scholarly journals Customer Load Forecasting Method Based on the Industry Electricity Consumption Behavior Portrait

2021 ◽  
Vol 9 ◽  
Author(s):  
Weiling Guan ◽  
Daolu Zhang ◽  
Huang Yu ◽  
Binggang Peng ◽  
Yufeng Wu ◽  
...  

With the dramatic increase of energy demand and the continuous increase of power system operation pressure, higher requirements are put forward for the development of power grid planning and optimization operation. It is important for the refinement of distribution network planning to deeply extract the characteristics of user load. First, the process of load characteristic analysis method from the user level to the industry level is proposed, which achieves the division of electricity consumption patterns of various industries, thus building a panoramic portrait of industry electricity consumption behavior. Then, by expanding the information filled in by traditional customers, the feature vector of each user is extracted, and the users' industry electricity consumption patterns are used as the label. Therefore, a method for identifying the electricity consumption pattern of the customer based on the BB-stacking model fusion framework is proposed, which yields the preliminary forecast results of customer load based on the actual load accounting results of the customers. Finally, comparative simulations with different methods verify the effectiveness of the proposed algorithm, which can provide prominent guidance for the actual distribution network planning work.

2012 ◽  
Vol 614-615 ◽  
pp. 724-727
Author(s):  
Heng Sun

This paper summarized the basic steps and processes of urban distribution network planning. It used genetic algorithm with strong global optimization ability for medium voltage distribution network substation outlet to make optimization calculation, and then formed radiation type of power supply network. According to the radial network structure, considering the limitation of the outlet of substation standby capacity and reliability constraint conditions, to meet the situation of minimum investment cost, determined the connection mode of distribution network and contact line direction. This paper adopts an actual distribution network planning project of Tianjin as an example, according to the load forecasting results, determine the connection mode of distribution network and contact line direction, the results meet the reliability, economy and other requirements.


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