Rainfall Prediction by Artificial Neural Networks Trained using Different Climate Variables

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Mateus Alexandre da Silva ◽  
Marina Neves Merlo ◽  
Michael Silveira Thebaldi ◽  
Danton Diego Ferreira ◽  
Felipe Schwerz ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Neural Networks ◽  
Artificial Neural Networks ◽  
Input Data ◽  
Back Propagation ◽  
Metropolitan Region ◽  
Climate Variables ◽  
Back Propagation Algorithm ◽  
Rainfall Prediction ◽  
Artificial Neural ◽  
Belo Horizonte

Abstract Predicting rainfall can prevent and mitigate damages caused by its deficit or excess, besides providing necessary tools for adequate planning for the use of water. This research aimed to predict the monthly rainfall, one month in advance, in four municipalities in the metropolitan region of Belo Horizonte, using artificial neural networks (ANN) trained with different climate variables, and to indicate the suitability of such variables as inputs to these models. The models were developed through the MATLAB® software version R2011a, using the NNTOOL toolbox. The ANN’s were trained by the multilayer perceptron architecture and the Feedforward and Back propagation algorithm, using two combinations of input data were used, with 2 and 6 variables, and one combination of input data with 3 of the 6 variables most correlated to observed rainfall from 1970 to 1999, to predict the rainfall from 2000 to 2009. The most correlated variables to the rainfall of the following month are the sequential number corresponding to the month, total rainfall and average compensated temperature, and the best performance was obtained with these variables. Furthermore, it was concluded that the performance of the models was satisfactory; however, they presented limitations for predicting months with high rainfall.

scholarly journals Saturated Hydraulic Conductivity Estimation Using Artificial Neural Networks

Water ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 13 (5) ◽  
pp. 705
Author(s):  
Josué Trejo-Alonso ◽  
Carlos Fuentes ◽  
Carlos Chávez ◽  
Antonio Quevedo ◽  
Alfonso Gutierrez-Lopez ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Neural Networks ◽  
Artificial Neural Networks ◽  
Hydraulic Conductivity ◽  
Input Data ◽  
Logistic Function ◽  
Saturated Hydraulic Conductivity ◽  
Irrigation District ◽  
Pedotransfer Functions ◽  
Back Propagation Algorithm ◽  
Artificial Neural

In the present work, we construct several artificial neural networks (varying the input data) to calculate the saturated hydraulic conductivity (KS) using a database with 900 measured samples obtained from the Irrigation District 023, in San Juan del Rio, Queretaro, Mexico. All of them were constructed using two hidden layers, a back-propagation algorithm for the learning process, and a logistic function as a nonlinear transfer function. In order to explore different arrays for neurons into hidden layers, we performed the bootstrap technique for each neural network and selected the one with the least Root Mean Square Error (RMSE) value. We also compared these results with pedotransfer functions and another neural networks from the literature. The results show that our artificial neural networks obtained from 0.0459 to 0.0413 in the RMSE measurement, and 0.9725 to 0.9780 for R2, which are in good agreement with other works. We also found that reducing the amount of the input data offered us better results.

Artificial neural networks back propagation algorithm for cutting force components predictions

2013 ◽  
Vol 14 (6) ◽  
pp. 431-439 ◽  
Author(s):  
Issam Hanafi ◽  
Francisco Mata Cabrera ◽  
Abdellatif Khamlichi ◽  
Ignacio Garrido ◽  
José Tejero Manzanares
Keyword(s):  
Neural Networks ◽  
Artificial Neural Networks ◽  
Cutting Force ◽  
Back Propagation ◽  
Back Propagation Algorithm ◽  
Propagation Algorithm ◽  
Cutting Force Components ◽  
Artificial Neural ◽  
Force Components

Hybrid Electric Vehicle Emissions Monitoring and Estimation using Artificial Neural Networks: Technical Note

2019 ◽  
Vol 11 (3) ◽  
Author(s):  
K. Sujatha ◽  
V. Karthikeyan ◽  
V. Balaji ◽  
N.P.G. Bhavani ◽  
V. Srividhya ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Neural Networks ◽  
Artificial Neural Networks ◽  
Performance Indicators ◽  
Hybrid Electric Vehicle ◽  
Back Propagation ◽  
Technical Note ◽  
Back Propagation Algorithm ◽  
Highway Traffic ◽  
Artificial Neural ◽  
Optimal Control Action

Power is utilized as the prime fuel for hybrid and module electric vehicles in order to build the productivity of commercial vehicles. This paper forecasts the emission factors utilizing discrete Fourier transform, artificial neural networks and hybridization of back propagation algorithm. The DFT facilitates the extraction of the performance indicators which are otherwise called the features. The coefficients of the power spectrum denote the performance indicators. The ANN learns the pattern for emissions from HEVs using these performance indicators. This ANN based strategy offers an optimal control action to detect and reduce the exhaust gas emissions which are hazardous. These vehicles are provided with automated highway traffic Jam assist. Hence the forecast of these emissions offers increased efficiency of 90% to 100% thereby ensuring optimal operating condition for the hybrid vehicles.

scholarly journals Prediction of adsorption efficiencies of Ni (II) in aqueous solutions with perlite via artificial neural networks

2017 ◽  
Vol 43 (4) ◽  
pp. 26-32 ◽  
Author(s):  
Sinan Mehmet Turp
Keyword(s):  
Neural Network ◽  
Experimental Data ◽  
Neural Networks ◽  
Artificial Neural Network ◽  
Artificial Neural Networks ◽  
Back Propagation ◽  
Data Sets ◽  
Adsorption Efficiency ◽  
Back Propagation Algorithm ◽  
Artificial Neural

AbstractThis study investigates the estimated adsorption efficiency of artificial Nickel (II) ions with perlite in an aqueous solution using artificial neural networks, based on 140 experimental data sets. Prediction using artificial neural networks is performed by enhancing the adsorption efficiency with the use of Nickel (II) ions, with the initial concentrations ranging from 0.1 mg/L to 10 mg/L, the adsorbent dosage ranging from 0.1 mg to 2 mg, and the varying time of effect ranging from 5 to 30 mins. This study presents an artificial neural network that predicts the adsorption efficiency of Nickel (II) ions with perlite. The best algorithm is determined as a quasi-Newton back-propagation algorithm. The performance of the artificial neural network is determined by coefficient determination (R2), and its architecture is 3-12-1. The prediction shows that there is an outstanding relationship between the experimental data and the predicted values.

scholarly journals Identification and Classification of Animal Kingdom using Image Processing and Artificial Neural Networks

2019 ◽  
Vol 8 (3) ◽  
pp. 4645-4650
Keyword(s):  
Neural Networks ◽  
Artificial Neural Networks ◽  
Back Propagation ◽  
Bilateral Symmetry ◽  
Automated System ◽  
Back Propagation Algorithm ◽  
Animal Kingdom ◽  
Artificial Neural ◽  
Eukaryotic Organisms

The biological kingdom ‘Animalia’ is composed of multi cellular eukaryotic organisms. Most of the animal species exhibit bilateral symmetry. The hierarchy of biological classification has eight taxonomy ranks. The top position in the hierarchy is occupied by the ‘domain’ and ending with the lowest position occupied by ‘species’. The classification of animal kingdom includes, Porifera, Coelenterata, Platyhelminthes, Aschelminthes, Annelida, Arthropoda, Mollusca, Echinodermata and Chordata. Manual identification of Phylum or class for each and every species, is very tedious, because there exists nearly a millions of species categorized under various classes. Hence an automated system is proposed to be developed using image segmentation and Artificial Neural Networks (ANN) trained with Back Propagation Algorithm (BPA) which is capable of assisting the scientists and researchers for class identification. This system will be useful in Museums and Archeological departments, where a huge variety of species are maintained. The classification efficiency of the proposed system is 89.1%.

scholarly journals Prediction of Sound Insulation of Sandwich Partition Panels by Means of Artificial Neural Networks

2017 ◽  
Vol 42 (4) ◽  
pp. 643-651
Author(s):  
Naveen Garg ◽  
Siddharth Dhruw ◽  
Laghu Gandhi
Keyword(s):  
Neural Networks ◽  
Artificial Neural Networks ◽  
Optimization Technique ◽  
Back Propagation ◽  
National Research Council ◽  
Sound Insulation ◽  
Ann Model ◽  
Back Propagation Algorithm ◽  
Design And Optimization ◽  
Artificial Neural

Abstract The paper presents the application of Artificial Neural Networks (ANN) in predicting sound insulation through multi-layered sandwich gypsum partition panels. The objective of the work is to develop an Artificial Neural Network (ANN) model to estimate the Rw and STC value of sandwich gypsum constructions. The experimental results reported by National Research Council, Canada for Gypsum board walls (Halliwell et al., 1998) were utilized to develop the model. A multilayer feed-forward approach comprising of 13 input parameters was developed for predicting the Rw and STC value of sandwich gypsum constructions. The Levenberg-Marquardt optimization technique has been used to update the weights in back-propagation algorithm. The presented approach could be very useful for design and optimization of acoustic performance of new sandwich partition panels providing higher sound insulation. The developed ANN model shows a prediction error of ±3 dB or points with a confidence level higher than 95%.

Deploying artificial neural networks for modeling energy demand: international evidence

2019 ◽  
Vol 14 (2) ◽  
pp. 285-315 ◽  
Author(s):  
Emmanuel Bannor B. ◽  
Alex O. Acheampong
Keyword(s):  
Neural Networks ◽  
Artificial Neural Networks ◽  
Energy Demand ◽  
Trade Openness ◽  
Back Propagation ◽  
Rank Correlation ◽  
Back Propagation Algorithm ◽  
Content Type ◽  
The Usa ◽  
Artificial Neural

Purpose This paper aims to use artificial neural networks to develop models for forecasting energy demand for Australia, China, France, India and the USA. Design/methodology/approach The study used quarterly data that span over the period of 1980Q1-2015Q4 to develop and validate the models. Eight input parameters were used for modeling the demand for energy. Hyperparameter optimization was performed to determine the ideal parameters for configuring each country’s model. To ensure stable forecasts, a repeated evaluation approach was used. After several iterations, the optimal models for each country were selected based on predefined criteria. A multi-layer perceptron with a back-propagation algorithm was used for building each model. Findings The results suggest that the validated models have developed high generalizing capabilities with insignificant forecasting deviations. The model for Australia, China, France, India and the USA attained high coefficients of determination of 0.981, 0.9837, 0.9425, 0.9137 and 0.9756, respectively. The results from the partial rank correlation coefficient further reveal that economic growth has the highest sensitivity weight on energy demand in Australia, France and the USA while industrialization has the highest sensitivity weight on energy demand in China. Trade openness has the highest sensitivity weight on energy demand in India. Originality/value This study incorporates other variables such as financial development, foreign direct investment, trade openness, industrialization and urbanization, which are found to have an important effect on energy demand in the model to prevent underestimation of the actual energy demand. Sensitivity analysis is conducted to determine the most influential variables. The study further deploys the models for hands-on predictions of energy demand.

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