Identification of the Airspace Affected by the Presence of Volcanic Ash by Processing Satellite Images, Case Study: Popocatepétl Volcano Area

A volcanic eruption can affect large areas of the atmosphere around the volcano. Commercial aviation uses these zones the airspace as a navigation zone. Encountering these ash clouds can cause severe damage to different parts of the aircraft, mainly the engines. This work aims to generate a predictive tool based on the frequency of affectation of the airspace areas around a volcano with eruptive activity, taking the Popocatépetl volcano as a case study. Was carried temporal wind analysis at different atmosphere levels to identifying direction towards which wind disperses ash in year months. This information shown two representative seasons in the direction of dispersion: the first from November to May and the second from July to September, taking into account that June and October are transitional months and therefore do not present a predominant direction. To identify the ash cloud and estimate its area, a set of MODIS images was compiled that recorded the activity in the period 2000-2014. These satellite images were subjected to a semi-automatic digital pre-processing of binarization by thresholds according to the level of the Brightness Temperature Difference between band 31 and band 32, followed by manual evaluation of each binarized image. The result of those above pre-processing was a set of pixels with spatial (longitude and latitude) and temporal (date) description, from which the history of the areas affected by ash permanence was obtained. Additionally, a set of pixels evaluated and labeled in table form could be used as training data for future artificial intelligence applications to automatically detect and discriminate ash clouds.