scholarly journals Development of the Risk Accumulation Method for Calculating the Capitalization Rate

2021 ◽  
pp. 7-14
Author(s):  
Nikolai Yu. Trifonov
Keyword(s):  
Risk Adjustment ◽  
Risk Premium ◽  
Stock Exchange ◽  
Country Risk ◽  
Monetary Unit ◽  
Capitalization Rate ◽  
Country Risk Premium ◽  
Risk Free Rate ◽  
The Relationship ◽  
Free Rate

Risk build-up method is the most used for calculating the capitalization rates. With the help of the literature analysis, the origin of this method is considered. The method was based on the relationship between risk and profitability of a stock in exchange trading, proven statistically. Later, when formulating the build-up method, this idea was transferred without any justification to the valuation of enterprises that do not list their securities on stock exchange. In other words, the formulas traditionally used in the application of the build-up method are empirical in nature and not precise.It is more accurate to write them down by analogy with Irwin Fisher's equation of returns. Based on the principle of dependence, one of the main ones for the valuation procedure, the essence of which is that the value of the valuation subject depends on its economic location, a set of four independent risks is given for use in the build-up method in general case: risk-free rate, country risk premium, branch risk premium, and subject risk adjustment. It is noted that the numerical value of these parameters used in the method fundamentally depends on the monetary unit used in the calculation (the valuation currency). Recommendations are given on finding a risk-free rate for various currencies, on calculating country risk premium, branch risk premium, and subject risk adjustment. The article is intended for academics, lecturers, and practitioners in such areas as corporate finance, business microeconomics, valuation, and investment analysis.

scholarly journals Earnings Expectations during the COVID-19 Crisis*

2020 ◽  
Vol 10 (4) ◽  
pp. 598-617 ◽  
Author(s):  
Augustin Landier ◽  
David Thesmar
Keyword(s):  
Risk Premium ◽  
Earnings Forecasts ◽  
Earnings Expectations ◽  
Forecast Revisions ◽  
Asset Risk ◽  
Equity Values ◽  
Oxford University ◽  
Risk Free Rate ◽  
Published Paper ◽  
Free Rate

Abstract We analyze the dynamics of earnings forecasts and discount rates implicit in valuations during the COVID-19 crisis. Forecasts over 2020 earnings have been progressively reduced by 16%. Longer-run forecasts have reacted much less. We estimate an implicit discount rate going from 8.5% in mid-February to 11% at the end of March and reverting to its initial level in mid-May. Over the period, the unlevered asset risk premium increases by 50bp, the leverage effect also increases by 50bp, while the risk free rate decreases by 100bp. Hence, analysts’ forecast revisions explain all of the decrease in equity values between January 2020 and mid-May 2020. Authors have furnished an Internet Appendix, which is available on the Oxford University Press Web site next to the link to the final published paper online.

Damodaran's Country Risk Premium: A Serious Critique

2012 ◽  
Vol 31 (2-3) ◽  
pp. 75-84 ◽  
Author(s):  
Lutz Kruschwitz ◽  
Andreas Löffler ◽  
Gerwald Mandl
Keyword(s):  
Risk Premium ◽  
Country Risk ◽  
Country Risk Premium

scholarly journals ANALISIS RASIONALITAS INVSETOR DALAM PEMILIHAN DAN PENENTUAN PORTOFOLIO OPTIMAL PADA SAHAM-SAHAM JAKARTA ISLAMIC INDEX

2016 ◽  
Vol 2 (2) ◽  
pp. 1
Author(s):  
Raden Arfan Rifqiawan
Keyword(s):  
Central Bank ◽  
Empirical Evidence ◽  
Lower Risk ◽  
Stock Exchange ◽  
Trade Volume ◽  
Index Model ◽  
Single Index Model ◽  
Risk Free Rate ◽  
Asset Data ◽  
Free Rate

<p>The purpose of this study is to determine that  wether investor rationality exist in undergoing the stock choice in  Jakarta Islamic Index at Indonesia Stock Exchange. Population to be chosen in the study is 44 firms listed on JII. However, the sample included are only 19 firms that present 30 times consecutively of simultan monitoring on JII. From 19 firms  after analyzed with single index model  found 11 has firms has  ERB &gt; Ci*, that mean if investor invests  in 11 stocks will  get return higher with lower risk in comparison with investment in risk free  asset. Data to be used in the study is the secondary one, which is collected from Indonesia Stock Exchange Monthly Statistic and risk free rate report from Central Bank of Indonesia.Result to be obtained from the study demonstrates on empirical evidence of investor rationally in choosing the stock on JII. The value is  showed averagely stocks trade  volume that has  ERB &gt; Ci* higher is compared averagely stocks trade  volume that has  ERB&lt; Ci*.</p>

scholarly journals Does Corruption Increase the risk Premium on the West African Economic Monetary Union (WAEMU) Bond Market?

2013 ◽  
Vol 5 (3) ◽  
pp. 129-135
Author(s):  
Mohamed Lamine MBENGUE
Keyword(s):  
Monetary Union ◽  
Risk Premium ◽  
Stock Exchange ◽  
West African ◽  
Negative Effects ◽  
Private Placement ◽  
Corruption Index ◽  
Public Offering ◽  
Spread Analysis ◽  
The Relationship

We study the relationship between corruption and risk premium in West African Economic Monetary Union (WAEMU) market bond. Our sample consists of bonds through a public offering and private placement. For this research data was collected from the stock exchange (Bourse Régionale des Valeurs Mobilières). Number of bonds, average corruption and average spread analysis was used to analyze the data. Most country in WAEMU states has a corruption index below 3.5. The results show that corruption score has negative effects on economic performance indicators and there was a predominance of private placement debt relative to debt through a public offering.

scholarly journals Country Risk Premium: The Case of Chile

2021 ◽  
Vol 13 (2) ◽  
pp. 317-344
Author(s):  
Zocimo Campos ◽  
Juan Tapia Gertosio ◽  
Paulina Gudaris
Keyword(s):  
Stock Market ◽  
Risk Premium ◽  
Stock Prices ◽  
Country Risk ◽  
Country Risk Premium ◽  
Differential Returns

Currently there is no agreed method to estimate the Risk Premium accurately, therefore, different authors arrive at significantly different results when calculating the risk premium for a given country or industry. This work estimates the risk premium of the Chilean stock market (PRM) for the period 1993-2020 using different estimation methodologies (Differential Returns, Implicit Return in Current Stock Prices). The results indicate, depending on the methodology used, a Premium for Risk that ranges between 1,91% and 10,28%, which shows the existence of a positive premium for assuming risk in Chile that ranges around 5,3%.

scholarly journals The Risk Averse Investor's Equilibrium Equity Premium in a Semi Martingale Market with Arbitrary Jumps

2016 ◽  
Vol 8 (6) ◽  
pp. 139
Author(s):  
George M. Mukupa ◽  
Elias R. Offen ◽  
Edward M. Lungu
Keyword(s):  
Utility Function ◽  
Risk Premium ◽  
Rare Event ◽  
Equity Premium ◽  
Risk Averse ◽  
Bond Price ◽  
Risk Free Rate ◽  
Negative Exponential ◽  
Exponential Utility Function ◽  
Free Rate

In this paper, we study the risk averse investor's equilibrium equity premium in a semi martingale market with arbitrary jumps. We realize that,  if we normalize the market, the equilibrium equity premium is consistent to taking the risk free rate $\rho=0$ in martingale markets. We also observe that the value process affects both the diffusive and rare-event premia except for the CARA negative exponential utility function. The bond price always affect the diffusive risk premium for this risk averse investor.

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