Accounting for Driver Distraction and Socioeconomic Characteristics in a Crash Risk Index: Naturalistic Driving Study

2017 ◽  
Vol 2659 (1) ◽  
pp. 204-211 ◽  
Author(s):  
Mengqiu Ye ◽  
Osama A. Osman ◽  
Sherif Ishak
Keyword(s):  
Risk Index ◽  
The United States ◽  
Distracted Driving ◽  
Crash Risk ◽  
Grading System ◽  
Secondary Tasks ◽  
Auto Insurance ◽  
Socioeconomic Characteristics ◽  
Naturalistic Driving Study ◽  
Naturalistic Driving

Distracted driving has long been acknowledged as one of the main contributors to crashes in the United States. According to past studies, driving behavior proved to be influenced by the socioeconomic characteristics of drivers. However, few studies attempted to quantify that influence. This study proposed a crash risk index (CRI) to estimate the crash risk associated with the socioeconomic characteristics of drivers and their tendency to experience distracted driving. The analysis was conducted with data from the SHRP 2 Naturalistic Driving Study. The proposed CRI was developed on a grading system of three measures: the crash risk associated with performing secondary tasks during driving, the effect of socioeconomic attributes (e.g., age) on the likelihood of engagement in secondary tasks, and the effect of specific categories within each socioeconomic attribute (e.g., age older than 60) on the likelihood of engagement in secondary tasks. Logistic regression analysis was performed on the secondary tasks, socioeconomic attributes, and specific socioeconomic characteristics. The results identified the significant secondary tasks with high crash risk and the socioeconomic characteristics with significant effect on determining drivers’ involvement in secondary tasks in each tested parameter. These results were used to quantify the grading system measures and hence estimate the proposed CRI. This index indicates the relative crash risk associated with the socioeconomic characteristics of drivers and considers the possibility of engagement in secondary tasks. The proposed CRI and the associated grading system are plausible methods for estimating auto insurance premiums.

Crash and Near-Crash Risk Assessment of Distracted Driving and Engagement in Secondary Tasks: A Naturalistic Driving Study

2018 ◽  
Vol 2672 (38) ◽  
pp. 245-254 ◽  
Author(s):  
Peter R. Bakhit ◽  
BeiBei Guo ◽  
Sherif Ishak
Keyword(s):  
Traffic Safety ◽  
Real World ◽  
Secondary Task ◽  
Safety Concern ◽  
Distracted Driving ◽  
Crash Risk ◽  
Secondary Tasks ◽  
Depth Analysis ◽  
Naturalistic Driving Study ◽  
Naturalistic Driving

Distracted driving behavior is a perennial safety concern that affects not only the vehicle’s occupants but other road users as well. Distraction is typically caused by engagement in secondary tasks and activities such as manipulating objects and passenger interaction, among many others. This study provides an in-depth analysis of the increased crash/near-crash risk associated with different secondary tasks using the largest real-world naturalistic driving dataset (SHRP2 Naturalistic Driving Study). Several statistical and data-mining techniques were developed to analyze the distracted driving and crash risk. First, a bivariate probit model was constructed to investigate the relationship between engagement in a secondary task and the safety-critical events likelihood. Subsequently, two different techniques were implemented to quantify the increased crash/near-crash risk because of involvement in a particular secondary task. The first technique used the baseline-category logits model to estimate the increased crash risk in terms of conditional odds ratios. The second technique used the a priori association rule mining algorithm to reveal the risk associated with each secondary task in terms of support, confidence, and lift indexes. The results indicate that reaching for objects, manipulating objects, reading, and cell phone texting are the highest crash risk factors among various secondary tasks. Recognizing the effect of different secondary tasks on traffic safety in a real-world environment helps legislators enact laws that reduce crashes resulting from distracted driving, as well as enabling government officials to make informed decisions about the allocation of available resources to reduce roadway crashes and improve traffic safety.

scholarly journals Differences in Near-Crash Risk by Types of Distraction: A Comparison of Trends between Freeways and Two-Lane Highways using Naturalistic Driving Data

2021 ◽  
pp. 036119812110438
Author(s):  
Anshu Bamney ◽  
Nusayba Megat-Johari ◽  
Trevor Kirsch ◽  
Peter Savolainen
Keyword(s):  
Motor Vehicle ◽  
The United States ◽  
Distracted Driving ◽  
Personal Hygiene ◽  
Crash Risk ◽  
Secondary Tasks ◽  
Logistic Regression Models ◽  
Crash Data ◽  
Traffic Characteristics ◽  
Naturalistic Driving

Distracted driving is among the leading causes of motor vehicle crashes in the United States, though the magnitude of this problem is difficult to quantify given limitations of police-reported crash data. This study leveraged data from the second Strategic Highway Research Program Naturalistic Driving Study to gain important insights into the risks posed by driver distraction on both freeways and two-lane highways. More than 50 types of secondary tasks were aggregated into ten distraction type categories and mixed-effects logistic regression models were estimated to discern how the risks of near-crash events varied by distraction type while controlling for the effects of driver, roadway, and traffic characteristics. In general, the types of distractions that created the most pronounced risks were those that introduced a combination of cognitive, visual, and manual distractions. For example, drivers who used cell phones were subject to higher risks and these risks tended to be most pronounced when both visual and manual distractions were involved. Likewise, risks tended to be highest when drivers reached for other objects inside the vehicle, engaged in personal hygiene-related activities, or focused on activities occurring outside of the driving environment. Although the same factors tended to increase near-crash risk on both types of facilities, the impacts of several factors tended to be more pronounced on two-lane highways where interaction with other vehicles occurred more frequently. From a policy standpoint, the results of this study provide further motivation for more aggressive legislation and enforcement of distracted driving.

Investigating Effect of Driver-, Vehicle-, and Road-Related Factors on Location-Specific Crashes with Naturalistic Driving Data

2019 ◽  
Vol 2673 (6) ◽  
pp. 46-56 ◽  
Author(s):  
Grace Ashley ◽  
Osama A. Osman ◽  
Sherif Ishak ◽  
Julius Codjoe
Keyword(s):  
United States ◽  
Machine Learning ◽  
Traffic Accidents ◽  
The United States ◽  
Crash Risk ◽  
Related Factors ◽  
Data Set ◽  
Intersection Safety ◽  
Naturalistic Driving Study ◽  
Naturalistic Driving

According to NHTSA, traffic accidents cost the United States billions of U.S. dollars each year. Intersection accidents alone accounted for 23% of the 32,675 motor crash deaths in 2014. With the advent of the largest naturalistic driving data set in the United States collected by the SHRP2 Naturalistic Driving Study project, this study performs a crash-only analysis to identify driver-, vehicle-, and roadway-related factors that affect the driving risk at different location types using a machine learning tool. The study then analyzes the most important factors obtained from the machine learning analysis to identify how they affect crash risk. The results, in order of importance of variables, were driver behavior, locality, lane occupied, alignment, and through travel lanes. Also, drivers who violated traffic signals were four times more likely to be involved in a crash than drivers who did not. Those who violated stop signs were two times more likely to be involved in crashes than those who did not. Drivers performing visual-manual (VM) tasks at uncontrolled intersections were 2.7 times more likely to be involved in crashes than those who did not engage in these tasks. At nonintersections, drivers who performed VM tasks were 3.4 times more likely to be involved in crashes than drivers who did not. These findings add to the evidence that the establishment of safety awareness programs geared toward intersection safety is imperative.

scholarly journals Risk Factors in Work Zone Safety Events: A Naturalistic Driving Study Analysis

2019 ◽  
Vol 2673 (1) ◽  
pp. 379-387 ◽  
Author(s):  
Nipjyoti Bharadwaj ◽  
Praveen Edara ◽  
Carlos Sun
Keyword(s):  
Risk Factors ◽  
Driver Behavior ◽  
Work Zone ◽  
Crash Risk ◽  
Work Zones ◽  
Binary Logistic Regression Model ◽  
Work Zone Safety ◽  
Naturalistic Driving Study ◽  
Naturalistic Driving ◽  
The Impact

Identification of crash risk factors and enhancing safety at work zones is a major priority for transportation agencies. There is a critical need for collecting comprehensive data related to work zone safety. The naturalistic driving study (NDS) data offers a rare opportunity for a first-hand view of crashes and near-crashes (CNC) that occur in and around work zones. NDS includes information related to driver behavior and various non-driving related tasks performed while driving. Thus, the impact of driver behavior on crash risk along with infrastructure and traffic variables can be assessed. This study: (1) investigated risk factors associated with safety critical events occurring in a work zone; (2) developed a binary logistic regression model to estimate crash risk in work zones; and (3) quantified risk for different factors using matched case-control design and odds ratios (OR). The predictive ability of the model was evaluated by developing receiver operating characteristic curves for training and validation datasets. The results indicate that performing a non-driving related secondary task for more than 6 seconds increases the CNC risk by 5.46 times. Driver inattention was found to be the most critical behavioral factor contributing to CNC risk with an odds ratio of 29.06. In addition, traffic conditions corresponding to Level of Service (LOS) D exhibited the highest level of CNC risk in work zones. This study represents one of the first efforts to closely examine work zone events in the Transportation Research Board’s second Strategic Highway Research Program (SHRP 2) NDS data to better understand factors contributing to increased crash risk in work zones.

Driver speed selection and crash risk: Insights from the naturalistic driving study

2017 ◽  
Vol 63 ◽  
pp. 187-194 ◽  
Author(s):  
Raha Hamzeie ◽  
Peter T. Savolainen ◽  
Timothy J. Gates
Keyword(s):  
Crash Risk ◽  
Naturalistic Driving Study ◽  
Speed Selection ◽  
Naturalistic Driving

scholarly journals What are Australian drivers doing behind the wheel? An overview of secondary task data from the Australian Naturalistic Driving Study

2019 ◽  
Vol 30 (1) ◽  
pp. 27-33 ◽  
Author(s):  
Kristie Young ◽  
Rachel Osborne ◽  
Sjaan Koppel ◽  
Judith Charlton ◽  
Raphael Grzebieta ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Mobile Phone ◽  
Secondary Task ◽  
Task Engagement ◽  
Driver Distraction ◽  
Secondary Tasks ◽  
Mobile Phone Use ◽  
Naturalistic Driving Study ◽  
Naturalistic Driving ◽  
Using Data

Using data from the Australian Naturalistic Driving Study (ANDS), this study examined patterns of secondary task engagement (e.g., mobile phone use, manipulating centre stack controls) during everyday driving trips to determine the type and duration of secondary task engaged in. Safety-related incidents associated with secondary task engagement were also examined. Results revealed that driver engagement in secondary tasks was frequent, with drivers engaging in one or more secondary tasks every 96 seconds, on average. However, drivers were more likely to initiate engagement in secondary tasks when the vehicle was stationary, suggesting that drivers do self-regulate the timing of task engagement to a certain degree. There was also evidence that drivers modified their engagement in a way suggestive of limiting their exposure to risk by engaging in some secondary tasks for shorter periods when the vehicle was moving compared to when it was stationary. Despite this, almost six percent of secondary tasks events were associated with a safety-related incident. The findings will be useful in targeting distraction countermeasures and policies and determining the effectiveness of these in managing driver distraction.

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