Abnormal Return dan Trading Volume Activity Saham-Saham LQ45 pada Peristiwa Pengumuman Kebijakan Quantitative Easing oleh Bank Sentral Amerika Serikat

This research is an empirical study to analyze international event and its impacts on Indonesian capital market. The international event in this study is expansionary monetary policy issued by the Federal Reserve in the form of quantitative easing policies that were announced in three stages, on 26 November 2008, 4 November 2010, and 14 September 2012 (Indonesia Stock Exchange trading day). The study analyzed the abnormal return and trading volume activity occured at each event period. Observation period in this study used 120-day estimation period and 11-day event period at each stage of the quatitative easing announcement. The event study was done in Indonesian capital market represented by 127 shares that are catagorized as LQ45 index and actively traded in each event period. The assumption that Indonesian capital market is co-integrated with international capital market can make the announcement of quantitative easing policy as positive information for investors in Indonesia. The analysis results show that a significant positive abnormal return around the event date and a significant increase in the intensity trading activities after the quantitative easing announcement, occured. The market test results show that Indonesian capital market has efficient information in a semi-strong form, so that the investors cannot use the published information to get profits (positive abnormal return) in a long run (around the date of the event only). Abstrak Penelitian ini merupakan studi empiris untuk menganalisis peristiwa internasional dan dampaknya terhadap pasar modal Indonesia. Peristiwa internasional yang diteliti adalah pengumuman kebijakan moneter ekspansif yang dikeluarkan oleh Bank Sentral Amerika Serikat, yaitu quantitative easing yang dilakukan dalam tiga tahapan pengumuman pada tanggal 26 November 2008, 4 November 2010 dan 14 September 2012 (hari perdagangan bursa di Indonesia). Penelitian dilakukan dengan menganalisis abnormal return dan trading volume activity yang terjadi disetiap periode peristiwa. Penelitian ini menggunakan periode pengamatan yang terdiri dari 120 hari periode estimasi dan 11 hari periode peristiwa disetiap tahapan pengumuman quantitative easing. Analisis studi peristiwa dilakukan pada pasar modal Indonesia yang diwakili oleh 127 saham yang pernah masuk dalam kategori indeks LQ45 dan secara aktif diperdagangkan disetiap periode peristiwa. Asumsi bahwa pasar modal Indonesia terkointegrasi dengan pasar modal internasional menyebabkan pengumuman kebijakan quantitative easing dapat menjadi informasi yang positif bagi pemodal di Indonesia. Hasil analisis menunjukkan bahwa terjadi abnormal return positif yang signifikan di sekitar tanggal peristiwa dan peningkatan intensitas perdagangan yang signifikan setelah peristiwa pengumuman kebijakan quantitative easing. Hasil pengujian efisiensi pasar menunjukkan bahwa pasar modal Indonesia efisien secara informasi dalam bentuk setengah kuat sehingga pemodal tidak dapat menggunakan informasi yang dipublikasikan untuk mendapatkan keuntungan (abnormal return positif) dalam jangka waktu yang lama (hanya di sekitar tanggal peristiwa).

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PEMILU SERENTAK DALAM KAITANNYA TERHADAP REAKSI PASAR MODAL DI INDONESIA

Jurnal Akuntansi dan Keuangan ◽

10.23960/jak.v25i1.240 ◽

2020 ◽

Vol 25 (1) ◽

pp. 54-64

Author(s):

Niken Kusumawardani

Keyword(s):

Capital Market ◽

Abnormal Return ◽

Trading Volume ◽

Stock Exchange ◽

Volume Activity ◽

Political Event ◽

The Public ◽

Significant Difference ◽

Before And After ◽

Index Stock

This study aims to determine the effect of simultaneous elections in Indonesia, namely legislative and executive elections that occur simultaneously together with the reaction in the capital market. Market reaction is measured using trading volume activity and returns stock that occur within the timeframe before and after the holding of simultaneous elections, namely on the date before and after April 17, 2019. The population in this study is the issuer that actively trades its shares on the Indonesia Stock Exchange (IDX) in Compass100 Index stock category. The research hypothesis was tested with an independent sample t-test using software SPPS26. Hypothesis testing results indicate a significant difference in trading volume activity that occurs before and after simultaneous elections. While the variable abnormal return there is no significant difference before and after the election simultaneously. This research is expected to be a reference for all parties concerned including the public towards a political event that occurs in this case specifically the simultaneous elections for decision making related to investment activities in stock instruments

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Analisis Reaksi Pasar Terhadap Pengumuman Merger dan Akuisisi Pada Perusahaan Akuisitor yang Terdaftar di BEI

E-Jurnal Akuntansi ◽

10.24843/eja.2018.v23.i03.p10 ◽

2018 ◽

pp. 1870

Author(s):

Ika Putri Adnyani ◽

Gayatri Gayatri

Keyword(s):

Abnormal Return ◽

Trading Volume ◽

Sampling Method ◽

Stock Exchange ◽

Cumulative Abnormal Return ◽

Test Results ◽

Volume Activity ◽

Paired Sample ◽

Analysis Technique ◽

Before And After

This research is conducted on all acquisition companies that conduct acquisitions listed on Indonesia Stock Exchange 2011-2016 period. Sampling method using purposive sampling. The number of samples of this research is 50 companies. The market reaction in this study used abnormal return and trading volume activity. The testing of information content will be done by looking at differences in cumulative abnormal return and the average trading volume of shares five days before and five days after the announcement of the acquisition. Data analysis technique used is paired sample t-test. Based on the test results, found there are significant differences in the abnormal return of the acquirer company before and after the announcement of the acquisition. However, there is no difference in trading volume activity of the acquirer's stock before and after the acquisition announcement Keywords: acquisitions, stock market, abnormal return, trading volume activity

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An Empirical Analysis for Abnormal Returns from Initial Public Offerings (IPOs): evidence of Iranian oil and chemical industries

International Journal of Accounting and Financial Reporting ◽

10.5296/ijafr.v3i1.3048 ◽

2013 ◽

Vol 3 (1) ◽

pp. 143 ◽

Cited By ~ 1

Author(s):

Mahdi Filsaraei ◽

Alireza Azarberahman ◽

Jalal Azarberahman

Keyword(s):

Initial Public Offerings ◽

Capital Market ◽

Abnormal Return ◽

Stock Exchange ◽

Abnormal Returns ◽

Going Public ◽

Significance Level ◽

Public Offerings ◽

Positive Abnormal Return ◽

Chemical Companies

Purpose: The core purpose of this paper empirically study of the initial public offerings (IPOs) of companies accepted in oil and chemical industries. The paper attempts to answer the question of is there any abnormal return from IPOs in listed companies in Tehran Stock Exchange (TSE).Design/methodology/approach: This research is an applied research, and its design is empirical, which is done by the method of post-event (past information). For the purpose of the study the t-statistic, regression and variance analyses are applied to examine the hypotheses. We use in the analyses a sample of 29 newly accepted Iranian oil and chemical companies listed on TSE for the period of 2001 to 2012. This paper has studied abnormal return and three abnormal phenomena have been considered in capital market. These phenomena consist: (1) underpricing or overpricing of the firm's stock, (2) lower or higher stock return of the firms and (3) Particular period in market for stock transactions volume.Findings: The results support the hypothesis that there is a positive abnormal return to investing in the newly accepted oil and chemical firms for stockholders. It also shown the firm size is the only factor that can affect the stock abnormal return. With considering significance level, investors have to give attention sequentially to other variables such as stock ownership centralization, going public time and stock offering volume.

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REAKSI PASAR TERHADAP PENGUMUMAN CASH DIVIDEND PADA PERUSAHAAN YANG TERGABUNG DALAM INDEKS KOMPAS 100

E-Jurnal Manajemen Universitas Udayana ◽

10.24843/ejmunud.2020.v09.i03.p09 ◽

2020 ◽

Vol 9 (3) ◽

pp. 988

Author(s):

I Putu Agus Ary Raditya Juliana ◽

Ica Rika Candraningrat

Keyword(s):

Abnormal Return ◽

Trading Volume ◽

Stock Exchange ◽

Participant Observation ◽

Abnormal Returns ◽

Public Information ◽

Rank Test ◽

Cash Dividend ◽

Volume Activity ◽

Before And After

The purpose of this study is to determine the market reaction to the announcement of cash dividends, by looking at differences in abnormal return and trading volume activity before and after the cash dividend announcement. Dividend announcement is an event that affects the market, because the company provides information to the public. Information provided by the company will influence investors' decision making and will act on that information. The sample of this study amounted to 33 of the 100 companies incorporated in the Kompas 100 index on the Indonesia Stock Exchange (IDX). The data collection method uses non-participant observation, which is document observation. The analysis technique used is Paired-Sample T Test and Wilcoxon-Signed Rank Test. The results showed that there were no differences in abnormal returns and trading volume activity before and after the distribution of cash dividends. Keywords: cash dividend, abnormal return, trading volume activity

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ANALISIS PERBEDAAN ABNORMAL RETURN DAN TRADING VOLUME ACTIVITY SAHAM SEBELUM DAN SESUDAH PERISTIWA GEMPA DI YOGYAKARTA TANGGAL 27 MEI 2006 (Sudi Kasus pada Perusahaan Asuransi Terdaftar di Bursa Efek Jakarta)

IQTISHODUNA ◽

10.18860/iq.v2i2.227 ◽

2011 ◽

Vol 2 (2) ◽

Author(s):

Lulu Nurul Istanti, SE., MM.,

Keyword(s):

Abnormal Return ◽

Trading Volume ◽

Stock Exchange ◽

Mean Value ◽

Volume Activity ◽

Significant Difference ◽

Before And After ◽

Insurance Firms ◽

The Mean ◽

Difference Test

This research presents an empirical analysis of difference between abnormal return and trading volume activity before and after earths-quake, in Yogyakarta at May 27, 2006. And examine its statistical properties. This research argues that there was difference between abnormal return and trading volume activity before and after quake. For this purpose, the mean difference test, using t-test, was applied to compare the mean value of abnormal return and trading volume activity before and after quake. The sample of this research consists of the insurance firms listed at the Jakarta Stock Exchange. Investigation on the sample firms involved periods of ten days before quake and ten days after quake. The results of this research indicate that there was no significant difference between the abnormal return and trading volume activity before and after quake. This evidence confirms that even did not positively influence abnormal return and trading volume activity as suggested theoretically.

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PENGUJIAN JANUARY EFFECT : STUDI KOMPARASI PADA BURSA EFEK INDONESIA DAN BURSA SAHAM SHANGHAI PERIODE 2011-2013

Journal of Business and Banking ◽

10.14414/jbb.v6i1.896 ◽

2017 ◽

Vol 6 (1) ◽

Author(s):

Latanza Hanum Kartikasari

Keyword(s):

Abnormal Return ◽

Trading Volume ◽

Stock Exchange ◽

T Test ◽

January Effect ◽

Volume Activity ◽

Paired Sample ◽

The Difference ◽

One Way Anova

The January Effect occurred as a result companies that have a strategy to improve it is financial statements. The company will sell stocks that have low values at the end of the year and sell shares favorable to attract investment back at the beginning of next year. January Effect the anomaly that serves low stock Return occurred in December and the highest Return ing January. The purpose of this research was to examine whether there is a phenomenon January Effect on Effect Indonesia Stock Exchange and Shanghai Stock Exchange in Period 2011-2013The variables used in this study are the Return, Abnormal Return and trading volume activity. This research was conducted at the company that is static between years 2011-2013 were in a group LQ45 and SSE50 samples that meet the criteria. The model used is the determination of the sample with purposive sampling method. The tools used are Test One-Way ANOVA and Paired Sample (t-test). The results of analysis showed that look Abnormal Return stock and Return there is a difference between January to January in addition to the Indonesia Stock Exchange and Shanghai Stock Exchange by using One-Way ANOVA, while the Paired Sample (t-test) on the Shanghai Stock Exchange there the difference between January to be for January. And for testing of trading volume activity, The January Effect does not occurred in the Indonesia Stock Exchange and Shanghai Stock Exchange.

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Indonesian Capital Market Reaction To The Announcement Of A Recession Due To The Pandemic Covid-19

Academia Open ◽

10.21070/acopen.5.2021.2136 ◽

2021 ◽

Vol 5 ◽

Author(s):

Vani Aryani ◽

Nurasik

Keyword(s):

Capital Market ◽

Abnormal Return ◽

Trading Volume ◽

Rank Test ◽

Volume Activity ◽

The Third ◽

Security Return ◽

Average Abnormal Return ◽

Significant Difference ◽

Before And After

On November 5, 2020, Indonesia was declared a recession after the Central Statistics Agency announced that the Indonesian economy experienced a decline in the third quarter of 2020. The Indonesian economy experienced a decline in the third quarter of 2020, which was minus 3.49 percent. In the second quarter of 2020, the Indonesian economy was already minus 5.32 percent. The announcement of the recession event gave rise to various perceptions for capital market participants. So the purpose of this study is to find out and compare the differences in the average Abnormal Return, Trading Volume Activity, and Security Return Variability of IDX 30 issuers before and after the announcement of the recession due to the COVID-19 pandemic. The research method used is quantitative research with an event study approach. The type of data in this study is secondary data with data collection techniques using the documentation method. The sample used is IDX30 stock issuers on the Indonesia Stock Exchange for the period August 2020 - January 2021. The data analysis technique in this study is descriptive statistical analysis, paired t-test and Wilcoxon signed rank test. The results of this study indicate that: (1) there is a significant difference in the average abnormal return of IDX 30 issuers before and after the announcement of the recession due to the covid-19 pandemic. (2) there is a significant difference in the average Trading Volume Activity of IDX 30 issuers before and after the announcement of the recession due to the covid-19 pandemic. (3) there is no significant difference in the average Security Return Variability of IDX 30 issuers before and after the announcement of the recession due to the covid-19 pandemic.

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Analisis Efek Ramadhan Terhadap Abnormal Return dan Trading Volume Activity pada Perusahaan Yang Masuk dalam Jakarta Islamic Index (JII) di Bursa Efek Indonesia Periode 2014-2018

AL-TIJARY ◽

10.21093/at.v5i1.1598 ◽

2019 ◽

Vol 5 (1) ◽

pp. 37-47

Author(s):

Ahmad Faih ◽

Rohmatun Nafiah

Keyword(s):

Significant Influence ◽

Stock Price ◽

Abnormal Return ◽

Trading Volume ◽

Price Index ◽

Stock Exchange ◽

Secondary Data ◽

T Test ◽

Volume Activity ◽

Stock Price Index

This study is a study of events aimed at knowing the effects of Ramadhan, to companies listed on the Jakarta Islamic Index on the Indonesia Stock Exchange period 2014-2018, using abnormal return and trading volume activity indicators. This study uses secondary data in the form of daily stock price index for the period 2014-2018 , Composite Stock Price Index (IHSG) and trading volume, with the population of companies entering the Jakarta Islamic Index on The Indonesian Stock Exchange , The statistical test used to test the hypothesis is the normality test, and the paired sample t-test. Result of T-test on Abnormal Return between year 2014-2018 know that there is no significant influence between Ramadhan month to abnormal return from year 2014 until 2018. While for T-test on trading volume activity between year 2014 until 2018 know that only in 2014, 2015, and 2017, 2018 there are significant influence which means the market responds to the event. The result of the test of Ramadhan event has the information even though it does not happen in every year of the research period, this is because Ramadhan is a routine event occuring in Indonesia so investors have been able to predict how the stock movemonts in Indonesia Stock Exchange.

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Capital Market Reaction to Announcements the First Case of Coronavirus

Almana : Jurnal Manajemen dan Bisnis ◽

10.36555/almana.v5i1.1537 ◽

2021 ◽

Vol 5 (1) ◽

pp. 54-58

Author(s):

Tiara Putri Nadiwa ◽

Irni Yunita

Keyword(s):

Capital Market ◽

Trading Volume ◽

Stock Exchange ◽

Abnormal Returns ◽

Wilcoxon Test ◽

Volume Activity ◽

First Case ◽

Before And After ◽

The Capital Market ◽

Normally Distributed

The more important the role of the stock exchange in economic activity, the more sensitive the stock exchange is to various surrounding events, whether they are directly related to economic issues or not. The announcement of the first case of the coronavirus in Indonesia is one of the events that have the potential to affect market behavior. This study aims to analyze the reaction of the capital market to the announcement of the first case of the coronavirus in Indonesia. This study used an event study approach with measurements seen from differences in abnormal returns and trading volume activity before and after the event. The research sample was 45 companies selected by the purposive sampling technique. Data analysis used paired sample t-test on normally distributed data and Wilcoxon test on data not normally distributed. The results showed that there was no difference in abnormal returns and trading volume activity before and after the announcement of the first case of the coronavirus in Indonesia. This study concludes that events do not contain significant information that can influence investors' decisions in the capital market.

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REAKSI PASAR MODAL INDONESIA TERHADAP PERISTIWA BENCANA ALAM TSUNAMI DI ACEH TANGGAL 26 DESEMBER 2004

Majalah Ilmiah DIAN ILMU ◽

10.37849/midi.v13i2.38 ◽

2018 ◽

Vol 13 (2) ◽

Author(s):

Nungky Viana Feranita

Keyword(s):

Natural Disaster ◽

Capital Market ◽

Stock Prices ◽

Abnormal Return ◽

Trading Volume ◽

Economic Environment ◽

Volume Activity ◽

Average Abnormal Return ◽

Before And After ◽

Disaster Event

As one of an instrument of economy, capital market can not be separated from influence that amend in its environment, either occur in macro economic, micro economic or non-economic environment. This research is one of the event study which examined in how the reaction of Indonesian capital market toward event that occur in an non-economic environment which is tsunami natural disaster in Aceh, December 26th, 2004.The purpose of this research is to examine stock prices reaction and trading volume activities in Jakarta Stock Exchange (JSX) toward tsunami natural disaster event in Aceh, also to examine whether there are any differences in average abnormal return and average trading volume activity before and after tsunami natural disaster event in Aceh. The samples are generated from stocks that have the biggest market capitalization in JSX which are often listed in LQ45 in period August, 2003 until January, 2008.The result of test using SPSS with 95% confidence level shows that JSX was not responded toward tsunami natural disaster event in Aceh. This is shown by no abnormal return during event period, no difference of average abnormal return before and after event, and no difference of average trading volume activity before and after tsunami natural disaster event in Aceh.

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