Early change in prostate-specific antigen levels as a predictive marker for overall survival during vintage hormonal therapy for metastatic hormone-sensitive prostate cancer
Abstract Background The effect of early changes in prostate-specific antigen (PSA) levels after androgen deprivation therapy (ADT) in metastatic hormone-sensitive prostate cancer (mHSPC) patients has not been well investigated. Here, we evaluated the effect of factors that lead to castration-resistant prostate cancer (CRPC) progression and overall survival (OS) in mHSPC. Methods Medical records of 71 consecutive primary mHSPC patients treated with ADT were analyzed. Factors predicting the time to CRPC and OS in these patients were evaluated at 3 months after ADT induction. Results The median times to CRPC and OS were 15 months and 92 months, respectively. In multivariate analysis using Cox proportional hazards regression, a Gleason score of 8 or more (p = 0.004), extent of disease value (EOD) of 2 or more (p = 0.004), and a PSA level of 1% or more of the pretreatment levels after 3 months of ADT (p = 0.017) were independent predictors of shorter time to CRPC. For OS, a PSA level of 1% or more after 3 months of ADT was the independent predictor (p = 0.004). Conclusion % PSA was an important factor that correlated with poor prognosis at 3 months after ADT induction.