scholarly journals IPO UNDERPRICING AND FINANCIAL ANALYSTS’ FORECAST ACCURACY IN POLAND

2015 ◽  
Vol 1 (310) ◽  
Author(s):  
Przemysław Pomykalski ◽  
Maciej Domagalski
Keyword(s):  
Initial Public Offerings ◽  
Stock Exchange ◽  
Financial Analysts ◽  
Forecast Accuracy ◽  
Ipo Underpricing ◽  
Public Offerings ◽  
Warsaw Stock Exchange

We review the theory and evidence on IPO activity and underpricing focusing on the Warsaw Stock Exchange and confirm that many IPO phenomena in Poland are not stationary. Focusing on the behavioural reasons for underpricing, we investigate the accuracy of analysts’ valuations made prior to initial public offerings. Using a unique set of data, we find a disappointing lack of accuracy, not only in the results of valuations but also in the underlying forecasts of revenues. 

scholarly journals REASSESSING POLISH IPO UNDERPRICING AND UNDERPERFORMANCE

2015 ◽  
Vol 1 (310) ◽  
Author(s):  
Joanna Lizińska ◽  
Leszek Czapiewski
Keyword(s):  
Initial Public Offerings ◽  
Stock Exchange ◽  
Abnormal Returns ◽  
Ipo Underpricing ◽  
Public Offerings ◽  
Warsaw Stock Exchange ◽  
The Difference ◽  
Term Performance ◽  
Long Term Studies

The purpose of the research was to assess the price behavior of initial public offerings (IPO) of equities listed on the Warsaw Stock Exchange from 1996 to 2010. We also aimed to observe IPO underpricing and the underperformance phenomenon with different approaches. Short-term performance was analyzed with raw and adjusted initial returns. For the long-term, abnormal returns were compounded and cumulated. Different methods of outliers detection and ways of minimizing the detrimental effect of outliers were applied. In long-term studies, we also compared the results for the daily, weekly and monthly returns. IPO underpricing and underperformance on the WSE still remains substantial and significant, even accounting for the variety of methods applied. The difference in underpricing between the 1996–2004 and the 2005–2010 sample was insignificant. However, we reported statistically significant and economically important differences in underperformance between both samples.        

scholarly journals Review of short-run performance of initial public offerings in Australia

2021 ◽  
Vol 18 (2) ◽  
pp. 188-200
Author(s):  
Lutfa Tilat Ferdous ◽  
Niroshani Parahara Withanalage ◽  
Abyan Amirah Qamaruz Zaman
Keyword(s):  
Regression Analysis ◽  
Initial Public Offerings ◽  
Stock Exchange ◽  
Secondary Market ◽  
Publicly Traded ◽  
Ipo Underpricing ◽  
Secondary Markets ◽  
Public Offerings ◽  
Short Run ◽  
Total Market

This study investigates the short-run performance of initial public offerings in Australia. Based on sources from the Morningstar DatAnalysis database, we analyzed 211 Australian publicly traded initial public offerings (IPO) listed on the Australian stock exchange between January 2011 and December 2015 using multiple regression analysis with dummies to represent industry and listing year. According to our analysis, total market return indicates an IPO underpricing phenomenon whereas secondary market shows an overpricing scenario. Moreover, this analysis supports the contention that short-run performance fluctuations were based on the listing year and industry settings. This study contributes to the literature by analysing the short-run performance of both the primary and secondary markets

scholarly journals The two-tier board system and underpricing of initial public offerings: Evidence from Austria

2014 ◽  
Vol 12 (1) ◽  
pp. 352-362
Author(s):  
Lalith P. Samarakoon ◽  
Palani-Rajan Kadapakkam
Keyword(s):  
Corporate Governance ◽  
Agency Theory ◽  
Initial Public Offerings ◽  
Stock Exchange ◽  
Supervisory Board ◽  
Board Structure ◽  
Ipo Underpricing ◽  
Public Offerings ◽  
Management Board ◽  
Board System

We study the relation between initial IPO underpricing and two-tier board structure in the Vienna Stock Exchange of Austria, where a two-tier board is mandatory for listed companies. The board ratio, defined as the size of the supervisory board to the management board, is used to capture the effect of two-tiered board on underpricing. The results show that the board ratio is negatively related with underpricing, consistent with the agency theory which predicts that more effective monitoring implied in a relatively larger supervisory board will lead to lower agency costs, and thus lower underpricing. The results are robust to the inclusion of control variables and suggest that firms seeking to raise external capital will be helped by adopting strong corporate governance standards.

scholarly journals Factors Influencing IPO Decisions. Do Corporate Managers Use Market and Corporate Timing? A Survey

2014 ◽  
Vol 42 (1) ◽  
pp. 30-39 ◽  
Author(s):  
Adam Szyszka
Keyword(s):  
Initial Public Offerings ◽  
Stock Exchange ◽  
Going Public ◽  
Public Offerings ◽  
Corporate Managers ◽  
Market Mispricing ◽  
Corporate Decisions ◽  
Factors Influencing ◽  
Warsaw Stock Exchange ◽  
Do So

Abstract This paper explores the motives for Initial Public Offerings (IPOs); that is, whether market mispricing or the behavioral inclinations of investors and analysts impact corporate decisions about rising equity, with a particular focus on market and corporate timing practices of managers going public. To do so, an anonymous survey was conducted of 166 managers of firms that recently went public at the Warsaw Stock Exchange in Poland (being the second most active IPO market in Europe, after London). The resulting data reveals that managers attempt to time bullish markets and good historical corporate financial results.

scholarly journals Motives and effects of the initial public offerings on the Warsaw Stock Exchange

Equilibrium ◽  
2015 ◽  
Vol 10 (2) ◽  
pp. 207
Author(s):  
Tomasz Sosnowski
Keyword(s):  
Initial Public Offerings ◽  
Initial Public Offering ◽  
Stock Exchange ◽  
Market Value ◽  
Public Offerings ◽  
Warsaw Stock Exchange ◽  
Business Efficiency ◽  
Secondary Shares ◽  
Public Offering

This paper empirically investigates the links between the motives for going public and changes in the market value and efficiency of new stock companies. Using a sample of 200 firms from Warsaw Stock Exchange between 2005 and 2012 I find that the principal purpose of initial public offering is raising additional capital by the company but divestment grounds of initial shareholders are also important. I find evidence that the sale of secondary shares in the initial public offering may be seen as a negative signal at aftermarket performance of the firm. The data reveal that the most adverse long-term changes in the market value and business efficiency are observed for those companies, where in the initial public offering both primary and secondary shares were sold.

scholarly journals Earnings forecasts errors in prospectuses: evidence from initial public offerings on the Warsaw Stock Exchange

Equilibrium ◽  
2017 ◽  
Vol 12 (2) ◽  
pp. 229 ◽  
Author(s):  
Anna Wawryszuk-Misztal
Keyword(s):  
Initial Public Offerings ◽  
Stock Exchange ◽  
Forecast Error ◽  
Value Added ◽  
Earnings Forecasts ◽  
Multiple Regression Model ◽  
Managerial Ownership ◽  
Forecast Horizon ◽  
Public Offerings ◽  
Warsaw Stock Exchange

Research background: Several studies investigated the issue of accuracy of earnings fore-casts disclosed in IPO prospectus because of its importance in the investor’s decisions. Disclosing earnings forecasts can reduce information asymmetry and encourage potential investors to buy offered shares. The accuracy of earnings forecasts, and especially its deter-minants, was explored by some researchers, but for Polish companies such studies have not been conducted.Purpose of the article: The first objective of this study is to examine the bias and accuracy of earnings forecasts disclosed in IPO prospectuses by Polish companies attempting to be listed on the main market of the Warsaw Stock Exchange. The second aim of this paper is to identify the relationship between the absolute fore-cast error employed as a measure of earnings accuracy and a number of company specific characteristics such as company’s size, leverage, forecast horizon, managerial ownership, number of shares offered to investors (in relation to total shares before IPO).Methods: The empirical analysis were conducted on a sample of 102 domestic companies that performed IPOs on the main market of the Warsaw Stock Exchange during 2006-2015 and disclosed earnings forecasts in IPO prospectus. The forecast error (FER) and absolute forecast error (AFER) were adopted as a measure of accuracy of earnings forecasts. The non-parametric test was employed to achieve the adopted aims.Findings & Value added: The results show that, on average, the forecasted earnings exceed the actual earnings (i.e. the earnings forecasts are optimistic) and fore-casts are inaccurate. Moreover, the optimistic forecasts are more inaccurate than pessimistic ones. The findings of multiple regression model show that three independent variables may affect the level of absolute forecast error: the company’s size, managerial ownership and forecast horizon.

An Empirical Analysis on IPO Underpricing and Performance of Newly Privatized Firms in China

1998 ◽  
Vol 01 (04) ◽  
pp. 461-479 ◽  
Author(s):  
Sangphill Kim ◽  
Meng Rui ◽  
Peter Xu
Keyword(s):  
Initial Public Offerings ◽  
Stock Exchange ◽  
Initial Period ◽  
The Political ◽  
Ipo Underpricing ◽  
Public Offerings ◽  
Privatized Firms ◽  
The Government ◽  
And Performance ◽  
Period Return

Using 45 Initial Public Offerings (IPOs) on the Shanghai Stock Exchange in 1993, we find that the average initial period return is 594 percent or 2.44 percent per day between the offer date and the listing date. Our results support the political persuasion hypothesis that has been postulated in previous studies on IPOs in other emerging markets. An IPO in China is also a newly privatized firm. Based on a subset of the IPO sample, we find significant increases in profitability and productivity after privatization. But the improvement in performance is not strongly related to the percentage of total shares retained or controlled by the government.

IPO Underpricing: A Meta-Analysis and Research Synthesis

2003 ◽  
Vol 27 (3) ◽  
pp. 271-295 ◽  
Author(s):  
Catherine M. Daily ◽  
S. Trevis Certo ◽  
Dan R. Dalton ◽  
Rungpen Roengpitya
Keyword(s):  
Initial Public Offerings ◽  
Meta Analysis ◽  
Research Synthesis ◽  
Future Research ◽  
Popular Press ◽  
Ipo Underpricing ◽  
Public Offerings ◽  
Factors Associated ◽  
Significant Relationships ◽  
Dot Com

Initial public offerings (IPOs) have been a prominent focus of academic and popular press attention, especially in recent years. Much of this attention can be attributed to the increase in IPO activity as a function of the “dot com” phenomenon. Of particular interest to both academics and practitioners is IPO underpricing. Review of existing research suggests little consensus regarding those factors associated with underpricing. We provide a meta-analysis of published studies. Our findings reveal a number of significant relationships, many of which are opposite that predicted by signaling theory. Implications of these findings for practice and future research are discussed.

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