Clinical Characteristics and Nomogram for Adult Medullary Thyroid Carcinoma
Abstract Objectives: The present study aimed to investigate the clinical characteristics and independent prognostic factors in adult patients with medullary thyroid carcinoma (MTC), followed by construction of nomogram-based prognostic prediction model for adult MTC.Methods: Relevant subjects were retrieved from Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) program from January 1, 2004 through December 31, 2014. According to the multivariate analysis, the 3- and 5-year cancer-specific survival (CSS) in MTC patients was predicted by constructing a nomogram. Results: In total, 1279 patients diagnosed with primary MTC were extracted from the SEER database. The 3-, 5-and 10-year CSS rates were 91.11%, 88.32%, and 81.63%, respectively. The Cox proportional hazards model revealed that advanced AJCC stage and elderly age were independent unfavorable prognostic factors, and that surgery and radical lymph node dissection were protective prognostic factors (all P<0.05). In addition, radiotherapy was independently related to the decreased survival. The C-index of nomogram was 0.902 (95% CI: 0.878–0.926) for the internal validations. Calibration plot revealed satisfactory agreement between the actual findings and predicted outcomes.Conclusion: The nomogram could individually and precisely predict the CSS of MTC patients, which could be used to facilitate in individualized prognostic assessment evaluation and clinical decision-making.