The Use of Rate-Transient-Analysis Modeling To Quantify Uncertainties in Commingled Tight Gas Production-Forecasting and Decline-Analysis Parameters in the Alberta Deep Basin

2014 ◽  
Vol 17 (02) ◽  
pp. 209-219 ◽  
Author(s):  
H.. Luo ◽  
G.F.. F. Mahiya ◽  
S.. Pannett ◽  
P.. Benham

Summary The evaluation of expected ultimate recovery (EUR) for tight gas wells has generally relied upon the Arps equation for decline-curve analysis (DCA) as a popular approach. However, it is typical in tight gas reservoirs to have limited production history that has yet to reach boundary-dominated flow because of the low permeability of such systems. Commingled production makes the situation even more complicated with multiboundary behavior. When suitable analogs are not available, rate-transient analysis (RTA) can play an important role to justify DCA assumptions for production forecasting. The Deep-basin East field has been developed with hydraulically fractured vertical wells through commingled production from multiple formations since 2002. To evaluate potential of this field, DCA type curves for various areas were established according to well performance and geological trending. Multiple-segment DCA methodology demonstrated reasonable forecasts, in which one Arps equation is used to describe the rapidly decreasing transient period in early time and another equation is used for boundary-dominated flow. However, a limitation of this approach is the uncertainty of the forecast in the absence of extended production data because the EUR can be sensitive to adjustments in some assumed DCA parameters of the second segment. In this paper, we used RTA to assess reservoir and fracture properties in multiple layers and built RTA-type well models around which uncertainty analyses were performed. The distributions of the model properties were then used in Monte Carlo analysis to forecast production and define uncertainty ranges for EUR and DCA parameters. The resulting forecasts and EUR distribution from RTA modeling generally support the DCA assumptions used for the type curves for corresponding areas of the field. The study also showed how the contribution from the various commingled layers changes with time. The proposed workflow provides a fit-for-purpose way to quantify uncertainties in tight gas production forecasting, especially for cases when production history is limited and field-level numerical simulation is not practicable.

SPE Journal ◽  
2016 ◽  
Vol 22 (03) ◽  
pp. 924-939 ◽  
Author(s):  
Youwei He ◽  
Shiqing Cheng ◽  
Shuang Li ◽  
Yao Huang ◽  
Jiazheng Qin ◽  
...  

Summary The increasing activities in tight reservoir exploitation through fractured wells have attracted interests of pressure-transient analysis (PTA) for well-performance evaluation. The production rates of different fractures were assumed to be equal in previous models. However, different fractures have unequal contributions to the total-gas-production rate because of the differences of fracture scale (e.g., half-length, height), heterogeneity of gas saturation, formation damage, and fracture closure. This paper considers the effect of unequal gas-production rate of each fracture (UGPREF) on pressure-transient behaviors, and develops a semianalytical methodology to diagnose the specific locations of underperforming fractures through PTA by use of bottomhole-pressure (BHP) data. First, new semianalytical solutions of a multifractured horizontal well (MFHW) in a tight gas reservoir are derived on the basis of the Green function (Gringarten and Ramey 1973) and Newman product method (Newman 1936). Second, the model is validated by comparison with the numerical model in KAPPA Ecrin (Saphir) software (Essca 2011). Third, type curves are developed, and sensitivity analysis is further investigated. Results show that there exist clear distinctions among these type curves between equal gas-production rate of each fracture (EGPREF) and UGPREF. The early radial flow is distinguishable and behaves as a horizontal line with the value of 0.5/N* (N* = N for EGPREF, N*≠N for UGPREF) in the pseudopressure-derivative curves when the interferences between fractures do not overlap this period. If the early-radial flow was mistakenly regarded as pseudoradial flow, the interpreted permeability would be N* times smaller than the accurate result. Furthermore, the methodology is applied to a field case of the Daniudi tight gas reservoir in the Ordos Basin, which illustrates its physical consistency and practicability to diagnose the specific locations of underperforming hydraulic fractures through pressure-history matching. It also provides feasible references for reservoir engineers in well-performance evaluation and field strategy (e.g., refracturing, acidizing, or other stimulation treatments) to enhance hydrocarbon production.


2021 ◽  
pp. 1-23
Author(s):  
Daniel O'Reilly ◽  
Manouchehr Haghighi ◽  
Mohammad Sayyafzadeh ◽  
Matthew Flett

Summary An approach to the analysis of production data from waterflooded oil fields is proposed in this paper. The method builds on the established techniques of rate-transient analysis (RTA) and extends the analysis period to include the transient- and steady-state effects caused by a water-injection well. This includes the initial rate transient during primary production, the depletion period of boundary-dominated flow (BDF), a transient period after injection starts and diffuses across the reservoir, and the steady-state production that follows. RTA will be applied to immiscible displacement using a graph that can be used to ascertain reservoir properties and evaluate performance aspects of the waterflood. The developed solutions can also be used for accurate and rapid forecasting of all production transience and boundary-dominated behavior at all stages of field life. Rigorous solutions are derived for the transient unit mobility displacement of a reservoir fluid, and for both constant-rate-injection and constant-pressure-injection after a period of reservoir depletion. A simple treatment of two-phase flow is given to extend this to the water/oil-displacement problem. The solutions are analytical and are validated using reservoir simulation and applied to field cases. Individual wells or total fields can be studied with this technique; several examples of both will be given. Practical cases are given for use of the new theory. The equations can be applied to production-data interpretation, production forecasting, injection-water allocation, and for the diagnosis of waterflood-performanceproblems. Correction Note: The y-axis of Fig. 8d was corrected to "Dimensionless Decline Rate Integral, qDdi". No other content was changed.


2016 ◽  
Vol 19 (01) ◽  
pp. 024-040 ◽  
Author(s):  
Liliana Zambrano ◽  
Per K. Pedersen ◽  
Roberto Aguilera

Summary A comparison of rock properties integrated with production performance and hydraulic-fracturing flowback (FB) of the uppermost lithostratigraphic “Monteith A” and the lowermost portion “Monteith C” of the Monteith Formation in the Western Canada Sedimentary Basin (WCSB) in Alberta is carried out with the use of existing producing gas wells. The analyses are targeted to understand the major geologic controls that differentiate the two tight gas sandstone reservoirs. This study consists of basic analytical tools available for geological characterization of tight gas reservoirs that is based on the identification and comparison of different rock types such as depositional, petrographic, and hydraulic for each lithostratigraphic unit of the Monteith Formation. As these low-matrix-permeability sandstone reservoirs were subjected to intense post-depositional diagenesis, a comparison of the various rock types allows the generation of more-accurate reservoir description, and a better understanding of the key geologic characteristics that control gas-production potential and possible impact on hydraulic-fracturing FB. Well performance and FB were the focus of many previous simulation and geochemical studies. In contrast, we find that an adequate understanding of the rocks hosting hydraulic fractures is a necessary complement to those studies for estimating FB times. This understanding was lacking in some previous studies. As a result, a new method is proposed on the basis of a crossplot of cumulative gas production vs. square root of time for estimating FB time. It is concluded that the “Monteith A” unit has better rock quality than the “Monteith C” unit because of less-heterogeneous reservoir geometry, less-complex mineralogical composition, and larger pore-throat apertures.


2003 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jorge A. Arevalo-Villagran ◽  
Heber Cinco-Ley ◽  
Robert. A. Wattenbarger ◽  
Francisco Garcia-Hernandez ◽  
Fernando Samaniego-Verduzco

2016 ◽  
Vol 19 (01) ◽  
pp. 083-094 ◽  
Author(s):  
C. S. Kabir ◽  
R.. Haftbaradaran ◽  
R.. Asghari ◽  
J. P. Sastre

Summary Analyzing well performance is a complex process that increases in difficulty when multiple reservoir-drive mechanisms are in play in the same reservoir. This paper explores an overpressured, compacting chalk reservoir with high porosity and high oil saturation at initial conditions. The diverse drive mechanisms, experienced through the long production history of Valhall Field in Norway, are caused by different degrees of reservoir compaction across the field and the recent waterflood at the crest and northern areas of the field. The purpose of this study is to illuminate the various drive mechanisms experienced in this field. The underlying objective is to understand widely varying Arps b-factors in decline-curve analysis (DCA) that support production forecasting and project evaluation. The performances of inactive wells with long production histories were used as analogs to analyze active wells. Other analytical tools also were used to augment overall understanding of a type well's performance, including rate-transient analysis (RTA) and capacitance/resistance modeling (CRM). This study demonstrates that the proposed work flow for reservoir-performance forecasting can be adopted in highly complex reservoirs with different rock-mechanical properties, drive mechanisms, production scheduling, and field-development strategies. Specifically, the work flow entails establishing energy support for individual wells by use of Arps b-factor with DCA; collapsing shut-in periods, if any, and using the cumulative production curve for DCA to retain solution objectivity; performing RTA to gauge pressure/rate coherence and system's linearity; and using CRM to establish injector/producer connectivity.


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