average abnormal return
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2021 ◽  
Vol 1 (2) ◽  
pp. 160-171
Author(s):  
Asnat Susanti Dangga Lolu ◽  
Lusianus Heronimus Sinyo Kelen

This study examines the differences in stock prices listed on the Indonesia Stock Exchange as measured using average abnormal returns on events (event studies) before and after the enactment of Large-Scale Social Restrictions for Foreign Citizens, especially COVID-19 which has an impact not only threatening human health but also has an impact on the economic sector. This condition will certainly have an impact on all sectors including stock trading on the Indonesia Stock Exchange, especially the Tourism, Hospitality, and Restaurant sub-sector. By using a sample of 41 companies on the Indonesia Stock Exchange with a research period of 3 months (16 November 2020 to 15 February 2021) the type of purposive sampling research that meets the criteria and using paired sample t-test, the results show that there is no difference Average Abnormal Return before and after the occurrence of a PSBB event for Foreign Citizens. So it can be concluded that the PSBB for Foreign Citizens has no impact on the average abnormal return obtained by investors.


2021 ◽  
Vol 31 (12) ◽  
pp. 3133
Author(s):  
I Wayan Agus Purnayasa ◽  
Eka Ardhani Sisdyani

On April 6, 2020, the government approved the implementation of the first Large-Scale Social Restrictions (PSBB) in Indonesia in the context of accelerating the handling of the Covid-19 pandemic. This study uses this event as an event under study to observe the market reaction before and after it, with a window period of 11 days. The average abnormal return and the average trading volume activity of stocks are used as indicators of market reaction. The study was conducted on 152 trading, service and investment sector companies listed on the Indonesia Stock Exchange (IDX), which were determined using a non-probability sampling method with a purposive sampling technique. Data were analyzed by using paired sample t-test and Wilcoxon signed rank test. The results showed that there was no difference between the average abnormal return and the average trading volume activity before and after the first PSBB was approved in Indonesia. The absence of market reaction is assumed because the level of market efficiency in Indonesia is still weak. Keywords : Covid-19; Social Distancing Policy; Market Reaction; Abnormal Return; Trading Volume Activity.


2021 ◽  
Vol 37 (71) ◽  
pp. e2411242
Author(s):  
Edinson Edgardo Cornejo-Saavedra ◽  
Jorge Andrés Muñoz Mendoza ◽  
Carlos Leandro Delgado Fuentealba ◽  
Sandra María Sepúlveda Yelpo ◽  
Carmen Lissette Veloso Ramos

This study measures the announcement effect of corporate bond issuance on stock returns for companies listed on the Santiago de Chile Stock Exchange (BCS). The sample is made up of 29 firms and 87 corporate bond issuance announcements during the 2010-2017 period. The announcement effect of corporate bond issuance on stock return is measured by an event study. This methodology allows to calculate abnormal returns for the days of the event period. The results show that the average abnormal return on the day of the announcement is negative (between -0.09% and -0.03%), but it is not statistically significant. However, the average abnormal return on the day after the announcement is positive (between 0.27% and 0.32%) and has statistical significance. The significant and positive average abnormal return on the day after the announcement suggests a late market reaction. The study shows that there is a significant signaling effect of bond issuance announcements on stock returns.


2021 ◽  
Vol 1 (11) ◽  
Author(s):  
Dani Usmar

Latar belakang: Isu global baik langsung maupun tidak langsung akan memengaruhi isu nasional. Tujuan penelitian: Tujuan penelitian ini adalah mengetahui perbedaan abnormal return menggunakan hasil perhitungan Average Abnormal Return (AAR) pada saat pengumuman Transformasi PPKM dari Pemberlakuan Pembatasan Kegiatan Masyarakat (PPKM) Darurat Jawa Bali menjadi Pemberlakuan Pembatasan Kegiatan Masyarakat (PPKM) level 3 dan 4 tanggal 21 Juli 2021. Metode penelitian: Pendekatan penelitian ini menggunakan metode Event Study yang mengukur tingkat abnormal return. Penelitian ini menggunakan data sekunder berupa indeks saham gabungan dan data perdagangan saham harian. Pemilihan dan penetapan sampel dilakukan dengan metode purposive sampling. Jumlah anggota sampel yang ditetapkan terdiri dari 13 (tiga belas) emiten sub industri farmasi. Hasil penelitian: Hasil penelitian ini menunjukkan terdapat perbedaan average abnormal return yang signifikan sebelum dan setelah tanggal peristiwa. Kesimpulan: Penelitian ini dapat disimpulkan bahwa dalam periode penelitian (event) terjadi abnormal return untuk emiten anggota sub industri farmasi pada Bursa Efek Indonesia yaitu pada Tmin8, Tnol, Tplus1 dan Tplus6 dengan nilai uji di bawah tingkat signifikansi 0,05. Artinnya, kejadian pengumuman transformasi PPKM dari Pemberlakuan Pembatasan Kegiatan Masyarakat (PPKM) Darurat Jawa Bali menjadi Pemberlakuan Pembatasan Kegiatan Masyarakat (PPKM) level 3 dan 4 tanggal 21 Juli 2021 telah memicu terdapatnya abnormal return yang signifikan bagi emiten anggota sub industri farmasi pada Bursa Efek Indonesia dalam periode event. Terdapat perbedaan average abnormal return yang signifikan bagi perusahaan sub industri farmasi, pada saat sebelum dan sesudah pengumuman pengumuman transformasi PPKM tanggal 21 Juli 2021.


2021 ◽  
Vol 7 (2) ◽  
Author(s):  
W. S. S Soyza ◽  
K. A. S. S. Kodithuwakku ◽  
S.M.R.K. Samarakoon

A stock split is a corporate event that directly impacts the number of a company’s shares and indirectly on stock prices. This study tests the effect of the stock splits on the share price of companies listed in the Colombo Stock Exchange during the periods of pre and post stock split announcement in accordance with the Efficient Market Hypothesis. The main objective of this paper is to identify the overall impact of a stock split announcement on stock prices. This study analyses 88 annual stock splits during the ten (10) year period from 2009 to 2019 by taking the listed companies in the Colombo Stock Exchange into consideration. It uses the event study methodology to test the market efficiency of the Colombo Stock Exchange, and the market model is run with the aid of abnormal returns, which are calculated based on daily closing stock prices and the All-Share Price Index. For analysing the results, the graphical analysis and t statistics have been utilized. According to the event day average abnormal return, the majority of stock splits were more negative than positive with a significant t value at 5% by indicating that investors were taking the stock split announcement as bad news just after the split announcement was released. Each day with a significant Average Abnormal Return shows more positives than negatives. Graphical results have shown both Average Abnormal Return, and Cumulative Average Abnormal Return has remained continuously negative up to 18 and 25 days, respectively, by implicating that stock splits have made a deleterious impact on stock return. This study finally concludes that the information regarding the stock splits has not been absorbed efficiently by the market because the market reactions before and after the date of the split announcement were significant at 5%, although the Average Abnormal Return got a quick reaction to the announcement. Furthermore, results had not provided evidence for Semi-Strong Form efficiency of the Colombo Stock Exchange since the significant stock price adjustments before and after the event day was noticed. By this study, the policymakers and investors are convinced that all information has not been incorporated into stock prices in making their decisions.


2021 ◽  
Vol 10 (3) ◽  
pp. 186-198
Author(s):  
I Komang Wisnu Wardhana ◽  
Hermanto Hermanto ◽  
I Nyoman Nugraha AP

The purpose of this study was to determine the difference in the average abnormal return and trading volume activity before and after the enactment of the tax amnesty law on the LQ-45 index. The type of data used in this study is secondary data with data collection techniques using the documentation method. Determination of the sample in this study using purposive sampling method with certain criteria so as to obtain 45 samples. The analytical technique used in this research is paired sample t-test with an observation period of 10 days. The results of this study indicate that: (1) There is no difference in the average abnormal return before and after the enactment of the tax amnesty law. (2) There is no difference in the average trading volume activity before and after the enactment of the tax amnesty law. 


Academia Open ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 3 ◽  
Author(s):  
Putri Yuliean Fajarwati ◽  
Nurasik

The development of capital market activities can not be separated from the role of investors as investors and disclosure of information as consideration of investor decision making.This research aims to find out how the capital market reacts before Bank Indonesia's decision on interest rates.And to find out how the capital market reacted after Bank Indonesia's decision on interest rates.This research uses quantitative research that is event study. Data collection of financial statements at the Investment Gallery of the Indonesia Stock Exchange, University of Muhammadiyah Sidoarjo.The population in this study includes LQ45 companies that have been listed on the Indonesia Stock Exchange, with sampling techniques namely total sampling.Data analysis using T-test. The results of this study prove that there is a difference in the average abnormal return before and after Bank Indonesia's decision on interest rates as evidenced by the value of Sig.(2-tailed) is 0.000 less than 0.005 and there is a difference in average trading volume activity before and after Bank Indonesia's decision on interest rates as evidenced by the value of Sig.(2-tailed) 0.000 less than 0.005.


2021 ◽  
Vol 10 (02) ◽  
pp. 307-314
Author(s):  
Fitriaty Fitriaty ◽  
Muhammad Haris Saputra

Harga saham terpengaruh dengan semua jenis informasi, baik informasi masa lalu, informasi publik, maupun informasi privat. Informasi tersebut dapat berupa laporan tahunan perusahaan, pembagian dividen, pemecahan saham, pengumuman merger dan akuisisi, analisis dari para analis saham. Salah satu informasi publik yang dapat diketahui investor melalui berbagai media adalah pengumuman tentang  Chief Executife Officer (CEO). Penelitian ini bertujuan untuk melihat pengaruh pengumuman CEO yang menjadi bakal calon wakil presiden indonesia terhadap return saham dan Pengaruh Pengumuman Hasil Pemilihan Presiden Indonesia terhadap Return Saham yang dimiliki oleh bakal calon wakil presiden di Bursa Efek Indonesia. Metode pengukuran menggunakan abnormal return, kemudian di rata ratakan menjadi Average Abnormal Return dan dihitung Comulatif harian Average Abnormal Return langkah selanjutnya adalah diinterpretasikan. Hasil dari penelitian ini Average Abnormal return bakal calon rata rata memiliki nilai positif dan Setelah pengumumn Pilpres juga rata rata memiliki nilai Positif, sedangkan untuk nilai Comulatif Average Abnormal Return  bakal calon lebih besar dari Comulatif Average Abnormal Return  setelah pengumuman Pilpres artinya pemilu memiliki dampak terhadap terhadap return saham


2021 ◽  
Vol 4 (2) ◽  
pp. 156
Author(s):  
Hamdani Arifulsyah Rangkuti ◽  
Fifitri Ali ◽  
Abdi Bhayangkara

AbstractThe purpose of this research is to analyze descriptively qualitatively to test whether the abnormal return, trading Volume activity and Bid-Aks spread have a positive or negative value before the announcement suspension and after unsuspension. After that, testing with a different test (paired sample t-test). This research is an event study, using an estimated period of 5 days before the announcement of the suspension, and 5 days after the withdrawal of the suspension (unsuspension), within the period of observation in the year 2019. The sample in this study was 75 companies that announced the stock suspension. as well as announcing stock unsuspension in 2019. The results of this study show that the average abnormal return, trading Volume activity and Bid-Aks spread show a positive value both before the announcement of the stock suspension and after the stock unsuspension. Meanwhile, for the different test results (paired sample t-test), there is a significant difference before the announcement of stock suspension and after stock unsuspension for the abnormal return variable and the Bid-Aks spread, while the trading Volume activity must be excluded from the study because SPSS did not include it so the exclude variable category.  Abstrak Riset ini bertujuan menganalisis secara deskriptif kualitatif apakah abnormal return, Trading Volume activity dan Bid-Aks spread memiliki nilai positif atau negatif pada saat sebelum pengumunan dan setelah pencabutan suspensi saham. Pengujian berikutnya adalah dengan melakukan uji beda berpasangan (paired sample t-test). Periode penelitian ini adalah 5 hari sebelum pengumuman suspensi saham, dan 5 hari setelah penarikan suspensi saham (unsuspensi), dalam rentang waktu pengamatan dari selama tahun 2019. Sebanyak 75 perusahaan yang mengumumkan suspensi dan unsuspensi saham selama tahun 2019. Hasil penelitian ini menunjukkan bahwa rata-rata Abnormal Return, Trading Volume Activity dan Bid-Aks Spread menunjukkan nilai yang positif baik sebelum pengumuman suspensi saham, maupun setelah unsuspensi saham. Sementara untuk hasil uji bedanya, beda yang cukup nyata sebelum pengumuman suspensi saham dan setelah unsuspensi saham untuk variabel Abnormal Return  dan Bid-Aks Spread, sementara untuk variabel Trading Volume Activity dikeluarkan dari penelitian karena di SPSS termasuk kedalam kategori exclude variable.


Academia Open ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 5 ◽  
Author(s):  
Vani Aryani ◽  
Nurasik

On November 5, 2020, Indonesia was declared a recession after the Central Statistics Agency announced that the Indonesian economy experienced a decline in the third quarter of 2020. The Indonesian economy experienced a decline in the third quarter of 2020, which was minus 3.49 percent. In the second quarter of 2020, the Indonesian economy was already minus 5.32 percent. The announcement of the recession event gave rise to various perceptions for capital market participants. So the purpose of this study is to find out and compare the differences in the average Abnormal Return, Trading Volume Activity, and Security Return Variability of IDX 30 issuers before and after the announcement of the recession due to the COVID-19 pandemic. The research method used is quantitative research with an event study approach. The type of data in this study is secondary data with data collection techniques using the documentation method. The sample used is IDX30 stock issuers on the Indonesia Stock Exchange for the period August 2020 - January 2021. The data analysis technique in this study is descriptive statistical analysis, paired t-test and Wilcoxon signed rank test. The results of this study indicate that: (1) there is a significant difference in the average abnormal return of IDX 30 issuers before and after the announcement of the recession due to the covid-19 pandemic. (2) there is a significant difference in the average Trading Volume Activity of IDX 30 issuers before and after the announcement of the recession due to the covid-19 pandemic. (3) there is no significant difference in the average Security Return Variability of IDX 30 issuers before and after the announcement of the recession due to the covid-19 pandemic.


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