scholarly journals An Econometric Study of The Impact of Headline and Food Price Inflation Determinants on Economic Stability in Egypt دراسة إقتصادية قياسية لأثر محددات التضخم العام وأسعار الغذاء على الاستقرار الاقتصادى فى مصر

2021 ◽  
Vol 12 (7) ◽  
pp. 573-585
Author(s):  
منى على ◽  
Mohamed Attala
Keyword(s):  
Food Price ◽  
Economic Stability ◽  
Price Inflation ◽  
Econometric Study ◽  
The Impact

scholarly journals The Effects of Rising Food and Fuel Costs on Poverty in Pakistan

2008 ◽  
Vol 13 (Special Edition) ◽  
pp. 117-138 ◽  
Author(s):  
Theresa Thompson Chaudhry ◽  
Azam Amjad Chaudhry
Keyword(s):  
Food Prices ◽  
Food Price ◽  
Energy Price ◽  
Price Shocks ◽  
Price Inflation ◽  
Fuel Prices ◽  
Price Increases ◽  
Head Count ◽  
The Impact ◽  
Poverty Levels

The dramatic increase in international food and fuel prices in recent times is a crucial issue for developing countries and the most vulnerable to these price shocks are the poorest segments of society. In countries like Pakistan, the discussion has focused on the impact of substantially higher food and fuel prices on poverty. This paper used PSLM and MICS household level data to analyze the impact of higher food and energy prices on the poverty head count and the poverty gap ratio in Pakistan. Simulated food and energy price shocks present some important results: First, the impact of food price increases on Pakistani poverty levels is substantially greater than the impact of energy price increases. Second, the impact of food price inflation on Pakistani poverty levels is significantly higher for rural populations as compared to urban populations. Finally, food price inflation can lead to significant increases in Pakistani poverty levels: For Pakistan as a whole, a 20% increase in food prices would lead to an 8% increase in the poverty head count.

scholarly journals Monetary Policy Transmission : Does Maintain the Price and Poverty Stability is Effective?

JEJAK ◽  
2018 ◽  
Vol 11 (1) ◽  
pp. 78-91
Author(s):  
Ade Novalina ◽  
Rusiadi Rusiadi
Keyword(s):  
Monetary Policy ◽  
Emerging Market ◽  
Food Price ◽  
Poor People ◽  
Monetary Policy Transmission ◽  
Economic Stability ◽  
Price Inflation ◽  
Emerging Market Countries ◽  
Policy Transmission

This study analyzes the effectiveness of monetary policy transmission of emerging market countries, both short and long-term in maintaining economic stability and reducing poverty. The main problem in this paper is that monetary transmission is incapable of controlling the economy and reducing poverty. There are five countries selected such as India, Brazil, China, Russia, and Indonesia. Long-term prediction analysis using Vector Auto Regression (VAR) model is performed to predict five emerging market countries using Regression Panel. It results suggest that monetary policy transmission affecting the number of poor people should be controlled in three stages. In the short-term, the transmission of export variables and inflation controls the number of poor people. In the medium-term, the control of the number of poor people uses variables of inflation and exports while in the long-term uses exports and Gross Domestic Product (GDP). Overall, all economic variables of emerging market countries are greatly influenced by the fluctuations of each country's exports, then by food price stability as measured by food price inflation. The result of regression panel analysis is known that the factor that most influence the poor people in emerging market country is GDP. Exports also affect poor people such as Indonesia, China, and Russia. Inflation also causes poor people like India and Brazil. The countries that have the most impact on economic fluctuations on the number of poor people are India, Indonesia, China, Brazil, and Russia.

scholarly journals Determinants of food price inflation in Finland

2012 ◽  
pp. 1-7 ◽  
Author(s):  
Xavier Irz ◽  
Jyrki Niemi ◽  
Liu Xing
Keyword(s):  
Food Chain ◽  
Complex Structure ◽  
Food Prices ◽  
Food Price ◽  
Price Formation ◽  
Price Inflation ◽  
Vec Model ◽  
Long Run ◽  
The Impact ◽  
Long Run Equilibrium

The agricultural commodity crisis of 2006-8 and the recent evolution of commodity markets have reignited anxieties in Finland over fast-rising food prices and food security. Although the impact of farm commodity price shocks on the final consumer is mitigated by a large degree of processing as well as the complex structure of the food chain, little is known about the strength of the linkages between food markets and input markets. Using monthly series of price indices from 1995 to 2010, we estimate a vector error-correction (VEC) model in a co-integration framework in order to investigate the short-term and long-term dynamics of food price formation. The results indicate that a statistically significant long-run equilibrium relationship exists between the prices of food and those of the main variable inputs consumed by the food chain, namely agricultural commodities, labour, and energy. When judged by the magnitude of long-run pass-through rates, farm prices represent the main determinant of food prices, followed by wages in food retail and the price of energy. However, highly volatile energy prices are also important in explaining food price variability. The parsimonious VEC model suggests that the dynamics of food price formation is dominated by a relatively quick process of adjustment to the long-run equilibrium, the half life of the transitional dynamics being six to eight months following a shock.

Short-term and long-term effects of fuel carrier’s price rise on consumer price inflation in Iran

2020 ◽  
Vol 07 ◽  
Author(s):  
Nima Norouzi
Keyword(s):  
Commodity Prices ◽  
Food Price ◽  
Price Impact ◽  
Gasoline Prices ◽  
Long Term Effects ◽  
Short Term ◽  
Fuel Price ◽  
Price Inflation ◽  
The Impact

Introduction: Oil is one of the primary commodities of all countries in the world and is, in essence, the energy base of all that we know as transportation. Therefore, derivatives price fluctuations, especially those of fuel and oil derivatives, are the main concerns of the policymakers because they can cause serious problems, such as inflation in commodity prices. Objective: The impact of the price of fuel carriers on food price index remains a subject of debate and research. the aim of this paper is to develop a model to define the inflation regime in iran and then to estimate gasoline and diesel price impact in the inflation anount. Method: In this study, using the central bank time series and available data on energy balance and World Bank data banks a non-linear distributed online delay regression modeling is developed to analyze the relationship between fuel price and basic commodity inflation. Results: the results show that gasoline prices have an impact. In the long run, it doesn't have much in the way of prices, but diesel can be somewhat effective in raising prices, which can exacerbate poverty in the community that needs special attention. Conclusion: It was also found that the price of diesel is harmful to the economy because it can stimulate inflation in the long term. However, in the short term, diesel does not cause any significant inflation in the prices. While the price of gasoline can have many short term social effects, therefore, the Iranian government must control the price of diesel fuel to prevent long-term food price inflation.

scholarly journals Macroeconomic variables and food price inflation, nonfood price inflation and overall inflation: A case of an emerging market

2017 ◽  
Vol 7 (2) ◽  
pp. 38-48
Author(s):  
Raphael T Mpofu
Keyword(s):  
Growth Rate ◽  
Emerging Market ◽  
Food Prices ◽  
Food Price ◽  
The South ◽  
Price Inflation ◽  
Macroeconomic Variables ◽  
Independent Variables ◽  
The Impact ◽  
Food Inflation

The paper analyses the association between certain macroeconomic variables and food price inflation, non-food price inflation and overall inflation in Zimbabwe, and also seeks to determine the level of association between these variables, given food security implications and overall well-being of its citizens. The study reveals that during the 2010 to 2016 period, Zimbabwe experienced stable food prices—annual food price inflation for food and non-alcoholic beverages averaged a relatively low growth rate of 0.12% monthly, while non-food inflation monthly growth rate was 0.09% and overall inflation growth rate was 0.11%. Although inflation from 2010 had been declining, of late, the increase in annual inflation has been underpinned by a rise in non-food inflation. Zimbabwe’s annual inflation remains lower than inflation rates in other countries in the region. Despite the increases lately in overall inflation, it remained below zero in January 2016, mostly driven by the depreciation of the South African rand and declining international oil prices. It should also be noted that domestic demand continued to decline in 2015, leading to the observed decline in both food and non-food prices. While food inflation has remained relatively low, it should be noted that non-food expenditures is significant component of the household budget and the rising prices result often lead to declining purchasing power and force households to make difficult choices in terms of their purchases. The findings of the study are food inflation has a low association with the independent variables under study; Zimbabwe broad money supply, rand-dollar exchange rates and the South Africa food inflation. There is, however, a very strong association between non-food inflation and these independent variables, as well as between overall inflation and the independent variables. Given the mostly rural population and the high level of unemployment in Zimbabwe, it can be surmised that the distributional burden of the effects of rising non-food prices between 2009 and 2016 fell mostly on these vulnerable groups as they had the lowest disposable income. In addition, it can also be surmised that domestic production can cushion the impact of rising prices in general, particularly on food. A deliberate policy of increasing domestic food production would therefore go a long way in ensuring lower price changes of both food and non-food items.

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