scholarly journals PENGARUH PENGUMUMAN PERUBAHAN PERINGKAT OBLIGASI TERHADAP PERILAKU INVESTOR PADA PERUSAHAAN ASING DAN DOMESTIK

2018 ◽  
Author(s):  
Irdha Yusra
Keyword(s):  
Abnormal Return ◽  
Stock Exchange ◽  
Market Model ◽  
Bond Rating ◽  
Foreign Companies ◽  
Positive Abnormal Return ◽  
Event Date ◽  
Rating Changes ◽  
Different Response ◽  
Domestic Companies

The objective of this research is to examine differences behavior investors to bond rating changes in foreign and domestic companies. The event date is the time when PT Pefindo as a rating agency in Indonesia announce the changes of bond rating during 2002-2011. Event study method is used to analyze investor reaction to bond rating changes announcement. The samples are taken by purposive sampling method and the results are 89 observation, 51 upgrade and 7 downgrade for foreign companies, 15 upgrade and 16 downgrade for domestic companies. Market model used to calculate whether there is any abnormal return. Event windows are 21 days which 10 days before the rating announcement, the day of rating announcement, and 10 days after the rating announcement. The variables is average abnormal return. Generally, the were positive abnormal return at bond rating upgrade announcement and there were negative abnormal return at bond rating downgrade announcement. The result is Indonesian Capital Market, especially Indonesian Stock Exchange significantly react to bond rating upgrade and downgrade, for both categories of foreign and domestic companies. This results indicates that investors react positively to the announcement of the change of bond rating companies foreign and domestic. This research also find different response from investors, where the reaction of investors to changes of bond rating from domestic companies higher than to changes of bond rating from foreign companies

scholarly journals TRANSFER INFORMASI INTRA INDUSTRI ATAS PENGUMUMAN RIGHTS ISSUE DI BURSA EFEK JAKARTA

2017 ◽  
Vol 10 (2) ◽  
pp. 156
Author(s):  
Hana Norhamida
Keyword(s):  
Information Content ◽  
Abnormal Return ◽  
Information Transfer ◽  
Stock Exchange ◽  
Relative Size ◽  
Manufacturing Firm ◽  
Bid Ask Spread ◽  
Positive Abnormal Return ◽  
Event Date ◽  
Rights Issue

The objective of this study is to examine the existence of intra-industry information transfer of the announcement of rights issue. This research has three tests. First, it is the information content test of the announcement of rights issue by issuers firm (event study standard). Second, it is an intra-industry information transfer test that examines information content of the announcement of rights issue by non-issuers firm. Two-first tests verify the significance of abnormal return obtained by issuers firm and non-issuers firm through t-test. Third, it is a regression test, which is to examine the influence of variable of bid-ask spread and variable of relative size of rights issue – as independent variables to variable of non-issuers firm’s abnormal return – as dependent variable.The samples of this study consist of 32 issuers firm and 149 non-issuers firm. All of them are the members of manufacturing firm listed in Jakarta Stock Exchange (JSX) in the period of 1997-2002. This study uses purposive sampling method. The window period is ten days surrounding of the announcement of rights issue (-5, 0, +5). The event date is the listing date of rights issue in JSX.The results of this study are as follows. First, there is information content for the announcement of rights issue that is shown with the existence of marginally significant negative abnormal return obtained by issuers on t-1. This result confirms Marsden (2000). Second, there is an evidence about intra-industry information transfer – there is a significantly positive abnormal return on t-3 and a significantly negative abnormal retun on t+4. Both of them show the existence of contagion effect because the direction of issuers firms and non-issuers firm’s abnormal return on t-3 and t+4 (when the intra-industry information transfer exists significantly) is equal. It shows that commonality industrial factors have the role in this research. The negative intra-indutry information transfer confirms Szewczyk (1992). Third, there is not a significantly influence for variable of bid-ask spread and variable of relative size of rights issue to variable of non-issuers firm’s abnormal return.

scholarly journals TRANSFER INFORMASI INTRA INDUSTRI ATAS PENGUMUMAN RIGHTS ISSUE DI BURSA EFEK JAKARTA

2018 ◽  
Vol 10 (2) ◽  
pp. 156-178
Author(s):  
Hana Norhamida
Keyword(s):  
Information Content ◽  
Abnormal Return ◽  
Information Transfer ◽  
Stock Exchange ◽  
Relative Size ◽  
Manufacturing Firm ◽  
Bid Ask Spread ◽  
Positive Abnormal Return ◽  
Event Date ◽  
Rights Issue

The objective of this study is to examine the existence of intra-industry information transfer of the announcement of rights issue. This research has three tests. First, it is the information content test of the announcement of rights issue by issuers firm (event study standard). Second, it is an intra-industry information transfer test that examines information content of the announcement of rights issue by non-issuers firm. Two-first tests verify the significance of abnormal return obtained by issuers firm and non-issuers firm through t-test. Third, it is a regression test, which is to examine the influence of variable of bid-ask spread and variable of relative size of rights issue – as independent variables to variable of non-issuers firm’s abnormal return – as dependent variable. The samples of this study consist of 32 issuers firm and 149 non-issuers firm. All of them are the members of manufacturing firm listed in Jakarta Stock Exchange (JSX) in the period of 1997-2002. This study uses purposive sampling method. The window period is ten days surrounding of the announcement of rights issue (-5, 0, +5). The event date is the listing date of rights issue in JSX.The results of this study are as follows. First, there is information content for the announcement of rights issue that is shown with the existence of marginally significant negative abnormal return obtained by issuers on t-1. This result confirms Marsden (2000). Second, there is an evidence about intra-industry information transfer – there is a significantly positive abnormal return on t-3 and a significantly negative abnormal retun on t+4. Both of them show the existence of contagion effect because the direction of issuers firms and non-issuers firm’s abnormal return on t-3 and t+4 (when the intra-industry information transfer exists significantly) is equal. It shows that commonality industrial factors have the role in this research. The negative intra-indutry information transfer confirms Szewczyk (1992). Third, there is not a significantly influence for variable of bid-ask spread and variable of relative size of rights issue to variable of non-issuers firm’s abnormal return.

scholarly journals Performance of Exchange Traded Funds during the Brexit Referendum: An Event Study

2018 ◽  
Vol 6 (3) ◽  
pp. 64 ◽  
Author(s):  
Akram Alkhatib ◽  
Murad Harasheh
Keyword(s):  
Event Study ◽  
Abnormal Return ◽  
Abnormal Returns ◽  
Market Model ◽  
Exchange Traded Funds ◽  
The Us ◽  
Global Demand ◽  
Positive Abnormal Return ◽  
Event Date ◽  
Asset Classes

In today’s interrelated economies, financial information travel at speed of light to reach investors around the globe. Global financial markets experience regular shocks that transmit negative waves to other equity markets and different asset classes. Given the unique characteristics of exchange-traded funds (ETFs), this paper examines how different ETFs that are traded on London Financial center reacted to the Brexit event in 23 June 2016. The unexpected referendum result the day after is viewed as the next significant financial event since 2008. The paper employs an event study market model on daily and abnormal returns of the selected ETFs with respect to FTSE 250 around the event date. Contrary to what is expected, the world equities fund experienced significant positive abnormal return on the event day. Emerging markets again proved to be a preferred investment destination in times of financial turmoil; the emerging equities fund gained 3% while enjoying an 11.5% positive significant abnormal returns. The US T-Bond fund recorded a 9% return with a significant 7.2% abnormal return. The gold fund soared as much as 4% as investors seeks refuge from Brexit, and the oil fund retraced 1% amid concerns of slowing global demand.

scholarly journals Dividend Signalling Hypothesis In Emerging Markets: More Empirical Evidence

2013 ◽  
Vol 29 (2) ◽  
pp. 461 ◽  
Author(s):  
Wasim K. Al-Shattarat ◽  
Muhannad A. Atmeh ◽  
Basiem K. Al-Shattarat
Keyword(s):  
Abnormal Return ◽  
Value Relevance ◽  
Stock Exchange ◽  
Abnormal Returns ◽  
Market Model ◽  
Expected Returns ◽  
Cumulative Abnormal Returns ◽  
Positive Abnormal Return ◽  
Study Methodology ◽  
Is Value

The main objective of this study is to examine empirically the signalling theory for a sample of firms listed at Amman Stock Exchange (ASE) during the period 2005 to 2010. The sample consists of 183 observations and 132 observations for dividend release sample and no-dividend release sample, respectively. Event Study Methodology (ESM) is applied to examine the market reaction to dividend release announcements. The market model is used to generate the expected returns. Also, the t-test is used to examine the significance of the mean and cumulative abnormal returns. Results from the dividend release sample shows that there is a significant positive abnormal return on the announcement days. Also, it shows that there is an overreaction straight after the announcement day, then a correcting attempt in the post event and then it goes back to normal, which is consistent with the signalling hypothesis. For the no-dividend release sample, the results show no significant abnormal return on and around the announcement days which is again consistent with the signalling hypothesis. Our results are consistent with Al-Shattarat et al. (2012) suggestions that there could be value relevance for dividends rather than dividends change. Our findings show that there is value relevance for dividends and thus supporting the signalling hypothesis.

scholarly journals Abnormal Return dan Trading Volume Activity Saham-Saham LQ45 pada Peristiwa Pengumuman Kebijakan Quantitative Easing oleh Bank Sentral Amerika Serikat

2016 ◽  
Vol 1 (1) ◽  
pp. 11-21
Author(s):  
Muhammad Falih Ariyanto
Keyword(s):  
Capital Market ◽  
Abnormal Return ◽  
Trading Volume ◽  
Stock Exchange ◽  
Quantitative Easing ◽  
Volume Activity ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Positive Abnormal Return ◽  
International Event ◽  
Market Test

This research is an empirical study to analyze international event and its impacts on Indonesian capital market. The international event in this study is expansionary monetary policy issued by the Federal Reserve in the form of quantitative easing policies that were announced in three stages, on 26 November 2008, 4 November 2010, and 14 September 2012 (Indonesia Stock Exchange trading day). The study analyzed the abnormal return and trading volume activity occured at each event period. Observation period in this study used 120-day estimation period and 11-day event period at each stage of the quatitative easing announcement. The event study was done in Indonesian capital market represented by 127 shares that are catagorized as LQ45 index and actively traded in each event period. The assumption that Indonesian capital market is co-integrated with international capital market can make the announcement of quantitative easing policy as positive information for investors in Indonesia. The analysis results show that a significant positive abnormal return around the event date and a significant increase in the intensity trading activities after the quantitative easing announcement, occured. The market test results show that Indonesian capital market has efficient information in a semi-strong form, so that the investors cannot use the published information to get profits (positive abnormal return) in a long run (around the date of the event only).   Abstrak Penelitian ini merupakan studi empiris untuk menganalisis peristiwa internasional dan dampaknya terhadap pasar modal Indonesia. Peristiwa internasional yang diteliti adalah pengumuman kebijakan moneter ekspansif yang dikeluarkan oleh Bank Sentral Amerika Serikat, yaitu quantitative easing yang dilakukan dalam tiga tahapan pengumuman pada tanggal 26 November 2008, 4 November 2010 dan 14 September 2012 (hari perdagangan bursa di Indonesia). Penelitian dilakukan dengan menganalisis abnormal return dan trading volume activity yang terjadi disetiap periode peristiwa. Penelitian ini menggunakan periode pengamatan yang terdiri dari 120 hari periode estimasi dan 11 hari periode peristiwa disetiap tahapan pengumuman quantitative easing. Analisis studi peristiwa dilakukan pada pasar modal Indonesia yang diwakili oleh 127 saham yang pernah masuk dalam kategori indeks LQ45 dan secara aktif diperdagangkan disetiap periode peristiwa. Asumsi bahwa pasar modal Indonesia terkointegrasi dengan pasar modal internasional menyebabkan pengumuman kebijakan quantitative easing dapat menjadi informasi yang positif bagi pemodal di Indonesia. Hasil analisis menunjukkan bahwa terjadi abnormal return positif yang signifikan di sekitar tanggal peristiwa dan peningkatan intensitas perdagangan yang signifikan setelah peristiwa pengumuman kebijakan quantitative easing. Hasil pengujian efisiensi pasar menunjukkan bahwa pasar modal Indonesia efisien secara informasi dalam bentuk setengah kuat sehingga pemodal tidak dapat menggunakan informasi yang dipublikasikan untuk mendapatkan keuntungan (abnormal return positif) dalam jangka waktu yang lama (hanya di sekitar tanggal peristiwa).

scholarly journals An Empirical Analysis for Abnormal Returns from Initial Public Offerings (IPOs): evidence of Iranian oil and chemical industries

2013 ◽  
Vol 3 (1) ◽  
pp. 143 ◽  
Author(s):  
Mahdi Filsaraei ◽  
Alireza Azarberahman ◽  
Jalal Azarberahman
Keyword(s):  
Initial Public Offerings ◽  
Capital Market ◽  
Abnormal Return ◽  
Stock Exchange ◽  
Abnormal Returns ◽  
Going Public ◽  
Significance Level ◽  
Public Offerings ◽  
Positive Abnormal Return ◽  
Chemical Companies

Purpose: The core purpose of this paper empirically study of the initial public offerings (IPOs) of companies accepted in oil and chemical industries. The paper attempts to answer the question of is there any abnormal return from IPOs in listed companies in Tehran Stock Exchange (TSE).Design/methodology/approach: This research is an applied research, and its design is empirical, which is done by the method of post-event (past information). For the purpose of the study the t-statistic, regression and variance analyses are applied to examine the hypotheses. We use in the analyses a sample of 29 newly accepted Iranian oil and chemical companies listed on TSE for the period of 2001 to 2012. This paper has studied abnormal return and three abnormal phenomena have been considered in capital market. These phenomena consist: (1) underpricing or overpricing of the firm's stock, (2) lower or higher stock return of the firms and (3) Particular period in market for stock transactions volume.Findings: The results support the hypothesis that there is a positive abnormal return to investing in the newly accepted oil and chemical firms for stockholders. It also shown the firm size is the only factor that can affect the stock abnormal return. With considering significance level, investors have to give attention sequentially to other variables such as stock ownership centralization, going public time and stock offering volume.

scholarly journals The Effect of BI Rate’s Decrease Toward The Market Reaction in Indonesia Stock Exchange (IDX)

2016 ◽  
Vol 17 (2) ◽  
pp. 205
Author(s):  
Riwi Sumantyo ◽  
Devi Anggraeni
Keyword(s):  
Abnormal Return ◽  
Trading Volume ◽  
Market Reaction ◽  
Stock Exchange ◽  
Debt Crisis ◽  
Share Price ◽  
Paired Samples ◽  
Before And After ◽  
Event Date ◽  
Negative Sentiment

This research aims to analyze the market reaction that can be seen from the abnormal return and trading volume of activity against BI rate’s decrease announcement which is the lowest point in 2011. Research methods using paired samples t-test. Data used in this research include the date of announcement of the BI rate which is used as the event date (t0), daily closing share price of companies in a period of observation, LQ-45 index daily, the number of shares traded or daily volume, and the number of shares in circulation or listed share. This research uses 39 companies listed in the LQ 45 Index listed in BEI as samples. Result of this research is the absence of differences of Abnormal Return and Trading Volume of Activity before and after the announcement. The possibility of this situation was caused by the negative sentiment arising due to the debt crisis in Europe that there is never a solution so it affects the psychology of investors un decision-making.

scholarly journals THE IMPACT OF BANK RESTRUCTURING ANNOUNCEMENT ON THE BANKING STOCK PRICES: The Cases of Indonesia’s Banking Reforms on March 13, 1999, and The Issuance of Government Bonds on May 28, 1999

2018 ◽  
Vol 1 (2) ◽  
pp. 37
Author(s):  
Muhammad Fendi Susiyanto
Keyword(s):  
Stock Prices ◽  
Abnormal Return ◽  
Stock Exchange ◽  
Abnormal Returns ◽  
Good News ◽  
Government Bonds ◽  
Private Banks ◽  
Event Date ◽  
Banking Reforms ◽  
The Impact

This study is an event study that aims to investigate how successful the banking reforms measures that has already been done by the Indonesian government in order to strengthen its banking system. There were two events to be investigated in this study, first (1) The banking reforms announcement on March 13, 1999 which consists of the closure of 38 private banks, the taken-over of 7 private banks, 9 private banks will be recapitalized, and let 73 private banks to continue their operation without joining the recapitalization program; second (2) on May 28, 1999 Minister of Finance issued government bonds amounted to Rp 103,831 trillion to complete the private banks’ recapitalization, and also issued the other government bonds to repay the obligations of frozen commercial banks’ and rural banks’ regarding its liquidity support, to Bank Indonesia amounted to Rp 53,779 trillion.These two events above, are expected to be good news or favorable information for investors on the Jakarta Stock Exchange (JSX), and should be responded positively by investors which indicates significantly increases on banking stocks after the event dates.Thirteen samples of banking stocks which were listed on the Jakarta Stock Exchange (JSX) at the beginning of 1997 were used to investigate the reaction of banking stocks around the dates of these two events. By using the paired-samples mean difference test, we did not find significant differences between abnormal returns before and after the event dates. Furthermore, the cumulative abnormal return of banking stocks around the banking reforms announcement on March 13, 1999 and the issuance of government bonds announcement on May 28, 1999 were decreasing gradually until it reached the negative area. Trading Volume Activity (TVA) test, on the banking stock volume around the banking reforms announcement on March 13, 1999 has found that TVA of banking stocks after the event date was significantly greater than TVA of banking stocks before the event date. The result was not found on the issuance of government bonds event.In general, from these results, it can be concluded that the banking reforms measures done by the government was not successfully implemented from the market’s point of view.The abnormal return tests have been conducted, yet it is still found a significant abnormal return around both the banking reforms announcement on March 13, 1999 and the issuance of government bonds announcement on May 28, 1999. These findings did not support the semi-strong efficiency of the Jakarta Stock Exchange (JSX).

scholarly journals DAMPAK PERISTIWA PEMILU PRESIDEN INDONESIA 2014 TERHADAP ABNORMAL RETURN DI PASAR MODAL INDONESIA

2018 ◽  
Vol 14 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Nungky Viana Feranita ◽  
Siti Husnul Hotima
Keyword(s):  
Abnormal Return ◽  
T Test ◽  
Market Model ◽  
Paired Sample ◽  
Event Date

Tujuan penelitian ini adalah untuk menguji dampak peristiwa Pemilu Presiden Indonesia 2014 terhadap abnormal return di pasar modal Indonesia yang direfleksikan dengan adanya abnormal return selama periode peristiwa serta adanya perbedaan rata-rata abnormal return sebelum dan setelah peristiwa.Data yang terkumpul akan diolah dan selanjutnya dianalisis dengan menggunakan metode Market Model. Untuk menguji adanya abnormal return selama periode peristiwa dengan menggunakan metode one sample t-test (uji t untuk satu sampel) dengan tingkat signifikansi 5%. Sedangkan untuk menguji perbedaan rata-rata abnormal return sebelum dan setelah peristiwa dengan menggunakan metode paired sample t-test (uji t untuk dua sampel yang berpasangan) dengan tingkat signifikansi 5%.Hasil pengujian yang dilakukan dengan SPSS pada tingkat keyakinan 95% menunjukkan bahwa hanya ada satu hari bursa yang menghasilkan abnormal return saham yang signifikan bagi investor yakni pada saat hari ke-5 setelah event date (t+5) serta terdapat perbedaan rata-rata abnormal return saham sebelum dan setelah peristiwa Pemilu Presiden Indonesia 2014.

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