Stock Market Prediction using Data Mining Techniques

2020 ◽  
pp. 310-313
Author(s):  
Karunesh Makker ◽  
Prince Patel ◽  
Hrishikesh Roy ◽  
Sonali Borse
Keyword(s):  
Neural Network ◽  
Stock Market ◽  
Prediction Model ◽  
Efficient Market Hypothesis ◽  
Deterministic System ◽  
Vast Number ◽  
Factors Influencing ◽  
Number Of Factors ◽  
Using Data ◽  
Robust Prediction

Stock market is a very volatile in-deterministic system with vast number of factors influencing the direction of trend on varying scales and multiple layers. Efficient Market Hypothesis (EMH) states that the market is unbeatable. This makes predicting the uptrend or downtrend a very challenging task. This research aims to combine multiple existing techniques into a much more robust prediction model which can handle various scenarios in which investment can be beneficial. Existing techniques like sentiment analysis or neural network techniques can be too narrow in their approach and can lead to erroneous outcomes for varying scenarios. By combing both techniques, this prediction model can provide more accurate and flexible recommendations. Embedding Technical indicators will guide the investor to minimize the risk and reap better returns.

An investigational analysis on forecasting intraday values

2019 ◽  
Vol 27 (2) ◽  
pp. 592-605
Author(s):  
Jeevananthan Manickavasagam ◽  
Visalakshmi S.
Keyword(s):  
Neural Network ◽  
Stock Market ◽  
Future Price ◽  
Support Vector ◽  
Content Type ◽  
Stock Market Forecasting ◽  
Statistical Measures ◽  
Stock Indices ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Using Data

Purpose The algorithmic trading has advanced exponentially and necessitates the evaluation of intraday stock market forecasting on the grounds that any stock market series are foreseen to follow the random walk hypothesis. The purpose of this paper is to forecast the intraday values of stock indices using data mining techniques and compare the techniques’ performance in different markets to accomplish the best results. Design/methodology/approach This study investigates the intraday values (every 60th-minute closing value) of four different markets (namely, UK, Australia, India and China) spanning from April 1, 2017 to March 31, 2018. The forecasting performance of multivariate adaptive regression spline (MARSplines), support vector regression (SVR), backpropagation neural network (BPNN) and autoregression (1) are compared using statistical measures. Robustness evaluation is done to check the performance of the models on the relative ratios of the data. Findings MARSplines produces better results than the compared models in forecasting every 60th minute of selected stocks and stock indices. Next to MARSplines, SVR outperforms neural network and autoregression (1) models. The MARSplines proved to be more robust than the other models. Practical implications Forecasting provides a substantial benchmark for companies, which entails long-run operations. Significant profit can be earned by successfully predicting the stock’s future price. The traders have to outperform the market using techniques. Policy makers need to estimate the future prices/trends in the stock market to identify the link between the financial instruments and monetary policy which gives higher insights about the mechanism of existing policy and to know the role of financial assets in many channels. Thus, this study expects that the proposed model can create significant profits for traders by more precisely forecasting the stock market. Originality/value This study contributes to the high-frequency forecasting literature using MARSplines, SVR and BPNN. Finding the most effective way of forecasting the stock market is imperative for traders and portfolio managers for investment decisions. This study reveals the changing levels of trends in investing and expectation of significant gains in a short time through intraday trading.

Predicting Stock Market Price Using Neural Network Model

2018 ◽  
Vol 9 (3) ◽  
pp. 84-94 ◽  
Author(s):  
Naliniprava Tripathy
Keyword(s):  
Neural Network ◽  
Stock Market ◽  
Network Model ◽  
Neural Network Model ◽  
Market Price ◽  
Efficient Market Hypothesis ◽  
Feedforward Neural Network ◽  
Neural Network Models ◽  
Daily Movement ◽  
Indian Stock Market

The present article predicts the movement of daily Indian stock market (S&P CNX Nifty) price by using Feedforward Neural Network Model over a period of eight years from January 1st 2008 to April 8th 2016. The prediction accuracy of the model is accessed by normalized mean square error (NMSE) and sign correctness percentage (SCP) measure. The study indicates that the predicted output is very close to actual data since the normalized error of one-day lag is 0.02. The analysis further shows that 60 percent accuracy found in the prediction of the direction of daily movement of Indian stock market price after the financial crises period 2008. The study indicates that the predictive power of the feedforward neural network models reasonably influenced by one-day lag stock market price. Hence, the validity of an efficient market hypothesis does not hold in practice in the Indian stock market. This article is quite useful to the investors, professional traders and regulators for understanding the effectiveness of Indian stock market to take appropriate investment decision in the stock market.

Predicting Stock Market Price Using Neural Network Model

2022 ◽  
pp. 1414-1426
Author(s):  
Naliniprava Tripathy
Keyword(s):  
Neural Network ◽  
Stock Market ◽  
Network Model ◽  
Neural Network Model ◽  
Market Price ◽  
Efficient Market Hypothesis ◽  
Feedforward Neural Network ◽  
Neural Network Models ◽  
Daily Movement ◽  
Indian Stock Market

The present article predicts the movement of daily Indian stock market (S&P CNX Nifty) price by using Feedforward Neural Network Model over a period of eight years from January 1st 2008 to April 8th 2016. The prediction accuracy of the model is accessed by normalized mean square error (NMSE) and sign correctness percentage (SCP) measure. The study indicates that the predicted output is very close to actual data since the normalized error of one-day lag is 0.02. The analysis further shows that 60 percent accuracy found in the prediction of the direction of daily movement of Indian stock market price after the financial crises period 2008. The study indicates that the predictive power of the feedforward neural network models reasonably influenced by one-day lag stock market price. Hence, the validity of an efficient market hypothesis does not hold in practice in the Indian stock market. This article is quite useful to the investors, professional traders and regulators for understanding the effectiveness of Indian stock market to take appropriate investment decision in the stock market.

On the sensibility of the Pairs Trading strategy: the case of the FTS stock market index

2020 ◽  
Vol 38 (3) ◽  
Author(s):  
Ainhoa Fernández-Pérez ◽  
María de las Nieves López-García ◽  
José Pedro Ramos Requena
Keyword(s):  
Standard Deviation ◽  
Stock Market ◽  
Trading Strategy ◽  
Stock Market Index ◽  
Pairs Trading ◽  
Empirical Application ◽  
Statistical Arbitrage ◽  
Market Index ◽  
Standard Deviations ◽  
Using Data

In this paper we present a non-conventional statistical arbitrage technique based in varying the number of standard deviations used to carry the trading strategy. We will show how values of 1 and 1,2 in the standard deviation provide better results that the classic strategy of Gatev et al (2006). An empirical application is performance using data of the FST100 index during the period 2010 to June 2019.

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