scholarly journals The Quality of Public Opinion Poll Coverage during German Federal Election Campaigns

2018 ◽  
Author(s):  
Catharina Vögele ◽  
Marko Bachl
Keyword(s):  
Public Opinion ◽  
Opinion Poll ◽  
Election Campaigns ◽  
Correct Interpretation ◽  
Public Opinion Poll ◽  
Federal Election ◽  
The Public ◽  
Quantitative Content ◽  
Margin Of Error

We analyzed the quality of opinion poll coverage during the German Federal Election Campaigns 2005, 2009, 2013 and 2017 with a quantitative content analysis of the German quality newspapers Die Welt, Frankfurter Allgemeine Zeitung, Süddeutsche Zeitung and Frankfurter Rundschau. From the literature, we derived three indicators of high quality poll coverage: 1) Identification the source of the reported poll, 2) inclusion of the most important methodological information of these polls, and 3) correct interpretation of the poll results with regard to the margin of error. In line with previous research, the poll coverage lacked quality according to all three criteria. We conclude with a discussion of some simple remedies to improve the public opinion poll coverage.

Study Design and Statistics

2009 ◽  
Author(s):  
Margaret A. Winker ◽  
Stephen J. Lurie
Keyword(s):  
Public Opinion ◽  
Statistical Analysis ◽  
Medical Research ◽  
Cardiac Catheterization ◽  
Opinion Poll ◽  
Public Opinion Poll ◽  
Margin Of Error ◽  
Heart Functions ◽  
Statistical Results

Statistical concepts, such as the margin of error in a public opinion poll or the probability of rain or snow, appear in everyday conversation. But, just as one may understand how the heart functions and how blood circulates but not be able to perform a cardiac catheterization, an understanding of statistical concepts does not enable one to perform the work of a statistician. Although the concepts may be familiar, the tools of statistics may be misapplied and the results misinterpreted without a statistician’s help. In medical research, the quality of the statistical analysis and clarity of presentation of statistical results are critical to a study’s validity. Decisions about statistical analysis are best made at the time that the study is designed and generally should not be deferred until after the data have been collected. Even the most sophisticated statistical analysis cannot salvage a fundamentally flawed study. Regardless of the statistician’s role, authors (who may include statisticians) are responsible for the appropriate design, analysis, and presentation of the study’s results...

Revealing Thoughts: French Post-War Cultural Disarray and the Revue marxiste enquête of 1929

1993 ◽  
Vol 2 (3) ◽  
pp. 225-241
Author(s):  
Fred Bud Burkhard
Keyword(s):  
Public Opinion ◽  
Opinion Poll ◽  
Public Opinion Poll ◽  
The Public ◽  
National Life ◽  
Post War ◽  
The Right ◽  
Cultural Leaders ◽  
French Intellectuals

Perhaps the most cherished prerogative of French intellectuals is the right to take a position, to have a public opinion on any and every matter. This power to pronounce judgement has crumbled somewhat in the electronic age before the pressures of the public opinion poll and the occasionally surreal media star syndrome, but generally intellectual and cultural leaders in France have retained highly visible and respected roles within national life.

scholarly journals Figures and wording on religious education

2002 ◽  
pp. 279-304 ◽  
Author(s):  
Stjepan Gredelj
Keyword(s):  
Public Opinion ◽  
Secondary Schools ◽  
Religious Education ◽  
Opinion Poll ◽  
Public Opinion Poll ◽  
Or Education ◽  
The Public

Introduction of religious education and or education for citizenship in the first classes of elementary and secondary schools in Serbia in 2001 autumn had caused numerous controversies in public. This decision of power holders in Serbia was realized no matter of numerous voices of resistance among experts and a split within the public opinion. In the text are presented results of one public opinion poll which indicate ambivalence in the public opinion concerning this issue.

On the myth of reported precision in public opinion polls

2018 ◽  
Vol 60 (2) ◽  
pp. 147-155 ◽  
Author(s):  
Robert A Peterson
Keyword(s):  
Public Opinion ◽  
Research Note ◽  
Opinion Poll ◽  
Public Opinion Poll ◽  
Margin Of Error ◽  
False Sense ◽  
Public Opinion Polls ◽  
Opinion Polls

Many public opinion polls report a mythical margin of error. These reported margins of error are calculated on the basis of a nonexistent (fictitious) dichotomous poll question and are completely unrelated to the actual question responses in a poll. Because it can convey a false sense of poll precision, a mythical margin of error can lead to unsupported and even incorrect inferences regarding the precision of a public opinion poll. This research note documents the existence and implications of mythical margins of error and offers suggestions for addressing them.

The Case for and against the Public Opinion Poll

1940 ◽  
Vol 5 (2) ◽  
pp. 110
Author(s):  
Albert B. Blankenship
Keyword(s):  
Public Opinion ◽  
Opinion Poll ◽  
Public Opinion Poll ◽  
The Public
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