Identification of Multi-omics Biomarkers and Construction of the Novel Prognostic Model for Hepatocellular Carcinoma
Abstract Background: Change in the genome plays a crucial role in cancerogenesis and many biomarkers can be used as effective prognostic indicators in diverse tumors. Currently, although many studies have constructed some predictive models for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) based on molecular signatures, the performance of which is unsatisfactory. To fill this shortcoming, we hope to construct a novel and accurate prognostic model with multi-omics data to guide prognostic assessments of HCC. Methods: The TCGA training set was used to identify crucial biomarkers and construct single-omic prognostic models through difference analysis, univariate Cox, and LASSO/stepwise Cox analysis. Then the performances of single-omic models were evaluated and validated through survival analysis, Harrell’s concordance index (C-index), and receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve, in the TCGA test set and external cohorts. Besides, a comprehensive model based on multi-omics data was constructed via multiple Cox analysis, and the performance of which was evaluated in the TCGA training set and TCGA test set. Results: We identified 16 key mRNAs, 20 key lncRNAs, 5 key miRNAs, 5 key CNV genes, and 7 key SNPs which were significantly associated with the prognosis of HCC, and constructed 5 single-omic models which showed relatively good performance in prognostic prediction with c-index ranged from 0.63 to 0.75 in the TCGA training set and test set. Besides, we validated the mRNA model and the SNP model in two independent external datasets respectively, and good discriminating abilities were observed through survival analysis (P < 0.05). Moreover, the multi-omics model based on mRNA, lncRNA, miRNA, CNV, and SNP information presented a quite strong predictive ability with c-index over 0.80 and all AUC values at 1,3,5-years more than 0.84.Conclusion: In this study, we identified many biomarkers that may help study underlying carcinogenesis mechanisms in HCC, and constructed five single-omic models and an integrated multi-omics model that may provide effective and reliable guides for prognosis assessment and treatment decision-making.