Sockeye salmon (Oncorhynchus nerka) have developed into a major run at Frazer Lake, Kodiak Island, Alaska, reaching over 600 000 adults 34 yr after the first egg-plant in 1951. In the last nine years (1978–86), escapements have averaged over 250 000 with a record high of 486 000 adults in 1985. The increase in escapements were inversely related to seasonal macrozooplankton densities (p < 0.05; r2 = 0.42) but directly correlated with increases in the cladoceran to copepod ratio (p < 0.001). In addition, the average body length of the smallest macrozooplanker (Bosmina) has shifted below the observed threshold length of 0.40 mm for juvenile sockeye prey. We also found an inverse relationship between greater parental escapements and age 1. smolt length (p < 0.01; r2 = 0.75). Small-sized smolts produced from a density-dependent rearing environment indicate that spawning capacity equals or exceeds rearing capacity. Juvenile recruits from larger escapements (~400 000) exerted a controlling, density-dependent influence on the secondary trophic level which drastically reduced subsequent adult returns. Moreover, adverse trophic level changes, particularly after the largest escapements, also appeared to reduce the rearing efficiency for lower densities of juveniles, as subsequent smolt sizes from smaller escapements were less than expected. Thus, these findings not only provide a rationale for suggesting that fewer spawners would provide recruits more closely matching the rearing capacity of this lake, but also provide empirical evidence for the potential adverse density-dependent effects of large escapements.
