Early change in prostate-specific antigen levels as a predictive marker for overall survival during vintage hormonal therapy for metastatic hormone-sensitive prostate cancer

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Shotaro Nakanishi ◽  
Masato Goya ◽  
Mitsuyoshi Tamaki ◽  
Takuma Oshiro ◽  
Seiichi Saito

Abstract Background The effect of early changes in prostate-specific antigen (PSA) levels after androgen deprivation therapy (ADT) in metastatic hormone-sensitive prostate cancer (mHSPC) patients has not been well investigated. Here, we evaluated the effect of factors that lead to castration-resistant prostate cancer (CRPC) progression and overall survival (OS) in mHSPC. Methods Medical records of 71 consecutive primary mHSPC patients treated with ADT were analyzed. Factors predicting the time to CRPC and OS in these patients were evaluated at 3 months after ADT induction. Results The median times to CRPC and OS were 15 months and 92 months, respectively. In multivariate analysis using Cox proportional hazards regression, a Gleason score of 8 or more (p = 0.004), extent of disease value (EOD) of 2 or more (p = 0.004), and a PSA level of 1% or more of the pretreatment levels after 3 months of ADT (p = 0.017) were independent predictors of shorter time to CRPC. For OS, a PSA level of 1% or more after 3 months of ADT was the independent predictor (p = 0.004). Conclusion % PSA was an important factor that correlated with poor prognosis at 3 months after ADT induction.

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Shotaro Nakanishi ◽  
Masato Goya ◽  
Mitsuyoshi Tamaki ◽  
Takuma Oshiro ◽  
Seiichi Saito

Abstract Objective: To date, there are no useful markers for predicting the prognosis of metastatic hormone-sensitive prostate cancer (mHSPC). We evaluated the effect of early changes in prostate-specific antigen (PSA) levels after androgen deprivation therapy (ADT) on castration-resistant prostate cancer (CRPC) progression and overall survival (OS) in mHSPC patients. Results: In 71 primary mHSPC patients treated with ADT, the median times to CRPC and OS were 15 months and 92 months, respectively. In multivariate analysis, a Gleason score of ≥8 (p = 0.004), an extent of disease value (EOD) of ≥2 (p = 0.004), and a 3-month PSA level >1% of the pretreatment level (p = 0.017) were independent predictors of shorter time to CRPC. The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve was feasible at 0.822. For OS, a 3-month PSA level >1% of the pretreatment level was an independent predictor of time to CRPC (p = 0.004).Three factors were independent predictors of shorter time to CRPC. A 3-month PSA level >1% of the pretreatment level correlated with poor a prognosis.


2021 ◽  
Vol 14 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Shotaro Nakanishi ◽  
Masato Goya ◽  
Mitsuyoshi Tamaki ◽  
Takuma Oshiro ◽  
Seiichi Saito

Abstract Objective To date, there are no useful markers for predicting the prognosis of metastatic hormone-sensitive prostate cancer (mHSPC). We evaluated the effect of early changes in prostate-specific antigen (PSA) levels after androgen deprivation therapy (ADT) on castration-resistant prostate cancer (CRPC) progression and overall survival (OS) in mHSPC patients. Results In 71 primary mHSPC patients treated with ADT, the median times to CRPC and OS were 15 months and 92 months, respectively. In multivariate analysis, a Gleason score of ≥ 8 (p = 0.004), an extent of disease value (EOD) of ≥ 2 (p = 0.004), and a 3-month PSA level > 1% of the pretreatment level (p = 0.017) were independent predictors of shorter time to CRPC. The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve was feasible at 0.822. A 3-month PSA level > 1% of the pretreatment level was an independent predictor of OS (p = 0.004). Three factors were independent predictors of shorter time to CRPC. A 3-month PSA level > 1% of the pretreatment level correlated with a poor prognosis.


2011 ◽  
Vol 29 (7_suppl) ◽  
pp. 118-118
Author(s):  
G. Sonpavde ◽  
G. R. Pond ◽  
W. R. Berry ◽  
R. De Wit ◽  
M. A. Eisenberger ◽  
...  

118 Background: In men with metastatic castration resistant prostate cancer (CRPC),the association of measurable tumor responses with overall survival (OS) is unknown. We retrospectively evaluated the TAX327 phase III trial to study this relationship. Methods: Eligible patients for this analysis included those with WHO-defined measurable metastatic disease randomized to receive either docetaxel or mitoxantrone. OS was estimated using the Kaplan-Meier method and the prognostic relationship of WHO-defined radiologic response with OS was performed using Cox proportional hazards regression. Landmark analyses evaluated survival from baseline and 2, 3, 4 and 6 months after baseline. Results: Four hundred and twelve patients enrolled on the TAX327 trial had measurable tumors. Thirty-seven patients exhibited a complete or partial objective response (CR/PR, 9.0%), 116 had stable disease (SD, 28.2%), 99 had progressive disease (PD,24%) and 160 (38.8%) did not have a post-baseline objective assessment. Partial responders demonstrated longer median OS (29.0 months) than patients with SD (22.1 months), or those with PD (10.8 months) or those who were not assessed (12.7 months). These results remained after landmark analysis. We found a significant association between ≥30% PSA declines and radiologic response, with ≥30% PSA declines occurring in all patients with CR/PR, 79.8% of patients with SD and 34.4% with PD. Radiologic response remained a significant but modest post-treatment prognostic factor for OS after adjusting for treatment, pain-response and ≥30% PSA-decline (p=0.009). Conclusions: In men with metastatic CRPC and measurable disease receiving chemotherapy, objective tumor response was prognostic for OS, and appears to complement PSA assessment. [Table: see text]


2020 ◽  
Vol 38 (6_suppl) ◽  
pp. 168-168
Author(s):  
Jasmine Jiemei Wang ◽  
Pai-Chi Teng ◽  
Yu Jen Jan ◽  
Jie-Fu Chen ◽  
Galen Cook-Wiens ◽  
...  

168 Background: Circulating tumor cells (CTCs) have arisen as contemporary noninvasive prognostic biomarkers for prostate cancer (PC). Previously, a subgroup of PC CTCs, with particularly small nuclei (<8.5 μm), were found to be correlated with the presence of visceral metastases. This subgroup was named very-small-nuclear CTCs (vsnCTCs). We proposed vsnCTCs as a putative biomarker of a lethal subtype in metastatic castration resistant PC (mCRPC). Methods: In this study, 76 patients with mCRPC were recruited for overall survival (OS) analysis. Of the 76 patients, 47 had available pre-treatment blood specimens prior to the initiation of androgen receptor signaling inhibitor (ARSI, e.g. abiraterone and enzalutamide) or taxane therapy. Using the NanoVelcro CTC Assay, CTCs were captured and subjected to immunofluorescence staining. CTCs were identified as DAPI+/CK+/CD45- with a round or oval nucleus. Additionally, CTC nuclear size was measured and defined as the square root of the product of the long axis and the short axis. Kaplan-Meier analysis and Cox proportional hazards model were conducted. Results: Patients with vsnCTC (i.e., vsnCTC+) had a significantly shortened OS compared with patients without vsnCTC (i.e., vsnCTC-). The median OS was 34 (vsnCTC+, n=49) vs. 149 (vsnCTC-, n=27) weeks (log-rank HR=2.6 with 95% CI 1.5 to 4.5, p=0.0006). Progression free survival (PFS) analysis was performed for the 47 patients with pre-treatment blood samples. The median PFS was 14 (vsnCTC+, n=29) vs. 26 (vsnCTC-, n=18) weeks (log-rank HR=2.2 with 95% CI 1.2 to 3.9, p=0.0069). We also found that the hazard ratio of overall survival increased significantly as the CTC nuclear size decreased using the p spline plot. Conclusions: Our study showed that nuclear size reduction has importance in CTCs in a fashion similar to its utility in tissue. This study points toward the importance of the vsnCTC in patients with mCRPC, as vsnCTC+ patients represented a group at risk for faster clinical progression who are at the highest risk for morality. We posit that the vsnCTC represents a new hallmark of an aggressive subtype of mCRPC. This has potential importance in optimizing therapeutic choices.


2018 ◽  
Vol 12 (8) ◽  
Author(s):  
Daniel W. Yokom ◽  
John Stewart ◽  
Nimira S. Alimohamed ◽  
Eric Winquist ◽  
Scott Barry ◽  
...  

Introduction: Cabazitaxel is one of several treatment options available for patients with metastatic castration-resistant prostate cancer who have progressed on docetaxel. Little is known about clinical factors that influence prognosis or treatment response for patients receiving cabazitaxel. Identifying prognostic and predictive factors could contribute to the optimal selection of patients for treatment after docetaxel.Methods: A retrospective review of patients enrolled on the cabazitaxel Canadian Early Access Program (C-EAP) was performed. Clinical factors were analyzed by univariable and multivariable Cox proportional hazards and logistic regression analysis to identify independent predictors of prognosis and response.Results: Forty-five patients from five centres in Canada were included in this study. On multivariable analysis, lower hemoglobin was associated with shorter survival. No other factors were independently associated with survival, prostate-specific antigen (PSA) response, or primary PSA progression.Conclusions: Clinical factors predicting survival or treatment response were not identified for men with castration-resistant prostate cancer receiving cabazitaxel. Larger studies may be necessary to identify clinical factors and biomarkers that identify whether patients should or should not receive cabazitaxel.


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