scholarly journals Testing for Structural Breaks and Dynamic Changes in Emerging Market Volatility

2007 ◽  
Author(s):  
Duc Khuong Nguyen ◽  
Mondher Bellalah
Author(s):  
Sherlinda Octa Yuniarsa ◽  
Jui-Chuan Della Chang

Objective - The purpose of this research is to explore the relationships among interest rate, exchange rate, and stock price in Indonesia. Methodology/Technique - This study used data from the Central Bank of Indonesia to empirically test a proposed model of interest rate, exchange rate, and stock price. Findings - The findings confirmed that there are positive volatilities from exchange rate and negative volatility from interest rate. The relationships among interest rate, exchange rate, and stock market excessive volatility a little bit strengthen during economic crises, a study that allows for structural breaks, to account for the effects of sudden macroeconomic shocks, recessions, and financial crises, would be important to empirical literature on Indonesia. Novelty - This study proved that it is important to point out the variance decomposition results also showed that except for volatility in the exchange rate, interest rate, and stock market volatility also seems to explain quite a high proportion of the some variations of the macroeconomic excessive volatility. Type of Paper - Conceptual Keywords: interest rate volatility, exchange rate volatility, stock market volatility, emerging market, Asymmetric ARCH models


2017 ◽  
Vol 21 (4) ◽  
pp. 350-355 ◽  
Author(s):  
Sayantan Khanra ◽  
Sanjay Dhir

Extant research has explored numerous ideal approaches to predict and anticipate the unpredictability in stocks to mitigate business risks. This article attempts to offer an important insight on creating values in terms of financial returns dodging the risks associated with the market volatility in emerging market economies by exploring the context of National Stock Exchange (NSE), India. The study establishes that Small-cap companies, which are included in NSE Small 100 index, are less inclined to be impacted by the market volatility index (NVIX) compared to the Large-cap companies and Mid-cap companies that are under respective Broad Market Indices. Furthermore, this article examines 64 Small-cap companies, belonging to nine different sectors, to investigate the sector-wise impact of market volatility on Small-cap businesses in India.


2016 ◽  
Vol 235 ◽  
pp. F3-F3

Economy to grow 2.3 per cent in 2016 and 2.7 per cent in 2017.Inflation rate of just 0.3 per cent this year and 1.3 per cent in 2017, reaching 2.1 per cent in 2018.Bank Rate now expected to remain ½ per cent until the second half of 2016.Chancellor forecast to miss the primary target of the Fiscal Mandate by a slim margin.Productivity performance the largest domestic risk, but emerging market slowdowns, financial market volatility and policy missteps also represent risks.


2013 ◽  
Vol 29 (6) ◽  
pp. 1727 ◽  
Author(s):  
Omar Farooq ◽  
Mohammed Bouaddi ◽  
Neveen Ahmed

This paper investigates the day of the week effect in the volatility of the Saudi Stock Exchange during the period between January 7, 2007 and April 1, 2013. Using a conditional variance framework, we find that the day of the week effect is present in the volatility. Our results show that the lowest volatility occurs on Saturdays and Sundays. We argue that due to the closure of international markets on Saturdays and Sundays, there is not enough activity in the Saudi Stock Exchange. As a result, the volatility is the lowest on these days. Our results also show that the highest volatility occurs on Wednesdays. We argue Wednesday, being the last trading day of the week, corresponds with the start of four non-trading days (Thursday through Sunday) for foreign investors. Fearing that they will be stuck up with stocks in case some unfavorable information enters the market, foreign investors tend to exit the market on Wednesdays. As a result of excessive trading, there is high volatility on Wednesdays.


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