A Comparative Assessment of Conventional and Artificial Neural Networks Methods for Electricity Outage Forecasting

The reliability of the power supply depends on the reliability of the structure of the grid. Grid networks are exposed to varying weather events, which makes them prone to faults. There is a growing concern that climate change will lead to increasing numbers and severity of weather events, which will adversely affect grid reliability and electricity supply. Predictive models of electricity reliability have been used which utilize computational intelligence techniques. These techniques have not been adequately explored in forecasting problems related to electricity outages due to weather factors. A model for predicting electricity outages caused by weather events is presented in this study. This uses the back-propagation algorithm as related to the concept of artificial neural networks (ANNs). The performance of the ANN model is evaluated using real-life data sets from Pietermaritzburg, South Africa, and compared with some conventional models. These are the exponential smoothing (ES) and multiple linear regression (MLR) models. The results obtained from the ANN model are found to be satisfactory when compared to those obtained from MLR and ES. The results demonstrate that artificial neural networks are robust and can be used to predict electricity outages with regards to faults caused by severe weather conditions.

Design and Performance Evaluation of a Step-Up DC–DC Converter with Dual Loop Controllers for Two Stages Grid Connected PV Inverter

In this work, a non-isolated DC–DC converter is presented that combines a voltage doubler circuit and switch inductor cell with the single ended primary inductor converter to achieve a high voltage gain at a low duty cycle and with reduced component count. The converter utilizes a single switch that makes its control very simple. The voltage stress across the semiconductor components is less than the output voltage, which makes it possible to use the diodes with reduced voltage rating and a switch with low turn-on resistance. In particular, performance principle of the proposed converter along with the steady state analysis such as voltage gain, voltage stress on semiconductor components, and design of inductors and capacitors, etc., are carried out and discussed in detail. Moreover, to regulate a constant voltage at a DC-link capacitor, back propagation algorithm-based adaptive control schemes are designed. These adaptive schemes enhance the system performance by dynamically updating the control law parameters in case of PV intermittency. Furthermore, a proportional resonant controller based on Naslin polynomial method is designed for the current control loop. The method describes a systematic procedure to calculate proportional gain, resonant gain, and all the coefficients for the resonant path. Finally, the proposed system is simulated in MATLAB and Simulink software to validate the analytical and theoretical concepts along with the efficacy of the proposed model.

Enhanced Millimeter-Wave 3-D Imaging via Complex-Valued Fully Convolutional Neural Network

To solve the problems of high computational complexity and unstable image quality inherent in the compressive sensing (CS) method, we propose a complex-valued fully convolutional neural network (CVFCNN)-based method for near-field enhanced millimeter-wave (MMW) three-dimensional (3-D) imaging. A generalized form of the complex parametric rectified linear unit (CPReLU) activation function with independent and learnable parameters is presented to improve the performance of CVFCNN. The CVFCNN structure is designed, and the formulas of the complex-valued back-propagation algorithm are derived in detail, in response to the lack of a machine learning library for a complex-valued neural network (CVNN). Compared with a real-valued fully convolutional neural network (RVFCNN), the proposed CVFCNN offers better performance while needing fewer parameters. In addition, it outperforms the CVFCNN that was used in radar imaging with different activation functions. Numerical simulations and experiments are provided to verify the efficacy of the proposed network, in comparison with state-of-the-art networks and the CS method for enhanced MMW imaging.

Optimization of Load Forecasting in Smartgrid using Artificial Neural Network based NFTOOL and NNTOOL

The motivation behind the research is the requirement of error-free load prediction for the power industries in India to assist the planners for making important decisions on unit commitments, energy trading, system security & reliability and optimal reserve capacity. The objective is to produce a desktop version of personal computer based complete expert system which can be used to forecast the future load of a smart grid. Using MATLAB, we can provide adequate user interfaces in graphical user interfaces. This paper devotes study of load forecasting in smart grid, detailed study of architecture and configuration of Artificial Neural Network(ANN), Mathematical modeling and implementation of ANN using MATLAB and Detailed study of load forecasting using back propagation algorithm.

Emotion Recognition From Speech Using Perceptual Filter and Neural Network

This chapter on multi speaker independent emotion recognition encompasses the use of perceptual features with filters spaced in Equivalent rectangular bandwidth (ERB) and BARK scale and vector quantization (VQ) classifier for classifying groups and artificial neural network with back propagation algorithm for emotion classification in a group. Performance can be improved by using the large amount of data in a pertinent emotion to adequately train the system. With the limited set of data, this proposed system has provided consistently better accuracy for the perceptual feature with critical band analysis done in ERB scale.

Mitigating Faults and Revenue Losses Using Fault Detectors at Trans Amadi Industrial Layout, Port Harcourt Rivers State

Transmission line fault detection is an important aspect of monitoring the health of a power plant since it indicates when suspected faults could lead to catastrophic equipment failure. This research looks at how to detect generator and transmission line failures early and investigates fault detection methods using Artificial Neural Network approaches. Monitoring generator voltages and currents, as well as transmission line performance metrics, is a key monitoring criterion in big power systems. Failures result in system downtime, equipment damage, and a high danger to the power system's integrity, as well as a negative impact on the network's operability and dependability. As a result, from a simulation standpoint, this study looks at fault detection on the Trans Amadi Industrial Layout lines. In the proposed approach, one end's three phase currents and voltages are used as inputs. For the examination of each of the three stages involved in the process, a feed forward neural network with a back propagation algorithm has been used for defect detection and classification. To validate the neural network selection, a detailed analysis with varied numbers of hidden layers was carried out. Between transmission lines and power customers, electrical breakdowns have always been a source of contention. This dissertation discusses the use of Artificial Neural Networks to detect defects in transmission lines. The ANN is used to model and anticipate the occurrence of transmission line faults, as well as classify them based on their transient characteristics. The results revealed that, with proper issue setup and training, the ANN can properly discover and classify defects. The method's adaptability is tested by simulating various defects with various parameters. The proposed method can be applied to the power system's transmission and distribution networks. The MATLAB environment is used for numerous simulations and signal analysis. The study's main contribution is the use of artificial neural networks to detect transmission line faults. Keywords: Faults and Revenue Losses

COVID-19 screening: use of an artificial neural network

ObjectivesCOVID-19 is the biggest pandemic of the 21st century. The disease can be influenced by various sociodemographic factors and can manifest as clinical, pulmonary and gastrointestinal symptoms. This study used an artificial neural network (ANN) model with important sociodemographic factors as well as clinical, pulmonary and gastrointestinal symptoms to screen patients for COVID-19. Patients themselves can screen for these symptoms at home.MethodsData on all registered patients were extracted in autumn. The best ANN model was selected from different combinations of connections, some hidden layers and some neurons in each hidden layer. In this study, 70% of the data were used in the network training process and the remaining 30% were used to evaluate the function of the multilayer, feed-forward, back-propagation algorithm.ResultsThe sensitivity and specificity of the ANN model in diagnosing patients with COVID-19 were 94.5% and 17.4%. In order of priority, clinical symptoms, sociodemographic factors, pulmonary symptoms and gastrointestinal symptoms were important predictive factors for COVID-19 using the ANN model. Screening patients for COVID-19 using clinical symptoms and sociodemographic factors (80% importance) remains essential.ConclusionsHome monitoring of oxygen saturation and body temperature as well as old age and drug addiction can be helpful in self-screening symptoms of COVID-19 at home, thereby preventing unnecessary visits to medical centres and reducing burden on medical services.

Prediction of ground subsidence due to underground mining through time using multilayer feed-forward artificial neural networks and back-propagation algorithm – case study at Mong Duong underground coal mine (Vietnam)

The paper is devoted to studying the possibility of using artificial neural networks (ANN) to estimate ground subsidence caused by underground mining. The experiments showed that the most suitable network structure is a network with three layers of perceptrons and four neurons in the hidden layer with the back propagation algorithm (BP) as a training algorithm. The subsidence observation data in the Mong Duong underground coal mine and other parameters, including: (1) the distance from the centre of the stope to the ground monitoring points; (2) the volume of mined-out space; (3) the positions of the ground points in the direction of the main cross-section of the trough; and (4) the time (presented by cycle number), were used as the input data for the ANN. The findings showed that the selected model was suitable for predicting subsidence along the main profile within the subsidence trough. The prediction accuracy depended on the number of cycles used for the network training as well as the time interval between the predicted cycle and the last cycle in the training dataset. When the number of monitoring cycles used for the network training was greater than eight, the largest values of RMS and MAE were less than 10 % compared to the actual maximum subsidence value for each cycle. If the network training was less than eight cycles, the results of prediction did not meet the accuracy requirements.

Artificial Neural Network Context-Aware Reasoning Engine Model for Predicting User-Ranked Activities

The choice of users’ activity in a context-aware environment depends on users’ preferences and background. Users tend to rank concurrent activities and select their preferred activity. Researchers and developers of context-aware applications have sought various mechanisms to implement context reasoning engines. Recent implementations use Artificial Neural Networks (ANN) and other machine learning techniques to develop a context-aware reasoning engine to predict users’ activities. However, the complexities of these mechanisms overwhelm the processing capabilities and storage capacity of mobile devices. The study models a context-aware reasoning engine using a multi-layered perceptron with a gradient descent back-propagation algorithm to predict activity from user-ranked activities using a stochastic learning mode with a constant learning rate. The work deduced that working with specific rules in training a neural network is not always applicable. Training a network without approximation of neuron’s output to the nearest whole number increases the accuracy level of the network at the end of the training.

Intelligent Predictor for Polymer Viscosity to Enhance Support for EOR Processes

Research into the use of polymers for enhanced oil recovery (EOR) processes has been going on for more than 6 decades and is now classified as a techno-commercially viable option. A comprehensive evaluation of the polymer's rheology is pivotal to the success of any polymer EOR process. Laboratory-based evaluation is critical to EOR success; however, it is also a time/capital consuming process. Consequently, any tool which can aid in optimizing lab tests design can bring in great value. Accordingly, in this study a novel predictive correlation for viscosity estimation of commonly used "FP 3330S" EOR polymer is presented through use of cutting-edge machine learning neural networks. Mathematical equation for polymer viscosity is developed using machine learning algorithms as a function of polymer concentration, NaCl concentration, and Ca2+ concentration. The measured input data was collected from the literature and sub-divided into training and test sets. A wide-ranging optimization was performed to select the best parameters for the neural network which includes the number of neurons, neuron layers, activation functions between multiple layers, weights, and bias. Furthermore, the Levenberg-Marquardt back-propagation algorithm was utilized to train the model. Finally, measured and estimated viscosities were compared based on error-analysis. Novel correlation is developed for the polymer that can be used in predictive mode. This established correlation can predict polymer viscosity when applied to the test dataset and outperforms other published models with average error in the range of 3-5% and coefficient of determination in excess of 0.95. Moreover, it is shown that neural networks are faster and relatively better than other machine learning algorithms explored in this study. The proposed correlation can map non-linear relationships between polymer viscosity and other rheological parameters such as molecular weight, polymer concentration, and cation concentration of polymer solution. Lastly, through machine learning validation approach, it was possible to examine feasibility of the proposed models which is not done by traditional empirical equations.