scholarly journals Modeling the Effects of Coordinating Macro-Prudential Rule and Monetary Policy

2019 ◽  
Vol 23 (4) ◽  
pp. 686-694
Author(s):  
Xiaowen Hu ◽  
◽  
Chengchen Hu ◽  
Zhixiang Tang ◽  
Zhen Li
Keyword(s):  
Monetary Policy ◽  
House Prices ◽  
Housing Prices ◽  
Policy Instruments ◽  
New Keynesian ◽  
External Shocks ◽  
Financial Condition ◽  
Keynesian Model ◽  
Prudential Policy ◽  
Better Than

We develop a new Keynesian model featuring a dual-pillar monetary policy. We employ this framework to analyze the effects of coordinating macro-prudential rule and monetary policy in China using different tools. The simulation results show that: (1) adopting macro-prudential rule and monetary policy simultaneously can achieve a more stable economic environment than using monetary policy alone; (2) a price-based monetary policy is more effective in stabilizing economic fluctuations than a quantity-based monetary policy when considering the macro-prudential policy; (3) the combination of quantity-based monetary policy and macro-prudential rule can stabilize housing prices and credit growth better than the price-based tools. The study shows that when house prices rise rapidly owing to external shocks, adopting the quantity-based policy instruments and macro-prudential policy is a wise choice. When the financial condition is stable, the combination of price-based instruments and macro-prudential rule is better.

scholarly journals On the Limits of Macroprudential Policy

2020 ◽  
Vol 0 (0) ◽  
Author(s):  
Marcin Kolasa
Keyword(s):  
Monetary Policy ◽  
Policy Instruments ◽  
New Keynesian ◽  
Output Volatility ◽  
Macroprudential Policy ◽  
Collateral Constraints ◽  
Keynesian Model ◽  
Additional Stabilization ◽  
The Interest Rate

AbstractThis paper studies how macroprudential policy tools applied to the housing market can complement the interest rate-based monetary policy in achieving one additional stabilization objective, defined as keeping either economic activity or credit at some exogenous (and possibly time-varying) levels. We show analytically in a canonical New Keynesian model with housing and collateral constraints that using the loan-to-value (LTV) ratio, tax on credit or tax on property as additional policy instruments does not resolve the inflation-output volatility tradeoff. Perfect targeting of inflation and credit with monetary and macroprudential policy is possible only if the role of housing debt in the economy is sufficiently small. The identified limits to the considered policies are related to their predominantly intertemporal impact on decisions made by financially constrained agents, making them poor complements to monetary policy, which also operates at an intertemporal margin. These limits can be overcome if macroprudential policy is instead designed such that it sufficiently redistributes income between savers and borrowers.

Inclusion of Asset Prices: An Argument for Monetary Policy and the Phillips Curve

2018 ◽  
Vol 64 (3) ◽  
pp. 239-252
Author(s):  
Alexander Mislin
Keyword(s):  
Monetary Policy ◽  
Asset Prices ◽  
Price Index ◽  
Phillips Curve ◽  
House Prices ◽  
Optimization Procedure ◽  
New Keynesian ◽  
Keynesian Model ◽  
Consumer Prices ◽  
Dynamic Stochastic

Abstract This article develops an augmented price index that includes house prices, so that the relationship between inflation and unemployment levels in the traditional Phillips curve can be better represented. This general price index may be considered complementary to the Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices (HICP) and establishes the model-theoretical basis for a new-Keynesian model that derives the conditions for a monetary policy rule in a dynamic stochastic optimization procedure. Based on a simple stochastic differential equation for augmented inflation, we show that the reaction of the central bank depends on the marginal effects on augmented inflation and the output gap of an infinitesimal change in asset prices. This analysis could be interpreted as a way of using asset prices for a general price index, being an adequate method to restore monetary credibility. JEL classifications: E52, E58, G10 Keywords: monetary policy, asset prices, Phillips curve

WHY JOIN A CURRENCY UNION? A NOTE ON THE IMPACT OF BELIEFS ON THE CHOICE OF MONETARY POLICY

2011 ◽  
Vol 16 (2) ◽  
pp. 320-334 ◽  
Author(s):  
Federico Ravenna
Keyword(s):  
Monetary Policy ◽  
Open Economy ◽  
Policy Maker ◽  
Small Open Economy ◽  
Optimal Choice ◽  
New Keynesian ◽  
Monetary Policies ◽  
Keynesian Model ◽  
The Impact ◽  
Better Than

We argue that a fixed exchange rate can be an optimal choice even if a policy maker could commit to the first-best monetary policy whenever the private sector's beliefs reflect incomplete information about the policy maker's dependability. This model implies that joining a currency area may be optimal for its impact not on the behavior of the policy maker, but on the beliefs of the private sector. Monetary policies are evaluated using a new Keynesian model of a small open economy solved under imperfect policy credibility. We quantify the minimum distance between announced policy and the private sector's beliefs that is necessary for a peg to perform better than an independent monetary policy when the policy maker can commit to the first-best policy.

scholarly journals Information Use and the Condorcet Jury Theorem

Mathematics ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 9 (10) ◽  
pp. 1098
Author(s):  
Keiichi Morimoto
Keyword(s):  
Monetary Policy ◽  
Voting Behavior ◽  
Imperfect Information ◽  
Information Use ◽  
Information Aggregation ◽  
New Keynesian ◽  
Strategic Complementarity ◽  
Keynesian Model ◽  
Jury Theorem

Using a simple model of a coordination game, this paper explores how the information use of individuals affects an optimal committee size. Although enlarging the committee promotes information aggregation, it also stimulates the members’ coordination motive and distorts their voting behavior through higher-order beliefs. On the determination of a finite optimal committee size, the direction and degree of strategic interactions matter. When the strategic complementarity among members is strong, a finite optimal committee size exists. In contrast, it does not exist under strategic substitution. This mechanism is applied to the design of monetary policy committees in a New Keynesian model in which a committee conducts monetary policy under imperfect information.

scholarly journals Monetary Policy Its Instruments and Convergence of Its Objectives: Case of Angola 2005/2017

2019 ◽  
Vol 5 (2) ◽  
pp. 161
Author(s):  
Antonio, Pitshu Massaka
Keyword(s):  
Monetary Policy ◽  
Policy Instruments ◽  
Multiple Linear Regression Model ◽  
Economic Thought ◽  
Policy Framework ◽  
Open Market ◽  
New Paradigm ◽  
Keynesian Model ◽  
Market Operation ◽  
Open Market Operation

<p><em>This paper proposes a new paradigm for the analysis of monetary policy, and presents the monetary policy framework in Angola which includes the policy instruments, and implementation mechanism the way between instrument and objective.<strong> </strong>To study the Monetary Policy instruments in Angola based on a multiple linear regression model. Before the model was conceived an analogy was made about the politics and instruments of monetary policy from the classical Keynesian model in the matter, but also less important also to analyze the concrete objective of monetary policy if the authors agree connected with those currents of economic thought. For the estimation of the equation for the monetary aggregate M2 that represents the money supply by the Central Bank in Angola The author applied the current implementation and the existing theories to display the Angola monetary tools such as basic interest rate for monetary policy orientation (tbna), open market operation, Lending Facility, coefficient of required reserve, net international reserves, and the Gross Domestic Product, the reference oil price to brent. Most of the variables present the expected results.</em></p>

ARE MAJOR CENTRAL BANKS BLINDED BY THE ANALYTICAL ELEGANCE OF THEIR MODELS? POSSIBLE COSTS OF UNCONVENTIONAL MONETARY POLICY MEASURES

2017 ◽  
Vol 62 (01) ◽  
pp. 87-108 ◽  
Author(s):  
PIOTR CIŻKOWICZ ◽  
ANDRZEJ RZOŃCAZ
Keyword(s):  
Monetary Policy ◽  
Global Financial Crisis ◽  
Significant Risk ◽  
Central Banks ◽  
New Keynesian ◽  
New Keynesian Model ◽  
Unconventional Monetary Policy ◽  
Keynesian Model ◽  
Policy Measures ◽  
The Global Financial Crisis

We survey the possible costs of the unconventional monetary policy measures undertaken by major central banks after the outbreak of the global financial crisis in 2008. We argue that these costs are not easily discernable in the new Keynesian (NK) model, which defines a theoretical framework for monetary policy. First, the costs may result from the effects of unconventional monetary policy measures on the intensity of restructuring and the persistence of uncertainty (which increased after the outbreak of the crisis). However, neither of these processes is considered in the new Keynesian model. Second, costs may be generated not only by distortions in the choices made by economic agents but may also be a result of the decisions made by governments, particularly in terms of the fiscal deficit level. However, the new Keynesian model does not consider the effects of unconventional monetary policy measures on the quality of fiscal policy. Without carefully considering the costs, there is a significant risk that unconventional monetary policy measures could become a conventional response to recurrent crises.

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