The Problems of Monetary Policy Transparency in the Russian Economy in the Conditions of Forced Localization

Author(s):  
Nadezhda A. Tolstobrova ◽  
Margarita O. Yakimova
Author(s):  
Mohammed M. Tumala ◽  
Babatunde S. Omotosho

This paper employs text-mining techniques to analyse the communication strategy of the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) during the period 2004-2019. Since the policy communique released after each meeting of the CBN’s monetary policy committee (MPC) represents an important tool of central bank communication, we construct a corpus based on 87 policy communiques with a total of 123, 353 words. Having processed the textual data into a form suitable for analysis, we examined the readability, sentiments, and topics of the policy documents. While the CBN’s communication has increased substantially over the years, implying increased monetary policy transparency; the computed Coleman and Liau readability index shows that the word and sentence structures of the policy communiques have become more complex, thus reducing its readability. In terms of monetary policy sentiments, we find an average net score of -10.5 per cent, reflecting the level of policy uncertainties faced by the MPC over the sample period. In addition, our results indicate that the topics driving the linguistic contents of the communiques were influenced by the Bank’s policy objectives as well as the nature of shocks hitting the economy per period.


2019 ◽  
Vol 39 (3) ◽  
pp. 368-393
Author(s):  
Ruttachai Seelajaroen ◽  
Pornanong Budsaratragoon ◽  
Boonlert Jitmaneeroj

2008 ◽  
Vol 2 (1) ◽  
pp. 31-56 ◽  
Author(s):  
Vivek Arora

The transparency of monetary policy in South Africa has increased substantially since the end of the 1990s. But little empirical work has been done to examine the economic benefits of the increased transparency. This paper shows that, in recent years, South African private sector forecasters have become better able to forecast interest rates, are less surprised by reserve bank policy announcements, and are less diverse in the cross-sectional variety of their interest rate forecasts. In addition, there is some evidence that the accuracy of inflation forecasts has increased. The improvements in interest rate and inflation forecasts have exceeded those in real output forecasts, suggesting that increases in monetary policy transparency are likely to have played a role.


2002 ◽  
Vol 7 (2) ◽  
pp. 141-155 ◽  
Author(s):  
Georgios Chortareas ◽  
David Stasavage ◽  
Gabriel Sterne

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