Government Debt, the Real Interest Rate and External Balance in an Endogenous Growth Model of a Small Open Economy

2013 ◽  
Author(s):  
George Alogoskoufis
Keyword(s):  
Interest Rate ◽  
Endogenous Growth ◽  
Growth Model ◽  
Open Economy ◽  
Real Interest Rate ◽  
Small Open Economy ◽  
Government Debt ◽  
The Real ◽  
External Balance ◽  
Endogenous Growth Model

scholarly journals Risk Matters: The Real Effects of Volatility Shocks

2011 ◽  
Vol 101 (6) ◽  
pp. 2530-2561 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jesús Fernández-Villaverde ◽  
Pablo Guerrón-Quintana ◽  
Juan F Rubio-Ramírez ◽  
Martin Uribe
Keyword(s):  
Interest Rate ◽  
Interest Rates ◽  
Open Economy ◽  
Emerging Economies ◽  
Real Interest Rate ◽  
Small Open Economy ◽  
Real Interest Rates ◽  
The Real ◽  
Interest Rate Volatility ◽  
Business Cycle Model

We show how changes in the volatility of the real interest rate at which small open emerging economies borrow have an important effect on variables like output, consumption, investment, and hours. We start by documenting the strong evidence of time-varying volatility in the real interest rates faced by four emerging economies: Argentina, Brazil, Ecuador, and Venezuela. We estimate a stochastic volatility process for real interest rates. Then, we feed this process in a standard small open economy business cycle model. We find that an increase in real interest rate volatility triggers a fall in output, consumption, investment, hours, and debt. (JEL E13, E20, E32, E43, F32, F43, 011)

scholarly journals Openness, Bureaucratic Corruption And Public Policy In An Endogenous Growth Model

2010 ◽  
Vol 9 (3) ◽  
Author(s):  
Rangan Gupta ◽  
Emmanuel Ziramba
Keyword(s):  
Endogenous Growth ◽  
Growth Model ◽  
Open Economy ◽  
Overlapping Generations ◽  
Small Open Economy ◽  
Empirical Literature ◽  
Bureaucratic Corruption ◽  
Financial Repression ◽  
Endogenous Growth Model ◽  
The Government

In this paper, we develop a dynamic general equilibrium overlapping generations monetary endogenous growth model of a financially repressed small open economy characterized by bureaucratic corruption, and, in turn, analyze optimal policy decisions of the government following an increase in the degree of corruption. As suggested in the empirical literature, we find that increases in the degree of corruption should ideally result in an increase in the ratio of seigniorage to total revenue, as an optimal response of the benevolent government. In addition, higher degrees of corruption are also found to be accompanied by higher levels of financial repression. 

scholarly journals DYNAMIC ANALYSIS OF REDUCTIONS IN PUBLIC DEBT IN AN ENDOGENOUS GROWTH MODEL WITH PUBLIC CAPITAL

2016 ◽  
Vol 21 (6) ◽  
pp. 1454-1483 ◽  
Author(s):  
Noritaka Maebayashi ◽  
Takeo Hori ◽  
Koichi Futagami
Keyword(s):  
Endogenous Growth ◽  
Growth Model ◽  
Public Investment ◽  
Public Capital ◽  
Government Debt ◽  
The European Union ◽  
Fiscal Consolidation ◽  
Growth Pact ◽  
Endogenous Growth Model ◽  
The Government

We construct an endogenous growth model that includes productive public capital and government debt. We assume that the government debt-to-GDP ratio is gradually adjusted to a target level, reflecting the permanent commitment rules in the Stability and Growth Pact or the Maastricht Treaty in the European Union (i.e., the well-known 60% rule). These rules affect government borrowing and public investment. Here, we examine the welfare implications of the permanent commitment rules. We find that fiscal consolidation based on the rules improves social welfare. Moreover, the improvement in welfare accelerates as fiscal consolidation progresses more rapidly. Last, we also discuss and derive the optimal long-run debt-to-GDP ratio.

scholarly journals Government borrowing as a Ponzi scheme: the case of Bangladesh

2021 ◽  
Vol 10 (1) ◽  
pp. 81-86
Author(s):  
Syed Yusuf Saadat
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Growth Rate ◽  
Interest Rate ◽  
Real Interest Rate ◽  
Government Debt ◽  
Economic Growth Rate ◽  
The Real ◽  
Ponzi Scheme ◽  
The Government

This study investigates whether government borrowing can be likened to a Ponzi scheme which will allow the government to roll-over its debt perpetually. The results show that, on the basis of the condition of maintaining real economic growth rate above and beyond the real interest rate on government debt, it will not be possible to sustain a perpetual Ponzi scheme of all four types of National Savings Certificates in Bangladesh. The government’s debt may be rolled over perpetually for two types of National Savings Certificates, following the condition outlined in Ball, et al. (1998), or for three types of National Savings Certificates following the condition outlined in Mehrotra (2017). 

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