Spatial Contagion Analysis of Port Exports to China Based on Spatial Shift-Share Models and Export Growth Forecast with Constant Market Share and Shift-Share Analysis Combined

Author(s):  
Soo-Won Mo ◽  
Kwang-Bae Lee
2018 ◽  
Vol 1 (2) ◽  
pp. 120-143
Author(s):  
Suwarno Suwarno ◽  
Rina Oktaviani ◽  
Hermanto Siregar ◽  
Endah Murniningtyas

The purposes of this study are to analyze sources of tuna export growth in international market. The analysis methode of this study is Constant Market Share Analyis (CMSA). Based on the result study, Indonesia show an increase in tuna commodity export in international market because of an increase export growth in international market. Indonesia has an increase in competitiveness for frozen tuna, for example yellowfin tuna, skypjack tuna, tuna ness, and for prepared-preserved tuna, for example skypjack tuna. The important factors affecting tuna export supply are gross national product and tuna production. Keywords: tuna,  Constant Market Share Analyis,  competitiveness, export supply.


2019 ◽  
Vol 15 (2) ◽  
pp. 69-84
Author(s):  
Rizki Vanzza Aji ◽  
Zulkarnain Ishak ◽  
Mukhlis Mukhlis

This study aim is to compare the competitiveness of Indonesia cocoa exports with the main ecporting countries of world cocoa beans such as Ivory Coast and Ghana from 2001 to 2016. The comparable of cocoa commodities are raw cocoa or cocoa beans. This research uses descriptive analysis using Revelaved Comparative Advantage (RCA) and Constant Market Share (CMS) approach. The analysis of Revelaved Comparative Advantage is used to determine the competitiveness level of Indonesian cocoa beans, Ivort Coast and Ghana, while Costant Market Share is used to decompose the export growth of Indonesia cocoa beans, Ivory Coast and Ghana into three determinants of export growth including Commodity Composite Effect, Market Distribution Securities and Effects of Competitiveness. RCA analysis shows Indonesia’s cocoa commodity has a comparative advantage in the international market, while CMS analysis shows that the increase of Inonesia cocoa exports is influenced by the increasing demand of world cocoa.


2018 ◽  
Vol 1 (2) ◽  
pp. 120-143
Author(s):  
Suwarno Suwarno ◽  
Rina Oktaviani ◽  
Hermanto Siregar ◽  
Endah Murniningtyas

The purposes of this study are to analyze sources of tuna export growth in international market. The analysis methode of this study is Constant Market Share Analyis (CMSA). Based on the result study, Indonesia show an increase in tuna commodity export in international market because of an increase export growth in international market. Indonesia has an increase in competitiveness for frozen tuna, for example yellowfin tuna, skypjack tuna, tuna ness, and for prepared-preserved tuna, for example skypjack tuna. The important factors affecting tuna export supply are gross national product and tuna production. Keywords: tuna,  Constant Market Share Analyis,  competitiveness, export supply.


2017 ◽  
Vol 30 (6) ◽  
pp. 2075-2089
Author(s):  
Soo-Won Mo ◽  
Jeong-Hwan Park ◽  
Kwang-Bae Lee
Keyword(s):  

2021 ◽  
pp. 002190962110450
Author(s):  
Muhammad Abdul Kamal ◽  
Unbreen Qayyum ◽  
Saleem Khan ◽  
Bosede Ngozi Adeleye

This paper empirically investigated the trade competitiveness and trade potential of Pakistan and ASEAN countries in the Chinese market. The study utilizes trade data for the period of 2003–2019 to assess the bilateral trade aspects by using an extended gravity equation. In addition, the PPML model and constant market share analysis are applied to examine trade potential and competitiveness, respectively. Market size, distance, trade openness, revealed comparative advantage position and common border play an important role in bilateral trade of Pakistan and ASEAN with China, and coefficients of all these variables comply with the economic theory and are statistically significant. Pakistan along with Brunei, Cambodia, Laos, Myanmar, Philippines, and Thailand has great trade potential in the Chinese market. Particularly Cambodia and Vietnam are enjoying the highest competitive advantage as compared to other ASEAN countries. Pakistan’s export performance in China’s market relies on the market distribution effect. Based on this study, we have discussed country-specific future policy discourse for Pakistan and ASEAN countries in detail.


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