scholarly journals Mutual fund flow-performance dynamics under different market conditions in South Africa

2021 ◽  
Vol 18 (1) ◽  
pp. 236-249
Author(s):  
Richard Apau ◽  
Paul-Francois Muzindutsi ◽  
Peter Moores-Pitt
Keyword(s):  
South Africa ◽  
Mutual Funds ◽  
Mutual Fund ◽  
Fund Flows ◽  
Past Performance ◽  
Market Conditions ◽  
Fund Flow ◽  
Dynamic Relationship ◽  
Equity Mutual Funds ◽  
Performance Effects

Questions regarding the specific factors that drive continuous cash allocations by investors into portfolios of actively managed funds, despite consistent underperformance, continue to remain an inexhaustive aspect of the literature that calls for further investigations. This study assesses the dynamic relationship between fund flow and performance of equity mutual funds in South Africa under different market conditions. The study employs a GMM technique to analyze the panel data of 52 South African equity mutual funds from 2006 to 2019. The analysis found that convexity is prevalent in the flow-performance relationship, where fund contributors in subsequent periods allocate recent underperforming and outperforming funds disproportionate cash. This finding is evident in the lack of significance in the past performance effects on subsequent fund flows. The study found that lagged fund flows, fund size, fund risk, and market risk drive subsequent fund flows under changing conditions of the general market and fund markets. Overall, it is posited that fund contributors and asset administrators adapt to prevailing market dynamics relative to trading decisions. As a result, this affirms the normative guidelines of the Adaptive Markets Hypothesis, leading to the conclusion that exogenous factors drive fluctuations in fund flows in South Africa.

scholarly journals The Effect of Fund Uniqueness on Fund Flow Sensitivity: An Empirical Study of Chinese Public Mutual Funds

2016 ◽  
Vol 8 (10) ◽  
pp. 14
Author(s):  
Qiaobo Zhang
Keyword(s):  
Mutual Funds ◽  
Mutual Fund ◽  
Fund Flows ◽  
Past Performance ◽  
Flow Sensitivity ◽  
Fund Flow ◽  
Stable Pattern ◽  
Panel Regressions ◽  
Equity Funds ◽  
Cluster Analysis Method

With the quick development of mutual funds in China, problem of fund homogeneity becomes more and more non-negligible. This paper constructs a uniqueness index to measure the uniqueness of funds in China by applying cluster analysis method and studies the effect of fund uniqueness on fund flow sensitivity with panel regressions. Using the sample of Chinese publicly-traded equity funds over the years at the quarterly frequency, the empirical result shows that fund uniqueness exert a significant impact on fund flows. That is, fund flows respond less sensitively to the past performance of unique funds than non-unique funds, indicating that more unique funds tend to exhibit a more stable pattern of fund flows. Based on these findings and relevant theories, this paper puts forward some suggestions on promoting the differentiation of fund products in China and thus contributes to the overall health of Chinese mutual fund market.

scholarly journals Regime-Switching Determinants of Mutual Fund Performance in South Africa

Economies ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 9 (4) ◽  
pp. 161
Author(s):  
Richard Apau ◽  
Peter Moores-Pitt ◽  
Paul-Francois Muzindutsi
Keyword(s):  
Mutual Funds ◽  
Mutual Fund ◽  
Regime Switching ◽  
Fund Performance ◽  
Market Conditions ◽  
Fund Managers ◽  
Fund Flow ◽  
Equity Mutual Funds ◽  
Systemic Factors ◽  
Fund Size

This study assesses the effect of fund-level and systemic factors on the performance of mutual funds in the context of changing market conditions. A Markov regime-switching model is used to analyze the performance of 33 South African equity mutual funds from 2006 to 2019. From the results, fund flow and fund size exert more predictive influences on performance in the bearish state of the market than in the bullish state. Fund age, fund risk, and market risk were found to be the most significant factors driving the performance of active portfolios under time-varying conditions of the market. These variables exert more influence on fund performance under bearish conditions than under bullish conditions, emphasizing the flight-to-liquidity assets phenomenon and risk-aversion behavior of fund contributors during unstable conditions of the market. Consequently, fund managers need to maintain adequate asset bases while implementing policies that minimize dispersions in fund returns to engender persistence in performance. This study provides novel perspectives on how the determinants of fund performance change with market conditions as portrayed by the adaptive market hypothesis (AMH).

scholarly journals The Effect of Performance on Israeli Equity Fund Flows

2017 ◽  
Vol 6 (4) ◽  
pp. 272
Author(s):  
Ofer Arbaa ◽  
Eva Varon ◽  
Uri Benzion
Keyword(s):  
Mutual Funds ◽  
Mutual Fund ◽  
Investor Behavior ◽  
Fund Flows ◽  
Past Performance ◽  
Equity Fund ◽  
Equity Mutual Funds ◽  
The Us ◽  
Mutual Fund Flows ◽  
Net Flows

This paper examines the influence of past performance on Israeli equity mutual funds' net flows between January 2004 and July 2014, using the most recommended and reliable two-cluster regression methodology. Apparently, Israeli investors are more sensitive to risk adjusted returns than absolute returns and the most recent performance seems to be more influential on fund flows than on longer-term past performance. Moreover, investors flock to the latest winners and do not leave the funds with the poorest performance. The effect of past performance seems to be more salient on flows of advertised funds than of those with no advertisement.  The results in Israel augment the scant work on mutual fund flows outside the US and add support to a growing body of literature documenting irrational investor behavior worldwide. 

scholarly journals Capital markets in Central and Eastern Europe: two selected cases

2017 ◽  
Vol 11 (1) ◽  
pp. 597-606 ◽  
Author(s):  
Luminiţa Nicolescu ◽  
Florentin Gabriel Tudorache
Keyword(s):  
Financial Crisis ◽  
Mutual Funds ◽  
Capital Markets ◽  
Mutual Fund ◽  
Global Financial Crisis ◽  
Fund Flows ◽  
Past Performance ◽  
Individual Level ◽  
The Global Financial Crisis ◽  
Mutual Fund Flows

Abstract The evolution of mutual funds in terms of their inflows and outflows is seen as a good indicator of the capital markets’ performance in different countries. At individual level, investors substantiate their buying decisions on the past performance information and invest asymmetrically in funds with very good performance in the previous periods. Numerous studies, mainly conducted in US, illustrate that mutual fund flows are highly dependent on the funds’ previous performance, as a common behavior of investors resides in looking for highly performing funds than to get rid of poorly performing ones. This paper investigates the flows of funds into and out of Slovakian and Hungarian mutual funds during the period 2007-2014 and has as main purpose to analyze the behavior of investors in mutual funds in these two emerging financial markets. The analysis focuses on identifying patterns in investors’ decision making processes and on checking the similarity of their behavioral patterns and illustrating differences among the two. Given the peculiarities of the studied period, a financially turbulent period, the paper also tries to evaluate if and how the financial crisis affected the investing behavior of Slovakian and Hungarian investors, based on the evolution of inflows and outflows of funds in a period that comprises the global financial crisis and the present period in which recovery has started.

scholarly journals Determinant of Islamic Mutual Fund Performance: A Comparative Study Between Indonesia and Malaysia

2021 ◽  
Vol 9 (1) ◽  
pp. 83
Author(s):  
Mohammad Nur Rianto Al Arif ◽  
Aulia Saifullah
Keyword(s):  
Mutual Funds ◽  
Mutual Fund ◽  
Secondary Data ◽  
Fund Performance ◽  
Mutual Fund Performance ◽  
Past Performance ◽  
Equity Mutual Funds ◽  
Panel Data Regression ◽  
Significant Difference ◽  
Equity Funds

<p><em>This study aims to analyze determinant performance of Islamic equity funds and compare the performance of Indonesian Islamic equity funds with Malaysian Islamic equity funds period 2017-2019. Factors that are thought to affect the performance of mutual funds are past performance and inflation. Mutual fund performance itself is measured using the Sharpe Index. This study uses secondary data and the sample is taken using purposive sampling. Methods of data analysis using Panel Data Regression. This study indicates that simultaneously the variables Past Performance and Inflation affect the performance of Islamic equity mutual funds in Indonesia and Malaysia.</em></p><em>Furthermore, it partially shows that Past Performance harms the performance of Islamic equity funds, while inflation positively affects the performance of Islamic equity funds. In addition, this study also shows that there is a significant difference between the performance of Indonesian and Malaysian Islamic equity funds. Malaysian Islamic equity funds were superior to Indonesian Islamic equity funds in 2017-2019.</em>

scholarly journals Is the effect the same every January? Seasonality and Brazilian equity fund flows

2020 ◽  
Vol 31 (84) ◽  
pp. 409-424
Author(s):  
Janaína Cássia Grossi ◽  
Rodrigo Fernandes Malaquias
Keyword(s):  
Stock Market ◽  
Mutual Funds ◽  
Mutual Fund ◽  
Seasonal Pattern ◽  
January Effect ◽  
Seasonal Patterns ◽  
Fund Flows ◽  
Equity Mutual Funds ◽  
Equity Funds ◽  
Mutual Fund Flows

ABSTRACT Based on the assumption that seasonal patterns have been identified in stock market assets and also in the context of equity mutual funds, the aim of this research is to investigate the relationship between the seasonality presented by the January effect and the net flow of Brazilian equity funds. The study extends the potential effects of seasonality beyond the return on stock market assets, demonstrating that seasonal patterns can also be observed in Brazilian mutual fund flows. The literature mostly points to common factors related to the performance of equity mutual funds; therefore this study investigates mutual fund flows, demonstrating that different factors influence the decisions of fund investors, including seasonal factors. The study has practical implications for fund managers, as it highlights a set of variables that can be used to anticipate variations in fund flow, reducing their effects on performance and avoiding costs. The results were estimated using panel data regression analysis. The study sample consisted of 1,010 equity funds, covering the period from January of 2004 to June of 2018. It was found that the average net inflow of Brazilian equity mutual funds is higher in January than in other months of the year, which characterizes the existence of a seasonal pattern in their net flows. However, the effect is different between exclusive and non-exclusive funds. As contributions, our findings: (i) provide a better understanding about the factors related to investor decision-making; (ii) point out new aspects in which exclusive and non-exclusive funds differ; and (iii) present factors that influence mutual fund flows.

scholarly journals Performance persistence of mutual funds: evidence from Bangladesh

2020 ◽  
Vol 11 (6) ◽  
pp. 1739
Author(s):  
Mohammad Abir Shahid Chowdhury ◽  
Zahid Ali ◽  
Muhammad Usman ◽  
Asad Ullah
Keyword(s):  
Mutual Funds ◽  
Financial Market ◽  
Mutual Fund ◽  
Stock Exchange ◽  
Parametric Models ◽  
Performance Persistence ◽  
Past Performance ◽  
Equity Mutual Funds ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Short Run

Purpose: Since 1990s, the discussion on whether mutual funds can perform better and persistently as compare to market has become an ongoing issue. Current research investigates the performance persistence of equity mutual funds’, particularly in the financial market of Bangladesh.Theoretical Framework: Different researchers have strived to examine the performance of mutual funds by using numerous performance indicators and risk adjustment techniques.Design/Methodology/Approach: The equity mutual funds data for this study are obtained from DSE (Dhaka Stock Exchange) database. The sample set includes all open-end mutual funds from 2010 to 2015. There is no mutual fund that has ceased trade or merged with other mutual funds during the study period.Originality/Value: Broad literature have been directed on the performance and persistence of mutual funds in the American markets, while some of the studies also centered on Australia, China, Hong Kong and U.K. financial markets. However, in the context of Bangladesh’s financial market, no identical research has been carried on the performance persistence of mutual funds.Findings: The results reveal that the managers of equity mutual funds have selective ability to obtain higher returns in Bangladesh. Moreover, the past performance of mutual funds has an impact on their future performance. The size of mutual funds doesn’t have any impact on their performance. The parametric and non-parametric models demonstrate that as compare to long run, equity mutual funds in Bangladesh could perform persistently in the short-run.

scholarly journals The Effect of Fund and Family Characteristics on Islamic Mutual Fund Flows: Evidence from Saudi Arabia

2020 ◽  
Vol 30 ◽  
pp. 27-42
Author(s):  
Anas Ahmad Bani Atta ◽  
Ainulashikin Marzuki
Keyword(s):  
Saudi Arabia ◽  
Mutual Fund ◽  
Family Characteristics ◽  
Fund Flows ◽  
Past Performance ◽  
Financial Decisions ◽  
Fund Flow ◽  
The Family ◽  
Money Flow ◽  
Mutual Fund Flows

Islamic mutual funds (IMF) are growing as a substitutional investment vehicle for investors who want to combine value and financial objectives in their investment. A group of the funds is managed by one Investment Company called the family of funds. This study investigates the flow-performance relationship in IMF, in addition to the extent to which family and fund characteristics contribute to explaining fund flows in Saudi Arabia for the period from 2007 to 2017. The study uses raw returns to calculate the fund performance and use the percentage money flow (FLOW), defined as money flow scaled by the total net asset of the fund. The results show there is a positive relationship between past performance and fund flow that mean IMF investors make rational financial decisions by directing fund flows to better performing funds. In addition, the results show family characteristics have an impact on IMF inflow.

scholarly journals Predicting the relative performance of actively managed equity mutual funds using diverse performance evaluation techniques

2021 ◽  
Vol 19 (1) ◽  
pp. 69-83
Author(s):  
Akshay Damani ◽  
Nandip Vaidya
Keyword(s):  
Performance Evaluation ◽  
Mutual Funds ◽  
Mutual Fund ◽  
Risk Measures ◽  
Market Timing ◽  
Relative Performance ◽  
Past Performance ◽  
Significance Level ◽  
Equity Mutual Funds ◽  
Ex Post

Mutual fund performance evaluation has seen an ever-growing interest for research amongst industry and academicians alike. In this paper an attempt has been made to compare and correlate global actively managed equity mutual funds’ performance across time intervals, to evaluate and establish how predicting future performance can be made meaningful for investors using analysis of historical data based on monthly net asset values (NAVs) (March 2009–March 2021). Of the top 500 global equity mutual funds based on market-cap (on March 31, 2021), the paper evaluated 180 actively managed funds adding up to approximately USD 5 trillion of the fund assets as of March 31, 2021. The research gap which the paper aims to fill is to bring under one umbrella, prediction analysis using performance measures, downside risk measures, style factor analysis, and market timing models. For sampled equity funds various performance ratios and style attributes were computed and compared across periods for their relative performance. Relative performance was found to be stable (at 1% significance level) across periods and hence predictable. A portfolio of funds constructed optimally using historical performance was seen to be in the top quartile ex-post performance in the subsequent period. However, it was found that the market timing abilities of fund managers were unstable across periods and could not be used for predicting performance. Based on the study findings, it would be appropriate for investors to use the relative past performance of the funds and their style attribute analysis for the future allocation of investible surplus across these funds

Sign in / Sign up

Export Citation Format

Share Document