scholarly journals A new index for climate change evaluation – An example with the ALADIN and RegCM regional models for the Balkans and the Apennines

Időjárás ◽  
2019 ◽  
Vol 123 (4) ◽  
pp. 551-576
Author(s):  
Valery Spiridonov ◽  
Rilka Valcheva
Author(s):  
Bernhard Weninger ◽  
Lee Clare

Recent advances in palaeoclimatological and meteorological research, combined with new radiocarbon data from western Anatolia and southeast Europe, lead us to formulate a new hypothesis for the temporal and spatial dispersal of Neolithic lifeways from their core areas of genesis. The new hypothesis, which we term the Abrupt Climate Change (ACC) Neolithization Model, incorporates a number of insights from modern vulnerability theory. We focus here on the Late Neolithic (Anatolian terminology), which is followed in the Balkans by the Early Neolithic (European terminology). From high-resolution 14C-case studies, we infer an initial (very rapid) west-directed movement of early farming communities out of the Central Anatolian Plateau towards the Turkish Aegean littoral. This move is exactly in phase (decadal scale) with the onset of ACC conditions (~6600 cal BC). Upon reaching the Aegean coastline, Neolithic dispersal comes to a halt. It is not until some 500 years later—that is, at the close of cumulative ACC and 8.2 ka cal BP Hudson Bay cold conditions—that there occurs a second abrupt movement of farming communities into Southeast Europe, as far as the Pannonian Basin. The spread of early farming from Anatolia into eastern Central Europe is best explained as Neolithic communities’ mitigation of biophysical and social vulnerability to natural (climate-induced) hazards.


2018 ◽  
Vol 18 (2) ◽  
pp. 62-65 ◽  
Author(s):  
Grigory Potapov ◽  
Yulia Kolosova ◽  
Alisa Vlasova

This article presents the results of research focussed on the local bumblebee fauna in the southwest of the Kola Peninsula (near the town of Kandalaksha). In general, if we include the published data, the local fauna have 16 species of bumblebees. Among the species of the present study, the recent record for this region isBombuswurfleniiRadoszkowski, 1860. This species was previously unknown in the European North of Russia. It is typical for mountain ecosystems in Europe (Scandinavia, the mountains of Central and Western Europe, the Balkans, Northern Turkey and the Caucasus). We assume that the record ofB.wurfleniion the Kola Peninsula is the recent appearance of this species in the region. One of the possible reasons for the expansion of this species is climate change. Other species of bumblebees in the local fauna are typical for the region. The species present wide ranges, i.e., Transpalaearctic, Holarctic and one species of West-Central Palaearctic. In the outskirts of Kandalaksha, there are 2 species (B.distinguendusMorawitz, 1869 andB.veteranus(Fabricius, 1793)) which belong to the group of meadow species according to their habitat preference. They are not common for the taiga habitats in the European North of Russia. We can explain their presence in the local fauna by noting the presence of anthropogenic meadow habitats in the studied area.


2016 ◽  
Vol 85 (2) ◽  
pp. 227-244 ◽  
Author(s):  
Laurent Lespez ◽  
Arthur Glais ◽  
José-Antonio Lopez-Saez ◽  
Yann Le Drezen ◽  
Zoï Tsirtsoni ◽  
...  

Numerous researchers discuss of the collapse of civilizations in response to abrupt climate change in the Mediterranean region. The period between 6500 and 5000 cal yr BP is one of the least studied episodes of rapid climate change at the end of the Late Neolithic. This period is characterized by a dramatic decline in settlement and a cultural break in the Balkans. High-resolution paleoenvironmental proxy data obtained in the Lower Angitis Valley enables an examination of the societal responses to rapid climatic change in Greece. Development of a lasting fluvio-lacustrine environment followed by enhanced fluvial activity is evident from 6000 cal yr BP. Paleoecological data show a succession of dry events at 5800–5700, 5450 and 5000–4900 cal yr BP. These events correspond to incursion of cold air masses to the eastern Mediterranean, confirming the climatic instability of the middle Holocene climate transition. Two periods with farming and pastural activities (6300–5600 and 5100–4700 cal BP) are evident. The intervening period is marked by environmental changes, but the continuous occurrence of anthropogenic taxa suggests the persistence of human activities despite the absence of archaeological evidence. The environmental factors alone were not sufficient to trigger the observed societal changes.


2021 ◽  
Vol 12 (1) ◽  
pp. 128-139
Author(s):  
Ljubo PEJANOVIĆ ◽  
Stevan STOJANOVIĆ ◽  
Jovana RISTIĆ ◽  
Nenad STOJANOVIĆ

n this work, special attention is paid to the problem, risk management, risk and crisis management forces and mutual communication in the Balkan region. Management and communication refers to Pejanović, L., Stojanović, S., Ristić, J.Stojanović, N. (2021). Management and Communication with Forces and Resourcesin the Emergence of Crises and Disasters in the Balkans Region.Social Communications: Theory and Practice, Vol. 12(1), 128–139.DOI: 10.51423/2524-0471-2020-12-1-32eISSN 2522-9125 pISSN 2524-0471https://new.comteka.com.ua/security forces, rescue teams and social communications. Thus, for all mentioned, destructive analyzes were used, as well as methods of analysis and content, related to the posed problem of wider-destructive proportions. In this regard, the set problems, management and communication in the occurrence or occurrence of caused threats, risks threats and crises, as well as possible consequences for lives, health and values in the region, are described and explained. It is also envisagedfor the identification and explanation of risks, threats and possible crises, both in communications and actions in combating threats. The aim of this theoretical work is to point out and prove reliable assessments and analyzes of threats, risks, and thus crises, both in risks, catastrophes and in communications and activities. Also, the work will pay attention to the planning, organization and implementation of prevention and protection, critical infrastructure, which accepts and suffers threats, risks and crises, engaged forces to reduce threats in the Balkan Region. Our main goal, plan and idea is the research among the population, in order to get broader answers, and thereby confirming knowledge of the respondents regarding the management of forces, resources and communications. Further we will apply research methods and techniques related to threat, risk, consequence and disaster management. In addition to the mentioned, methods and techniques of finding out possible and potential impacts on climate change and their consequences also are planned and will be applied. Through this article,the research aims to find out about the potential risk to the forces and means used, as well as all other participants in protection and rescue. It is also necessary to define and conceptually determine all threats, risks, hazardous, dangers and consequences that may occur due to climate change and natural disasters.


Author(s):  
Lisa Dicaprio

The chapter explains how the author’s political activism in the 1970s and 1980s, including the cofounding of Chicago Women in Trades, which began as a support group for women carpenters, and structural changes in the academy in the 2000s framed the three main phases of a nontraditional path to and within academia. The journey has included focused work on women, work, and social welfare during the French Revolution, human rights and international justice, and sustainability literacy and climate change activism. The 2002 Catherine Prelinger Award allowed travel to the Balkans to carry out research and produce a public history photographic exhibit on the international campaign for justice for the survivors of the genocide in Srebrenica.


Atmosphere ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 12 (2) ◽  
pp. 148
Author(s):  
Ioannis Charalampopoulos ◽  
Iliana Polychroni ◽  
Emmanouil Psomiadis ◽  
Panagiotis Nastos

Olive and vine cultivations are two of the most important crops in Europe, yielding high quality and value food products. The climate change over the Balkans may elevate the agroecological pressure for the established crops and shift their cultivations areas. One of the widely-used agroclimatic indices is the growing degree days (GDD) which accumulates the necessary thermal units for the selected crops. Despite the advances on the agroclimatic research, there are few available methods for spatiotemporal estimation of this useful index. So, this research is focused on the construction of simple and reliable equations for the calculation and projection of olive and vine cultivations’ GDD over the Balkans. The models’ input parameters are the time, the altitude, the distance from the seashore, and the latitude. Its assembly is made by the extracted spatial data, combined with the Agri4Cast dataset for the period of 1980 to 2018 incorporating the regional climate change trend. The results indicate that the most influential parameter is the time, followed by the latitude, for both cultivations. According to the projections, as quantified by GDD, a vast sprawl of olive and vine cultivation areas will have been formed to the northern parts of the studied area. To be more precise, the viticulture could expand spatially by 28.8% (of the Balkans area) by 2040, and by 15.1% to 2060, when the olive cultivations’ area could sprawl 23.9% by 2040 and 20.3% by 2060.


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