scholarly journals Quantification of the Direct Solar Impact on Some Components of the Hydroclimatic System

Author(s):  
Mares Constantin ◽  
Mares Ileana ◽  
Dobrica Venera ◽  
Demetrescu Crisan

This study addresses the causal links between external factors and the main hydro-climatic variables. There is a gap in the literature on the description of a complete chain in addressing the structures of direct causal links of solar activity on the terrestrial variables. This is why, the present study uses the extensive facilities of the application of information theory in view of recent advances in different fields. Also, by other methods (e.g. neural networks) first are tested the existence non-linear links of solar-terrestrial influences on hydro-climate system. The results are promising related to the solar impact on terrestrial phenomena which is discriminant in space-time domain. The implications prove robust for determining the causal measure of climate variables under direct solar impact which makes it easier to consider solar activity in climate models, by appropriate parametrizations. This study found that hydro-climatic variables are sensitive to solar impact only for certain frequencies (periods) and these have a coherence with the Solar-Flux only for some lags of the Solar-Flux (in advance).

Entropy ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 23 (6) ◽  
pp. 691
Author(s):  
Constantin Mares ◽  
Ileana Mares ◽  
Venera Dobrica ◽  
Crisan Demetrescu

This study addresses the causal links between external factors and the main hydro-climatic variables by using a chain of methods to unravel the complexity of the direct sun–climate link. There is a gap in the literature on the description of a complete chain in addressing the structures of direct causal links of solar activity on terrestrial variables. This is why the present study uses the extensive facilities of the application of information theory in view of recent advances in different fields. Additionally, by other methods (e.g., neural networks) we first tested the existent non-linear links of solar–terrestrial influences on the hydro-climate system. The results related to the solar impact on terrestrial phenomena are promising, which is discriminant in the space-time domain. The implications prove robust for determining the causal measure of climate variables under direct solar impact, which makes it easier to consider solar activity in climate models by appropriate parametrizations. This study found that hydro-climatic variables are sensitive to solar impact only for certain frequencies (periods) and have a coherence with the Solar Flux only for some lags of the Solar Flux (in advance).


Author(s):  
Konstantinos Makantasis ◽  
Athanasios Voulodimos ◽  
Anastasios Doulamis ◽  
Nikolaos Bakalos ◽  
Nikolaos Doulamis

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Mateus Alexandre da Silva ◽  
Marina Neves Merlo ◽  
Michael Silveira Thebaldi ◽  
Danton Diego Ferreira ◽  
Felipe Schwerz ◽  
...  

Abstract Predicting rainfall can prevent and mitigate damages caused by its deficit or excess, besides providing necessary tools for adequate planning for the use of water. This research aimed to predict the monthly rainfall, one month in advance, in four municipalities in the metropolitan region of Belo Horizonte, using artificial neural networks (ANN) trained with different climate variables, and to indicate the suitability of such variables as inputs to these models. The models were developed through the MATLAB® software version R2011a, using the NNTOOL toolbox. The ANN’s were trained by the multilayer perceptron architecture and the Feedforward and Back propagation algorithm, using two combinations of input data were used, with 2 and 6 variables, and one combination of input data with 3 of the 6 variables most correlated to observed rainfall from 1970 to 1999, to predict the rainfall from 2000 to 2009. The most correlated variables to the rainfall of the following month are the sequential number corresponding to the month, total rainfall and average compensated temperature, and the best performance was obtained with these variables. Furthermore, it was concluded that the performance of the models was satisfactory; however, they presented limitations for predicting months with high rainfall.


2004 ◽  
pp. 47-52 ◽  
Author(s):  
Sanja Danilovic ◽  
Istvan Vince

CCD observations of the MnI 539.47 nm spectral line in the solar flux made at the Astronomical Observatory in Belgrade between 1994 and 2003 have been reduced and certain line parameters, viz. the equivalent width, full width at half maximum and central depth have been derived. The variation of these parameters with the solar activity has been evaluated. The relative variation of the equivalent width from minimum to maximum of solar activity was found to be 1.4%, while the variation of the central depth is 2.3%. The full width at half maximum remains practically constant.


Időjárás ◽  
2019 ◽  
Vol 123 (4) ◽  
pp. 409-433
Author(s):  
Ildikó Pieczka ◽  
Judit Bartholy ◽  
Rita Pongrácz ◽  
Karolina Szabóné André

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