scholarly journals Investigating long-run stock returns after corporate events: the UK evidence

2014 ◽  
Vol 12 (1) ◽  
pp. 298-307 ◽  
Author(s):  
Anupam Dutta
Keyword(s):  
Stock Returns ◽  
Abnormal Return ◽  
Security Market ◽  
Calendar Time ◽  
Traditional Calendar ◽  
Long Run ◽  
The Uk ◽  
Abnormal Performance ◽  
The Empirical Analysis

The objective of this paper is to assess the robustness of the existing long-run event study methodologies in the UK stock market. In doing so, the study employs the buy-and-hold abnormal return approach and the calendar time portfolio method to identify the long-term abnormal performance following corporate events. Although many recent studies consider the application of these two widely used approaches, each of the methods is a subject to criticisms. This paper uses the standardized calendar time approach (SCTA) which presents a number of important improvements over the traditional calendar time methodology. The empirical analysis reveals that all the traditional methodologies perform well in the UK security market. Our findings further report that SCTA documents better specification and power than the conventional approaches

scholarly journals Impact of Open-Market Share Repurchases on Long-Term Stock Returns

SAGE Open ◽  
2016 ◽  
Vol 6 (4) ◽  
pp. 215824401667019 ◽  
Author(s):  
Mohamed Albaity ◽  
Diana Syafiza Said
Keyword(s):  
Stock Returns ◽  
Abnormal Returns ◽  
Sampling Period ◽  
Share Repurchases ◽  
Open Market ◽  
Calendar Time ◽  
Price Performance ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Portfolio Approach

After the Asian financial crisis in 1997, firms listed on Bursa Malaysia were allowed to repurchase their shares on the open market. The number of companies engaged in share buyback is increasing and has become a tool to stabilize price by signaling undervaluation of the share. However, studies on share buyback in Malaysia are limited to the price performance surrounding the buyback events. This study aims to fill this gap by examining long-run price performance after the actual share buyback event over a sampling period of 2 years from 2009 to 2010 for Malaysian firms listed on FTSE Bursa Malaysia. There is no evidence to conclude that there exist long-term abnormal returns using the calendar-time portfolio approach that support the inefficient market hypothesis. On the contrary, buy-and-hold method was found to be significant supporting that the Malaysian stock market is semi-strong efficient.

scholarly journals Share repurchases: does frequency matter?

2014 ◽  
Vol 31 (1) ◽  
pp. 88-105 ◽  
Author(s):  
Adri De Ridder ◽  
Jonas Råsbrant
Keyword(s):  
Abnormal Return ◽  
Market Performance ◽  
Share Repurchases ◽  
Calendar Time ◽  
Content Type ◽  
Positive Abnormal Return ◽  
Study Methodology ◽  
Abnormal Performance ◽  
Repurchase Programs

Purpose – The purpose of this paper is to examine differences in market performance of Swedish firms that initiate repurchase programs infrequently (1-2 programs), occasionally (3-4 programs) and frequently (5 or more programs) over the sample period and examine the relationship between abnormal return and repurchase size in repurchase months. Design/methodology/approach – Standard event study methodology is used to detect abnormal return surrounding initiation announcements of repurchase programs. Ibbotson's RATS-methodology and the calendar-time portfolio methodology are used to estimate long-term abnormal performance. Findings – The authors find differences in market performance of firms that initiate repurchase programs infrequently, occasionally and frequently. As with Jagannathan and Stephens, the authors find that infrequent repurchase programs are greeted with a stronger positive reaction than occasional and frequent programs. However, over long term, infrequent repurchase programs show no abnormal return, while occasional and frequent repurchase programs show a significant positive abnormal return. A positive relationship between abnormal return and repurchase size in repurchase months is documented on average for all types of repurchase programs. Originality/value – By using the detailed data on repurchase activities, the authors are able to examine share repurchases with high precision and relate the performance to repurchase size. Since the duration of a repurchase program is pre-determined in Sweden, the authors are able to classify the programs by frequency and study market performance within the programs.

Analyzing Long-Term Dynamic Causal Linkages and Financial Integration Between the Capital Markets in Romania and Hungary

2019 ◽  
pp. 215-228
Keyword(s):  
Stock Markets ◽  
Financial Integration ◽  
Financial Contagion ◽  
Emerging Stock Markets ◽  
International Portfolio Diversification ◽  
Contagion Effects ◽  
Long Run ◽  
International Portfolio ◽  
The Empirical Analysis

This chapter aims to investigate long-term dynamic causal linkages between stock markets in Hungary and Romania in order to obtain additional benefits based on international portfolio diversification, especially in terms of globalization. Emerging stock markets are generally considered to be more attractive for both institutional and individual financial investors due to certain stylized facts. The volatility transmission patterns, financial contagion effects, international interdependence and long-run causal linkages between international stock markets highlight the importance of a functional and stable financial environment. Technically, the structure of this subchapter includes both theoretical developments and additional empirical results. Moreover, the empirical analysis provides a quantitative perspective on global interdependencies between Romania and Hungary.

Short-term performance of stocks after fraudulent financial reporting announcement

2019 ◽  
Vol 26 (2) ◽  
pp. 464-476 ◽  
Author(s):  
Mehmet Eryigit
Keyword(s):  
Financial Markets ◽  
Stock Returns ◽  
Financial Reporting ◽  
Abnormal Return ◽  
Fraudulent Financial Reporting ◽  
Short Term ◽  
Content Type ◽  
Publicly Traded Companies ◽  
Company Stock

Purpose Availability of accurate and reliable information in financial markets helps investors make well-informed decisions on capital allocations which is beneficial for long-term economic growth. In this regards, the role of auditing firms that inspect the financial statements of the publicly traded companies in sound operation of financial markets has been increasing. The Capital Market Board of Turkey (CMBT) has the task and responsibility of investigating fraudulent information disseminated by the firms whose stocks are traded in Borsa Istanbul. The investigations can lead to monetary penalties if fraud is proven and the results are published by CMBT in its weekly bulletin. The present study aims to examine the effect of announcements of financial irregularities of companies in CMBT Bulletin on the performance of the relevant company stock in the short term. Design/methodology/approach This study uses abnormal return, cumulative abnormal return and cumulative average abnormal return as metrics and parametric, as well as non-parametric tests to ascertain whether the announcements of financial irregularities in company operations have any statistically significant effect on the return of its stock. Findings The results indicate that publication of the financial penalty news by CMBT in its bulletin has almost no statistically significant influence on the performance of the relevant companies’ stock in Borsa Istanbul. The findings indicate that either the investors in this particular markets do not consider such news relevant to long-term success of the firm or the announcement does not provide any new information and penalties have been priced into the stock before the announcement in the bulletin. Originality/value In literature there is no more research about the effect of the announcements of administrative monetary penalties and crime complaints on the stock returns.

Long-term prior return patterns in stock and sector returns in India

2014 ◽  
Vol 11 (2) ◽  
pp. 192-210
Author(s):  
Sanjay Sehgal ◽  
Sakshi Jain
Keyword(s):  
Asset Pricing ◽  
Stock Returns ◽  
Risk Model ◽  
Factor Model ◽  
Size Factor ◽  
Content Type ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Portfolio Managers ◽  
Sector Returns

Purpose – The purpose of this paper is to analyze long-term prior return patterns in stock returns for India. Design/methodology/approach – The methodology involves portfolio generation based on company characteristics and long-term prior return (24-60 months). The characteristic sorted portfolios are then regressed on risk factors using one factor (capital asset pricing model (CAPM)) and multi-factor model (Fama-French (FF) model and four factor model involving three FF factors and an additional sectoral momentum factor). Findings – After controlling for short-term momentum (up to 12 months) as documented by Sehgal and Jain (2011), the authors observe that weak reversals emerge for the sample stocks. The risk model CAPM fails to account for these long-run prior return patterns. FF three-factor model is able to explain long-term prior return patterns in stock returns with the exception of 36-12-12 strategy. The value factor plays an important role while the size factor does not explain cross-section of average returns. Momentum patterns exist in long-term sector returns, which are stronger for long-term portfolio formation periods. Further, the authors construct sector factor and observe that prior returns patterns in stock returns are partially absorbed by this factor. Research limitations/implications – The findings are relevant for investment analysts and portfolio managers who are continuously tracking global markets, including India, in pursuit of extra normal returns. Originality/value – The study contributes to the asset pricing and behavioral literature from emerging markets.

scholarly journals INVESTIGATION TOWARDS THE LONG-RUN PERFORMANCE OF INITIAL PUBLIC OFFERINGS: EVIDENCE FROM INDONESIAN CAPITAL MARKET

2010 ◽  
Vol 2 (2) ◽  
pp. 100-125
Author(s):  
Lioniva Emasari ◽  
Dewi Tamara
Keyword(s):  
Initial Public Offerings ◽  
Abnormal Return ◽  
Mining Industry ◽  
Cumulative Abnormal Return ◽  
Public Offerings ◽  
Basic Industry ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Long Term Performance ◽  
Term Performance

We study the long-term performance of IPO share issued in Indonesia during the 1996-2001 periods. The IPOs in this period are mostly concentrated in Finance, Trade, Property and Basic Industry & Chemicals. The cumulative abnormal return (CAR) and buy-and-hold abnormal return (BHAR) in the third year are 15.83% and negative 68.02%, respectively. The CAR and BHAR in the fifth year are negative 1% and negative 139.7%, respectively. The highest CAR for 3 and 5 years are mining industry, with 289.29% and 226.80%, respectively. The lowest CAR for third year is trade, service & investment industry, with negative 59.36% and fifth year is agriculture with negative 59.72%. The lowest BHAR for third and fifth year is trade, service and investment industry with negative 113.01% and negative 230.99 respectively. The long-run performance using cumulative abnormal return is similar with the market and cannot outperform the market.  

Long-Run Inflation and Exchange Rates Hedge of Stocks in Brazil and Mexico

2006 ◽  
Vol 6 (3) ◽  
pp. 1850093 ◽  
Author(s):  
Edgar Ortiz ◽  
Alejandra Cabello ◽  
Raúl de Jesús
Keyword(s):  
Stock Market ◽  
Exchange Rates ◽  
Stock Returns ◽  
Latin American ◽  
Developed Countries ◽  
Point Of View ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Stock Market Performance ◽  
Fisher Model

A substantial body of evidence documents the relationship between macroeconomic variables and stock returns and risk from developed countries. The evidence for emerging markets is limited, particularly identifying risk premia compensations for inflation and exchange rates. This paper attempts to quantify the short and long term relationship between inflation and exchange rates with over all stock market performance for the case of the two largest Latin American capital markets, Mexico and Brazil. Extending the Fisher model, the aim is to determine whether or not these markets have failed to keep pace with movements in those two variables (the most unstable and economic growth hampering variables in these economies during the last three decades), and therefore to what extent the stock market succeeds or fails to test as inflation hedges. The empirical evidence is presented assuming positioning of a local investor in their own market, and from the point of view of a U.S. investor in each of these markets. Two unit root tests are also presented to stress long term relationships between stock returns, inflation, and foreign exchange.

The stock-bond nexus and investors’ behavior in mature and emerging markets

2019 ◽  
Vol ahead-of-print (ahead-of-print) ◽  
Author(s):  
Refk Selmi ◽  
Rangan Gupta ◽  
Christos Kollias ◽  
Stephanos Papadamou
Keyword(s):  
South Africa ◽  
Quantile Regression ◽  
Stock Returns ◽  
Portfolio Management ◽  
Content Type ◽  
Response Strategies ◽  
Quantile Regression Model ◽  
The Usa ◽  
The Uk

Purpose Portfolio construction and diversification is a prominent challenge for investors. It reflects market agents’ behavior and response to market conditions. This paper aims to investigate the stock-bond nexus in the case of two emerging and two mature markets, India, South Africa, the UK and the USA, using long-term historical monthly data. Design/methodology/approach To address the issue at hand, copula quantile-on-quantile regression (C-QQR) is used to model the correlation structure. Although this technique is driven by copula-based quantile regression model, it retains more flexibility and delivers more robust and accurate estimates. Findings Results suggest that there is substantial heterogeneity in the bond-stock returns correlation across the countries under study point to different investors’ behavior in the four markets examined. Additionally, the findings reported herein suggest that using C-QQR in portfolio management can enable the formation of tailored response strategies, adapted to the needs and preferences of investors and traders. Originality/value To the best of the authors’ knowledge, no previous study has addressed in a comparative setting the stock-bond nexus for the four countries used here using long-term historical data that cover the periods 1920:08-2017:02, 1910:01-2017:02, 1933:01-2017:02 and 1791:09-2017:02 for India, South Africa, the UK and the USA, respectively.

scholarly journals Explanatory Power of Pre-Issue Financial Strength for Long-Term Market Performance: Evidence From Initial Equity Offerings on an Emerging Market

2019 ◽  
Vol 7 (1) ◽  
pp. 16
Author(s):  
Leszek Czapiewski ◽  
Joanna Lizińska
Keyword(s):  
Initial Public Offerings ◽  
Factor Model ◽  
Emerging Market ◽  
Explanatory Power ◽  
Equity Offerings ◽  
Calendar Time ◽  
Developed Country ◽  
Public Offerings ◽  
Long Run

This study tests possible sources of long-term risk-adjusted returns on initial public offerings (IPO) in Poland under the calendar-time portfolio (CTP) approach. The moment of going public still remains a puzzle in many areas. Poland’s status as an emerging market has been indisputable for many years, though improvements in capital market infrastructure have led to its recent reclassification as a developed country. It is an important European equity market. Thus, research on IPO pricing explanation for Poland is important for both investors and academics. In this study, we estimate risk premiums and run regressions on four asset pricing models, including the latest innovation, which is the Fama-French 5-factor model. We also check the robustness. The research documents the existence of the long-run underperformance for Polish IPOs independently of the specification of the calendar-time portfolio approach as alphas range from -9.6% to -13.2% annually. We show that the underperformance is mainly driven by IPOs in a position of weak pre-issue financial health. More profitable IPOs experience less negative long-term returns and the underperformance is even absent in some specifications.

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