scholarly journals THE IMPACT OF AN INCREASE IN THE AREA OF THE CLOUD COVER AND THE COSMIC RAYS FLUX ON CLIMATE IS PRACTICALLY ABSENT

Author(s):  
H.I. Abdussamatov ◽  
Keyword(s):  
2018 ◽  
Vol 10 (4) ◽  
pp. 81
Author(s):  
H. I. Abdussamatov

It is believed that an increase in the area of the cloud cover in the lower atmosphere of the Earth caused by the influence grows of galactic cosmic rays in the period of the Grand minimum of solar activity lead to an increase the reflected part of incoming solar radiation back into space and by that to a cooling of the climate down to the Little Ice Age. We will try to estimate an inverse aspect of simultaneously influence of increase in the area of the cloud cover in to the narrowing of the transmission of the windows of atmospheric transparency, which practically compensates of this cooling by means of accumulation of energy. An increase in the reflection of the thermal radiation of the Earth surface and of the solar radiation reflected from it, as well as the significant amplification of the greenhouse effect, presents an important additional source of heating due to the increase in the area of the cloud cover in the lower atmosphere. The impact of the increase in the area of the cloud cover caused by the influence grows of cosmic rays on the climate is very small.


2020 ◽  
Vol 3 (3) ◽  
Author(s):  
H. I. Abdussamatov

The energy of solar radiation absorbed by the Earth, as well as the thermal radiation of the Earth’s surface, which is released to the space through the atmospheric transparency window, depends on variations of the area of the cloud cover. Svensmark et al. suggest that the increase in the area of the cloud cover in the lower atmosphere, presumably caused by an increase in the flux of galactic cosmic rays during the quasi-bicentennial minimum of solar activity, results only in an increase in the fraction of the solar radiation reflected back to the space and weakens the flux of the solar radiation that reached the Earth surface. It is suggested, without any corresponding calculations of the variations of the average annual energy balance of the Earth Е, that the consequences will include only a deficit of the solar energy absorbed by the Earth and a cooling of the climate up to the onset of the Little Ice Age. These suggestions ignore simultaneous impact of the opposite aspects of the increase in the area of the cloud cover on the climate warming. The latter will result from a decrease in the power of thermal radiation of the Earth’s surface released to the space, and also in the power of the solar radiation reflected from the Earth’s surface, due to the increase in their absorption and reflection back to the surface. A substantial strengthening in the greenhouse effect and the narrowing of the atmospheric transparency window will also occur. Here, we estimate the impact of all aspects of possible long-term 2% growth of the cloud cover area in the lower atmosphere by Е. We found that an increase in the cloud cover area in the lower atmosphere will result simultaneously both in the decrease and in the increase in the temperature, which will virtually compensate each other, while the energy balance of the Earth E before and after the increase in the cloud cover area by 2% will stay essentially the same: E1 – Eо ≈ 0. 


2018 ◽  
Vol 18 (10) ◽  
pp. 7329-7343 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jiming Li ◽  
Qiaoyi Lv ◽  
Bida Jian ◽  
Min Zhang ◽  
Chuanfeng Zhao ◽  
...  

Abstract. Studies have shown that changes in cloud cover are responsible for the rapid climate warming over the Tibetan Plateau (TP) in the past 3 decades. To simulate the total cloud cover, atmospheric models have to reasonably represent the characteristics of vertical overlap between cloud layers. Until now, however, this subject has received little attention due to the limited availability of observations, especially over the TP. Based on the above information, the main aim of this study is to examine the properties of cloud overlaps over the TP region and to build an empirical relationship between cloud overlap properties and large-scale atmospheric dynamics using 4 years (2007–2010) of data from the CloudSat cloud product and collocated ERA-Interim reanalysis data. To do this, the cloud overlap parameter α, which is an inverse exponential function of the cloud layer separation D and decorrelation length scale L, is calculated using CloudSat and is discussed. The parameters α and L are both widely used to characterize the transition from the maximum to random overlap assumption with increasing layer separations. For those non-adjacent layers without clear sky between them (that is, contiguous cloud layers), it is found that the overlap parameter α is sensitive to the unique thermodynamic and dynamic environment over the TP, i.e., the unstable atmospheric stratification and corresponding weak wind shear, which leads to maximum overlap (that is, greater α values). This finding agrees well with the previous studies. Finally, we parameterize the decorrelation length scale L as a function of the wind shear and atmospheric stability based on a multiple linear regression. Compared with previous parameterizations, this new scheme can improve the simulation of total cloud cover over the TP when the separations between cloud layers are greater than 1 km. This study thus suggests that the effects of both wind shear and atmospheric stability on cloud overlap should be taken into account in the parameterization of decorrelation length scale L in order to further improve the calculation of the radiative budget and the prediction of climate change over the TP in the atmospheric models.


2017 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jiming Li ◽  
Qiaoyi Lv ◽  
Bida Jian ◽  
Min Zhang ◽  
Chuanfeng Zhao ◽  
...  

Abstract. The accurate representation of cloud vertical overlap in atmospheric models is particularly significant for predicting the total cloud cover and for the calculations related to the radiative budget in these models. However, it has received too little attention due to the limited observation, especially over the Tibetan Plateau (TP). In this study, 4 years (2007–2010) of data from the CloudSat cloud product and collocated ERA-Interim reanalysis product were analyzed to examine the seasonal and zonal variations of cloud overlap properties over the TP region, and evaluate the effect of atmospheric dynamics on cloud overlap. Unique characteristics of cloud overlap over the TP have been found. The statistical results show that the random overlap assumption slightly underestimates the total cloud coverage for discontinuous cloud layers over the TP, whereas the overlap parameter α for continuous cloud sharply decrease from maximum to random overlap with an increase of layer distance, eventually trending towards a minimal overlap (e.g., negative α values) as the cloud layer separation distance exceeds 1.5 km. Compared with the global averaged cloud overlap characteristics, the proportion of minimal overlap over the TP is significant high (about 41 %). It may be associated with the unique topographical forcing and thermos-dynamical environment of the TP. As a result, we propose a valid scheme for quantifying the degree of cloud overlap over the TP through a linear combination of the maximum and minimum overlap, and further parameterize decorrelation length scale L as a function of wind shear and atmospheric stability. Compared with other parameterizations, the new scheme reduces the bias between predicted and observed cloud covers. These results thus indicate that effects of wind shear and atmospheric stability on cloud overlap should both be taken into account in the parameterization of overlap parameter to improve the simulation of total cloud cover in models.


Author(s):  
N.I. Izhovkina ◽  
◽  
S.N. Artekha ◽  
N.S. Erokhin ◽  
L.A. Mikhailovskaya ◽  
...  

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Assia Arouf

<p>Clouds exert important effects on Earth's surface energy balance through their effects on longwave (LW) and shortwave (SW) radiation. Indeed, clouds radiatively warm the surface in the LW domain by emitting LW radiation back to the ground. The surface LW cloud radiative effect (CRE) quantifies this warming effect. To study the impact of clouds on the interanual natural climate variability, we need to observe them on a long time scale over all kinds of surfaces. The CALIPSO space lidar provides these observations by sampling the atmosphere along its track over all kinds of surfaces for over than 14 years (2006-2020).</p><p>In this work, we propose new estimates of the surface LW CRE from space-based lidar observations only. Indeed, we show from 1D atmospheric column radiative transfer calculations, that surface LW CRE at sea level linearly decreases with the cloud altitude. Thus, these computations allow to establish simple relationships between the surface LW CRE, and five cloud properties observed by the CALIPSO space lidar: the opaque cloud cover and altitude, the thin cloud cover, altitude, and emissivity. Over the 2008–2011, CALIPSO-based retrieval (27.7 W m<sup>-2</sup>) is 1.2 W m<sup>-2</sup> larger than the one derived from combined space radar, lidar, and radiometer observations. Over the 2008–2018 period, the global mean CALIPSO-based retrieval (27.5 W m<sup>-2</sup>) is 0.1 W m<sup>-2</sup> larger than the one derived from CERES space radiometer. Our estimates show that globally, opaque clouds warm the surface by 23.3 W m<sup>-2</sup> and thin clouds contribute only by 4.2 W m<sup>-2</sup>. At high latitudes North and South over oceans, the largest surface LW opaque CRE occurs in fall (40.4 W m<sup>-2</sup>, 31.6 W m<sup>-2</sup>) due to the formation of additional opaque low clouds after sea ice melting over a warmer ocean.</p><p>To quantify the cloud property that drives the temporal variations of the surface LW CRE, the surface LW CRE needs to be related by simple relationships to a finite number of cloud properties such as cloud opacity, cloud altitude and cloud cover. This study allows a decomposition and attribution approach of the surface LW CRE variations and shows that they are driven by the variations occurring in the opaque cloud properties. Moreover, opaque cloud cover drives over than 73% of global surface LW CRE interannual variations.</p>


2019 ◽  
Vol 631 ◽  
pp. A101 ◽  
Author(s):  
Konstantin Herbst ◽  
John Lee Grenfell ◽  
Miriam Sinnhuber ◽  
Heike Rauer ◽  
Bernd Heber ◽  
...  

Context. The first opportunity to detect indications for life outside of the Solar System may be provided already within the next decade with upcoming missions such as the James Webb Space Telescope (JWST), the European Extremely Large Telescope (E-ELT) and the Atmospheric Remote-sensing Infrared Exoplanet Large-survey (ARIEL) mission, searching for atmospheric biosignatures on planets in the habitable zone of cool K- and M-stars. Nevertheless, their harsh stellar radiation and particle environment could lead to photochemical loss of atmospheric biosignatures. Aims. We aim to study the influence of cosmic rays on exoplanetary atmospheric biosignatures and the radiation environment considering feedbacks between energetic particle precipitation, climate, atmospheric ionization, neutral and ion chemistry, and secondary particle generation. Methods. We describe newly combined state-of-the-art modeling tools to study the impact of the radiation and particle environment, in particular of cosmic rays, on atmospheric particle interaction, atmospheric chemistry, and the climate-chemistry coupling in a self-consistent model suite. To this end, models like the Atmospheric Radiation Interaction Simulator (AtRIS), the Exoplanetary Terrestrial Ion Chemistry model (ExoTIC), and the updated coupled climate-chemistry model are combined. Results. In addition to comparing our results to Earth-bound measurements, we investigate the ozone production and -loss cycles as well as the atmospheric radiation dose profiles during quiescent solar periods and during the strong solar energetic particle event of February 23, 1956. Further, the scenario-dependent terrestrial transit spectra, as seen by the NIR-Spec infrared spectrometer onboard the JWST, are modeled. Amongst others, we find that the comparatively weak solar event drastically increases the spectral signal of HNO3, while significantly suppressing the spectral feature of ozone. Because of the slow recovery after such events, the latter indicates that ozone might not be a good biomarker for planets orbiting stars with high flaring rates.


2008 ◽  
Vol 47 (5) ◽  
pp. 1456-1466 ◽  
Author(s):  
Zhining Tao ◽  
Allen Williams ◽  
Ho-Chun Huang ◽  
Michael Caughey ◽  
Xin-Zhong Liang

Abstract Different cumulus schemes cause significant discrepancies in simulated precipitation, cloud cover, and temperature, which in turn lead to remarkable differences in simulated biogenic volatile organic compound (BVOC) emissions and surface ozone concentrations. As part of an effort to investigate the impact (and its uncertainty) of climate changes on U.S. air quality, this study evaluates the sensitivity of BVOC emissions and surface ozone concentrations to the Grell (GR) and Kain–Fritsch (KF) cumulus parameterizations. Overall, using the KF scheme yields less cloud cover, larger incident solar radiation, warmer surface temperature, and higher boundary layer height and hence generates more BVOC emissions than those using the GR scheme. As a result, the KF (versus GR) scheme produces more than 10 ppb of summer mean daily maximum 8-h ozone concentration over broad regions, resulting in a doubling of the number of high-ozone occurrences. The contributions of meteorological conditions versus BVOC emissions on regional ozone sensitivities to the choice of the cumulus scheme largely offset each other in the California and Texas regions, but the contrast in BVOC emissions dominates over that in the meteorological conditions for ozone differences in the Midwest and Northeast regions. The result demonstrates the necessity of considering the uncertainty of future ozone projections that are identified with alternative model physics configurations.


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