ◽  
Author(s):  
Miawjane Chen ◽  
Chao-Liang Chen ◽  
Wan-Hsiu Cheng
Keyword(s):  
Abnormal Returns ◽  
Free Cash Flow ◽  
Share Repurchase ◽  
Open Market ◽  
Announcement Effects ◽  
Significant Difference ◽  
Repurchase Announcements ◽  
Free Cash Flow Hypothesis ◽  
Managerial Choice ◽  
Signaling Hypothesis

In this paper we empirically examine the effects of 451 restricted share repurchase announcements in Taiwan. Their 3-day cumulative abnormal returns are all significantly positive for different purposes and Tobin's qs. However, there is no significant difference in abnormal returns for different repurchasing purposes. This indicates that mandating a purpose is not really an effective tool for limiting managerial choice. Moreover, when the related variables are controlled, the other empirical results we conducted indicate that, at least in Taiwan, the traditional signaling hypothesis and the free cash flow hypothesis can function simultaneously to explain the effects of the restricted repurchase announcements.

scholarly journals Seeking Negative Alphas Through Shorting

2017 ◽  
Vol 18 (6) ◽  
pp. 1488-1506
Author(s):  
Azhar Mohamad
Keyword(s):  
Factor Model ◽  
Stock Exchange ◽  
A Priori ◽  
Abnormal Returns ◽  
Market Model ◽  
Capital Asset Pricing ◽  
Short Sellers ◽  
Complete Market ◽  
Short Interest ◽  
Buy Back

Shorting involves selling stocks that one does not own. Advocates of shorting argue that it is needed to make the financial market a two-way (complete) market in which investors with bearish opinions can participate. To gain from shorting, short sellers hope to buy back the shorted stocks at a lower price. Obtaining ‘negative’ alphas or abnormal returns is thus desirable for short sellers as they imply the underperformance of the stocks and that a profit has been realized. Abnormal returns, according to Fama (1998), are anomalies that tend to disappear when reasonable changes are made to the methodology used to measure them. Diamond and Verrecchia (1987), however, theorize and argue a priori that an unusually large increase in short interest will be followed by a period of negative abnormal returns. Short interest is equal to the number of shorted shares divided by the number of shares available to be shorted. Using daily short interest data for stocks traded on the London Stock Exchange for the period of September 2003 to April 2010, we employ an event study to investigate the effects that follow shorting. Alphas and abnormal returns are measured according to the Market Model (MM), the Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM) and the Fama–French Three-factor Model (FF3F), and are estimated using different estimation windows of 60 and 120 days. In all the methodologies under study, we find significant negative alphas following shorting.

scholarly journals Impact of Open-Market Share Repurchases on Long-Term Stock Returns

SAGE Open ◽  
2016 ◽  
Vol 6 (4) ◽  
pp. 215824401667019 ◽  
Author(s):  
Mohamed Albaity ◽  
Diana Syafiza Said
Keyword(s):  
Stock Returns ◽  
Abnormal Returns ◽  
Sampling Period ◽  
Share Repurchases ◽  
Open Market ◽  
Calendar Time ◽  
Price Performance ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Portfolio Approach

After the Asian financial crisis in 1997, firms listed on Bursa Malaysia were allowed to repurchase their shares on the open market. The number of companies engaged in share buyback is increasing and has become a tool to stabilize price by signaling undervaluation of the share. However, studies on share buyback in Malaysia are limited to the price performance surrounding the buyback events. This study aims to fill this gap by examining long-run price performance after the actual share buyback event over a sampling period of 2 years from 2009 to 2010 for Malaysian firms listed on FTSE Bursa Malaysia. There is no evidence to conclude that there exist long-term abnormal returns using the calendar-time portfolio approach that support the inefficient market hypothesis. On the contrary, buy-and-hold method was found to be significant supporting that the Malaysian stock market is semi-strong efficient.

scholarly journals The long-run performance of US firms pursuing IPOs in foreign markets

2018 ◽  
Vol 17 (1) ◽  
pp. 58-77 ◽  
Author(s):  
Robert Killins ◽  
Peter V. Egly
Keyword(s):  
Capital Markets ◽  
Abnormal Returns ◽  
Listed Companies ◽  
Foreign Markets ◽  
Content Type ◽  
Long Run ◽  
The Us ◽  
Long Term Performance ◽  
Term Performance

Purpose The purpose of this paper is to investigate the long-run performance of a unique set of US domiciled firms that have bypassed the US capital markets in pursuit of their initial public offering (IPO) overseas. Additionally, this paper then tests the popular underwriter prestige impact and the window of opportunity hypothesis on this unique subset of IPOs. Design/methodology/approach Using a sample of foreign and purely domestic IPOs made by US firms from 2000 to 2011, this study investigates the long-term performance, one-, two- and three-year by using two measures (buy-and-hold return and cumulative abnormal returns) to test the long-run returns of newly listed companies. Finally, the research incorporates both the traditional matching methodology (issue year and size) along with propensity score matching methodology. Findings FIPOs of US companies underperform DIPOs and their matched DIPOs; furthermore, FIPOs underperform the index of the two listing countries they use the most (UK and Canada). Although the choice of a reputable underwriter mitigates underperformance, the choice of listing in a foreign country only may be a result of possible high valuations accorded by foreign investors who buy US-listed companies on the domestic exchange possibly for reducing exchange rate risk and gaining US diversification without incurring additional costs. It is, thus, possible that US companies that undertake Foreign IPOs not only escape potentially higher Security and Exchange Commission regulations and disclosure but also benefit from higher valuations in the foreign markets. Originality/value To the best of the authors’ knowledge, this is the first study to investigate the long-term performance of US firms bypassing the US capital markets in pursuit of their initial equity offering elsewhere. Caglio et al. (2016) investigated why firms decide to pursue such equity raising activity but fail to investigate the firms’ actual performance after issuing equity. This research fills such a gap in the literature and is important for both academics and practitioners. Practitioners can use this information in assessing the quality of such investments in the long-run, and firms can use such information when determining the different options of issuing equity. Further, regulators should be aware of the implications that increased regulations have on capital raising activities in their domestic market.

scholarly journals Cross-Sector Style Analysis Of Global Equities Based On The Fama And French Three-Factor Model

2012 ◽  
Vol 11 (2) ◽  
pp. 161
Author(s):  
Heng-Hsing Hsieh ◽  
Kathleen Hodnett
Keyword(s):  
Portfolio Management ◽  
Risk Premium ◽  
Factor Model ◽  
Statistical Significance ◽  
Abnormal Returns ◽  
Risk Premiums ◽  
Portfolio Returns ◽  
Fama And French ◽  
Resource Sector ◽  
Sector Returns

Although the ability of the Fama and French (1993) 3-factor model in explaining style-based portfolio returns have been widely tested, no such test has been conducted on sector-based portfolios. The study conducted by Hsieh and Hodnett (2011) indicate that the resource sector yields significant abnormal returns under the capital asset pricing model (CAPM) over the period from 1999 to 2009. In addition, the book value-to-market ratio and market capitalization are found to have pervasive effects on the pricing of sector returns for global equities. Motivated by this insight, we undertake to test the ability of the Fama and French (1993) 3-factor model in explaining the variations in the global sector returns. Our test results indicate that the market risk premium is the most significant factor that drives the returns in all sectors under review. Although the positive abnormal returns of the resource sector dissipates under the 3-factor model, the industrial sector and the information technology (I.T.) sector yield abnormal returns under the 3-factor model. Unlike the empirical findings on the style portfolios, the signs and statistical significance of the exposures to the value and size risk premiums are not consistent across all sectors. This finding suggests that sector exposures are more unique and distinctive compared to the style portfolios. It could be argued that since most of the style portfolios are directly related to the value and size anomalies, any factor model that incorporates risk premiums on these anomalies would significantly explain the style portfolio returns. However, the ability of such factor model in explaining returns on portfolios formed using methodologies other than style anomalies, such as sector portfolio returns, would be questionable. Taking into account the rising global integration, sector allocation might be more effective in terms of global active portfolio management or international diversification than style allocation and country allocation.

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