An Econometric Model of the Aggregate Motor Insurance Market in the United Kingdom

1992 ◽  
Vol 59 (3) ◽  
pp. 409 ◽  
Author(s):  
Marcus J. Chambers
Econometrica ◽  
1962 ◽  
Vol 30 (3) ◽  
pp. 615
Author(s):  
Arnold Zellner ◽  
L. R. Klein ◽  
R. J. Ball ◽  
A. Hazlewood ◽  
P. Vandome

1972 ◽  
Vol 6 (3) ◽  
pp. 222-232 ◽  
Author(s):  
P. D. Johnson ◽  
G. B. Hey

Motor insurers in the United Kingdom are not subject to Government control over the rating structures they use or the levels of premiums they charge. The market is highly competitive, and each insurer therefore needs to make the best estimate he can of the premium required for each category of risk, to produce a given level of profit. He also needs to estimate the extent to which departures from such premium levels can be justified, for example in order to have a simple rating structure or to meet competition.The purpose of this note is to give some examples of the statistical tabulations being produced in one insurance office in the United Kingdom. The statistical system which has been developed covers many aspects of motor insurance management, but in this note we shall direct attention to just two, namely(i) continuous review of the variations in the claims experience from one risk category to another, as a guide to the relative premiums required for the different categories; and(ii) continuous review of the changing composition of the portfolio and of the movements in and out, to try to assess the extent to which gains and losses of business can be attributed to pricing differences, marketing strategies, etc.


1962 ◽  
Vol 57 (297) ◽  
pp. 225
Author(s):  
Ernest J. Mosbaek ◽  
L. R. Klein ◽  
R. J. Ball ◽  
A. Hazlewood ◽  
P. Vandome

1971 ◽  
Vol 97 (2-3) ◽  
pp. 199-201 ◽  
Author(s):  
P. D. Johnson ◽  
G. B. Hey

In 1970 the Association Royale des Actuaires Belges celebrated the 75th anniversary of its foundation. To mark the occasion, the Association had in the previous year invited papers to be submitted on two subjects, one of which was ‘Determination of the heterogeneity of the classes of risks’, and the paper which follows this introductory note was one of those submitted on this subject. The paper deals exclusively with motor insurance, in which the study of heterogeneity must be regarded as being of major importance, and discusses both the measurement of heterogeneity and the relationship between heterogeneity and methods of experience rating such as the no claim discount (NCD) systems used in the United Kingdom.


1971 ◽  
Vol 97 (2-3) ◽  
pp. 202-249

The aim of this paper is to review some of the theoretical and practical questions associated with experience rating in motor insurance, with particular reference to the no claim discount (NCD) systems widely used in the United Kingdom. We shall describe some work carried out in one U.K. insurance office which has in force about 650,000 private motor car policies each covering a single vehicle.


1968 ◽  
Vol 18 (03) ◽  
pp. 185-206
Author(s):  
P. D. Johnson

In the United Kingdom the customary approach to non-life insurance has been to rely more on the practical experience and flair of the underwriter than on a statistical examination of the experience. In some branches of non-life insurance an office is able to make adequate adjustments to its rates on the basis of claim ratios (i.e. the amounts of claims divided by the premiums) for fairly broad groups. In the more competitive branches such as motor insurance the experience needs to be examined in much greater detail, not merely to satisfy the minimum requirement of guarding against selection of the better risks by other insurers, but more positively in order to find out the extent to which the risk varies with each of the existing rating factors and any possible alternatives. Also, because of the rapidity with which conditions are liable to change, the experience studied must be as up to date as possible if reasonably reliable estimates of the future are to be made.


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