scholarly journals Prediction of the “Tipping Point” to Widespread Uptake of Battery Electric Vehicles in China via Nonlinear Curve-Fitting Method

2020 ◽  
Vol 5 (3) ◽  
pp. 143
Author(s):  
Zeyu Geng

<p>The “Tipping Point” is a term that is widely used today to describe that a time or threshold once being surpassed would result in exponential growth in technology adoption or product sales in a specific industry. China’s BEV industry has grown tremendously in the past 10 years and recently, and China has been leading both BEV sales and manufacturing in the world. Thus, this paper aims to investigate the “Tipping Point” timeframe for Battery Electric Vehicles (BEVs) penetration in China. The major work is conducted in 3 steps. 1. This paper firstly defined the exactitude of “Tipping Point” as a 16% market penetration rate from Roger’s technology adoption model. 2. Then this paper used a simple exponential curve formula using the Levenberg–Marquardt Algorithm (LMA) calculation method to conduct nonlinear curve fitting modeling for various nations and testify the validity of our formula used. 3. Finally, after getting a positive result from these sample countries, this paper continues using this method to predict the 16% “Tipping Point” from several current predictions reports. It concludes with a calculated assumption that this 16% BEV market penetration rate would most likely occur by the end of 2024.</p>

1987 ◽  
Vol 33 (2) ◽  
pp. 278-285 ◽  
Author(s):  
H L Pardue ◽  
B L Bacon ◽  
M G Nevius ◽  
J W Skoug

Abstract We studied the kinetic behavior of the reaction of alkaline picrate and creatinine and evaluated a nonlinear curve-fitting method for quantifying creatinine in serum. Using a 3 X 3 factorial experimental design, we evaluated interactive effects among temperature and concentrations of creatinine, picrate, and NaOH. We found no evidence of interference by glucose or unconjugated bilirubin; the effects of the acetoacetate reaction, which is fast, are easily compensated by the curve-fitting method. The reaction with human serum albumin is very complex, but its effects are compensated by the curve-fitting method and by preparing standards containing 50 g of albumin per liter. Calibration plots are linear under a wide variety of conditions for both aqueous standards and standard additions of creatinine to pooled serum. Reproducibility studies with standards containing creatinine at 2, 10, and 20 mg/L yielded relative standard deviations (RSD) of 8.2, 2.5, and 1.3%, corresponding to absolute variations of 0.16, 0.25, and 0.26 mg/L. The average SD for 17 sera containing creatinine at 15-50 mg/L was 0.7 mg/L. The averages of ratios (as percent) of determined vs expected concentrations in 17 sera with added creatinine (7.27 mg/L) were 97.8% for aqueous standards, 99.9% for standards with added albumin.


1988 ◽  
Vol 14 (4) ◽  
pp. 489-503 ◽  
Author(s):  
Marijke van Heeswijk ◽  
Christopher G. Fox

2011 ◽  
Vol 320 ◽  
pp. 647-650
Author(s):  
Chan Yuan Liu

A method of optimal idea, in the paper, is used to process geomagnetic sensor data. The curve fitting by use of the method is more convenient than least square method (LSM). It adapts especially to process nonlinear curve fitting. Circular curve equation is fitted depending on a set of geomagnetic sensor data. It proves that the way is convenient and feasible


1992 ◽  
Vol 67 (4) ◽  
pp. 570-571
Author(s):  
Nancy Mendell ◽  
Neal Oden

Author(s):  
Bernd Jaeger

The method of least squares is a geometric principle of curve fitting. The unknown parameters of a function are calculated in such a way that the sum of squared differences between function values and measurements gets minimal. Examples are given for a linear and a nonlinear curve fitting problem. Consequences of model linearizations are explained.


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