scholarly journals Progression-free survival as a surrogate endpoint of overall survival in patients with metastatic colorectal cancer

2018 ◽  
Vol Volume 11 ◽  
pp. 3059-3063 ◽  
Author(s):  
Giuseppe Cicero ◽  
Rossella De Luca ◽  
Francesco Dieli
2011 ◽  
Vol 29 (4_suppl) ◽  
pp. 588-588
Author(s):  
M. Suenaga ◽  
N. Mizunuma ◽  
S. Matsusaka ◽  
E. Shinozaki ◽  
M. Ogura ◽  
...  

588 Background: Bevacizumab (BV) is a recombinant, humanized monoclonal antibody against vascular endothelial growth factor. Used in combination with chemotherapy, BV has been shown to improve survival in both first- and second-line treatment for metastatic colorectal cancer (mCRC). However, it was reported that addition of BV to FOLFOX conferred only little survival benefit (Saltz et al. JCO2008). The aim of this study was to assess the efficacy of addition of BV to FOLFOX in first-line treatment for patients with mCRC. Methods: Bevacizumab was approved for mCRC in July 2007 in Japan. This study was conducted at a single institution and comprised 217 consecutive patients receiving first-line treatment for mCRC between 2005 and 2009. The primary objective was to compare survival benefit in patients treated with FOLFOX4 (FF) between 2005 and 2007 with that in patients receiving FOLFOX4+BV 5 mg/kg (FF+BV) between 2007 and 2009. Results: Total number of patients in the FF and FF+BV groups was 132 and 85, respectively. Characteristics of patients were as follows (FF vs. FF+B): median age, 62 yrs (range 28-76 yrs) vs. 60 yrs (range16-74 yrs); ECOG PS0, 98.8% vs. 81.8%; and median follow-up time, 20.8 months vs. 24.4 months. Median progression-free survival (PFS) in the FF and FF+BV groups was 10 months (95% CI, 8.7-11.3) and 17 months (95% CI, 10.2-14.1), while median overall survival (OS) was 21 months (95% CI, 17.9-24.1) and not reached, respectively. Response rate was 46% (95% CI, 37- 54) in FF, and 62% (95% CI, 51-73) in FF+BV. Addition of BV to FOLFOX4 significantly improved PFS (p=0.002) and OS (p<0.001). Conclusions: The additive effect of BV for first-line FOLFOX was reconfirmed. These data indicate potential survival benefits from the addition of BV to FOLFOX in first-line treatment of mCRC. In addition, PFS may be a sensitive indicator of outcome prior to post-treatment. No significant financial relationships to disclose.


2010 ◽  
Vol 14 (Suppl 2) ◽  
pp. 47-53
Author(s):  
S Whyte ◽  
A Pandor ◽  
M Stevenson ◽  
A Rees

This paper presents a summary of the evidence review group (ERG) report into the clinical effectiveness and cost-effectiveness of bevacizumab in combination with fluoropyrimidine-based chemotherapy for the first-line treatment of metastatic colorectal cancer based on the manufacturer’s submission to the National Institute for Health and Clinical Excellence (NICE) as part of the single technology appraisal (STA) process. Evidence was available in the form of one phase III, multicentre, multinational, randomised, open-label study (NO16966 trial). This two-arm study was originally designed to demonstrate the non-inferiority of oral capecitabine plus oxaliplatin (XELOX) compared with 5-fluorouracil plus folinic acid plus oxaliplatin (FOLFOX)-4 in adult patients with histologically confirmed metastatic colorectal cancer who had not previously been treated. Following randomisation of 634 patients, the open-label study was amended to include a 2 × 2 factorial randomised (partially blinded for bevacizumab) phase III trial with the coprimary objective of demonstrating superiority of bevacizumab in combination with chemotherapy compared with chemotherapy alone. Measured outcomes included overall survival, progression-free survival, response rate, adverse effects of treatment and health-related quality of life. The manufacturer’s primary pooled analysis of superiority (using the intention-to-treat population) showed that after a median follow-up of 28 months, the addition of bevacizumab to chemotherapy significantly improved progression-free survival and overall survival compared with chemotherapy alone in adult patients with histologically confirmed metastatic colorectal cancer who were not previously treated [median progression-free survival 9.4 vs 7.7 months (absolute difference 1.7 months); hazard ratio (HR) 0.79, 97.5% confidence interval (CI) 0.72 to 0.87; p = 0.0001; median overall survival 21.2 vs 18.9 months (absolute difference 2.3 months); HR 0.83, 97.5% CI 0.74 to 0.93; p = 0.0019]. The NO16966 trial was of reasonable methodological quality and demonstrated a significant improvement in both progression-free survival and overall survival when bevacizumab was added to XELOX or FOLFOX. However, the size of the actual treatment effect of bevacizumab is uncertain. The ERG believed that the modelling structure employed was appropriate, but highlighted several key issues and areas of uncertainty. At the time of writing, NICE was yet to issue the guidance for this appraisal.


2012 ◽  
Vol 30 (4_suppl) ◽  
pp. 610-610 ◽  
Author(s):  
Mitsukuni Suenaga ◽  
Satoshi Matsusaka ◽  
Nobuyuki Mizunuma ◽  
Eiji Shinozaki ◽  
Mariko Ogura ◽  
...  

610 Background: In our previous report, addition of bevacizumab (BV) to the FOLFOX4 regimen appeared to significantly improve response rate, progression-free survival and overall survival in first-line treatment for patients with metastatic colorectal cancer (mCRC) (Suenaga M, et al. ASCO-GI 2011 [abstr 588]). Update results met median overall survival, and statistical analysis of survival was performed. Methods: An observational cohort study was carried out on all eligible patients scheduled to receive FOLFOX4 (n = 128) or FOLFOX4+BV (n = 85) between 2005 and 2007, 2007 and 2009, with a median follow-up time of 20.4 months vs. 30.2 months, respectively. Predefined efficacy endpoints were treatment characteristics, response rates, progression-free survival, and overall survival in the periods of time observed. Results: Median progression-free survival was 9.9 months (95% CI, 8.4-11.4) in the FOLFOX4- and 17 months (95% CI, 11.8-22.3) in the FOLFOX4+BV-treated patients (p=0.002). Median overall survival times were 20.5 months (95% CI, 16.9-24) and 38.8 months (95% CI, 32.9-44.8) in the two groups, respectively (p<0.001). In the ECOG PS 0 population, progression-free survival in the FOLFOX4 and FOLFOX4+BV groups was 11 months and 17 months with a hazard ratio of 0.63 (95% CI, 0.44-0.89) in favour of FOLFOX4+BV, similarly in OS with a hazard ratio of 0.53 (95% CI, 0.36-0.77). Subgroup population received 5-FU plus leucovorin (FL) as maintenance during oxaliplatin discontinuation due to adverse events had longer PFS or OS in both groups, though no significance. PFS were 14.7 and 21.6 months, and OS were 29 and 45.9 months, respectively. Secondary resection was performed more in FOLFOX4+BV (11.8%) than FOLFOX4 (3.9%) patients. Conclusions: These data indicate potential survival benefits from the addition of BV to the FOLFOX4 regimen as first-line treatment for mCRC. Maintenance using FL after discontinuation of oxaliplatin due to adverse events appeared to be an essential factor for better survival.


2015 ◽  
Vol 33 (1) ◽  
pp. 22-28 ◽  
Author(s):  
Qian Shi ◽  
Aimery de Gramont ◽  
Axel Grothey ◽  
John Zalcberg ◽  
Benoist Chibaudel ◽  
...  

Purpose Progression-free survival (PFS) has previously been established as a surrogate for overall survival (OS) for first-line metastatic colorectal cancer (mCRC). Because mCRC treatment has advanced in the last decade with extended OS, this surrogacy requires re-examination. Methods Individual patient data from 16,762 patients were available from 22 first-line mCRC studies conducted from 1997 to 2006; 12 of those studies tested antiangiogenic and/or anti–epidermal growth factor receptor agents. The relationship between PFS (first event of progression or death) and OS was evaluated by using R2 statistics (the closer the value is to 1, the stronger the correlation) from weighted least squares regression of trial-specific hazard ratios estimated by using Cox and Copula models. Results Forty-four percent of patients received a regimen that included biologic agents. Median first-line PFS was 8.3 months, and median OS was 18.2 months. The correlation between PFS and OS was modest (R2, 0.45 to 0.69). Analyses limited to trials that tested treatments with biologic agents, nonstrategy trials, or superiority trials did not improve surrogacy. Conclusion In modern mCRC trials, in which survival after the first progression exceeds time to first progression, a positive but modest correlation was observed between OS and PFS at both the patient and trial levels. This finding demonstrates the substantial variability in OS introduced by the number of lines of therapy and types of effective subsequent treatments and the associated challenge to the use of OS as an end point to assess the benefit attributable to a single line of therapy. PFS remains an appropriate primary end point for first-line mCRC trials to detect the direct treatment effect of new agents.


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