scholarly journals Economic Impact Analysis of the Application of Different Pavement Performance Models on First-Class Roads with Selected Repair Technology

2021 ◽  
Vol 11 (21) ◽  
pp. 10409
Author(s):  
Matúš Kozel ◽  
Ľuboš Remek ◽  
Michaela Ďurínová ◽  
Štefan Šedivý ◽  
Juraj Šrámek ◽  
...  

Mathematical expression of the deterioration of individual pavement parameters is, from the point of optimal repair and maintenance strategy decision-making process, an important part of the application of any pavement management system (PMS). The reliability of individual PMS depends on the quality of the inputs and the reliability of its internal sub-systems; thus, deterioration equations derived from high-quality input data play pivotal roles in a system for the prediction of the pavement life cycle. This paper describes the application of pavement performance models within pavement life cycle analysis (LCA) with the use of the integrated system of economic evaluation (ISEH), which is a calculation tool used for first-class roads with a standardized pavement composition of asphalt binders, where changes in operational capability parameters are modeled using individual model simulations. The simulations presented in this paper demonstrate changes in main economic indicators (net present value and internal rate of return) on two different pavement performance models. Both simulations share the same input parameters (traffic intensity, construction intervention, maintenance costs, discount rate) but differ in deterioration evaluation, all of which were applied to each model (a total of five models).

Author(s):  
Orhan Kaya ◽  
Halil Ceylan ◽  
Sunghwan Kim ◽  
Danny Waid ◽  
Brian P. Moore

In their pavement management decision-making processes, U.S. state highway agencies are required to develop performance-based approaches by the Moving Ahead for Progress in the 21st Century (MAP-21) federal transportation legislation. One of the performance-based approaches to facilitate pavement management decision-making processes is the use of remaining service life (RSL) models. In this study, a detailed step-by-step methodology for the development of pavement performance and RSL prediction models for flexible and composite (asphalt concrete [AC] over jointed plain concrete pavement [JPCP]) pavement systems in Iowa is described. To develop such RSL models, pavement performance models based on statistics and artificial intelligence (AI) techniques were initially developed. While statistically defined pavement performance models were found to be accurate in predicting pavement performance at project level, AI-based pavement performance models were found to be successful in predicting pavement performance in network level analysis. Network level pavement performance models using both statistics and AI-based approaches were also developed to evaluate the relative success of these two models for network level pavement performance modeling. As part of this study, in the development of pavement RSL prediction models, automation tools for future pavement performance predictions were developed and used along with the threshold limits for various pavement performance indicators specified by the Federal Highway Administration. These RSL models will help engineers in decision-making processes at both network and project levels and for different types of pavement management business decisions.


2020 ◽  
Vol 15 (3) ◽  
pp. 111-129
Author(s):  
Igoris Kravcovas ◽  
Audrius Vaitkus ◽  
Rita Kleizienė

The key factors for effective pavement management system (PMS) are timely preservation and rehabilitation activities, which provide benefit in terms of drivers’ safety, comfort, budget and impact on the environment. In order to reasonably plan the preservation and rehabilitation activities, the pavement performance models are used. The pavement performance models are usually based on damage and distress observations of rural roads, and can be applied to forecast the performance of urban roads. However, the adjustment of the parameters related to traffic volume, speed and load, climate conditions, and maintenance has to be made before adding them to PMS for urban roads. The main objective of this study is to identify the performance indicators and to suggest pavement condition establishment methodology of urban roads in Vilnius. To achieve the objective, the distresses (rut depth and cracks), bearing capacity, and international roughness index (IRI) were measured for fifteen urban roads in service within a two-year period. The distresses, rut depth and IRI were collected with the Road Surface Tester (RST) and bearing capacity of pavement structures were measured with a Falling Weight Deflectometer (FWD). The measured distresses were compared to the threshold values identified in the research. According to the measured data, the combined pavement condition indices using two methodologies were determined, as well as a global condition index for each road. The analysed roads were prioritized for maintenance and rehabilitation in respect to these criteria. Based on the research findings, the recommendations for further pavement condition monitoring and pavement performance model implementation to PMS were highlighted.


Author(s):  
Stephen Q.S. Lee ◽  
Katherine A. Lauter

The results are presented from a 2-year study on the impact of utility trenching on urban flexible road network pavement roughness, pavement surface distress, structural carrying capacity, pavement life cycle, rehabilitation and maintenance requirements, and the costs associated with these impacts in Ottawa-Carleton, Canada. Included are the pavement performance and life-cycle relationships developed using modified methodologies to address concerns raised by reviews carried out by Construction Technology Laboratories Inc. and the National Research Council of Canada on utility trenching studies to date. In this study, normalized individual pavement section life cycle, a composite pavement quality indicator, and performance prediction models calibrated with numerous years of field data were used in the life-cycle and pavement performance determination. These modifications made to the conventional pavement management system when used to determine the impact of utility trenching are shown to provide performance and life-cycle relationships with better correlation than algorithms used in the previous studies. In this study, very high coefficients of determination ( R2) of 0.79 to 0.85 were obtained for the pavement performance and life-cycle relationships regressed from field data for quantification of urban road network pavement with and without the impact of utility trenching. The factors and costs associated with the impact of utility trenching, such as reduction in pavement life cycle, additional cost for subgrade base repair, pavement strengthening requirements from loss of fatigue structural carrying capacity, and the additional area affected beyond the trenched area, are also quantified in this study.


2020 ◽  
Vol 24 (1) ◽  
pp. 47-56
Author(s):  
Ove Oklevik ◽  
Grzegorz Kwiatkowski ◽  
Mona Kristin Nytun ◽  
Helene Maristuen

The quality of any economic impact assessment largely depends on the adequacy of the input variables and chosen assumptions. This article presents a direct economic impact assessment of a music festival hosted in Norway and sensitivity analyses of two study design assumptions: estimated number of attendees and chosen definition (size) of the affected area. Empirically, the article draws on a state-of-the-art framework of an economic impact analysis and uses primary data from 471 event attendees. The results show that, first, an economic impact analysis is a complex task that requires high precision in assessing different monetary flows entering and leaving the host region, and second, the study design assumptions exert a tremendous influence on the final estimation. Accordingly, the study offers a fertile agenda for local destination marketing organizers and event managers on how to conduct reliable economic impact assessments and explains which elements of such analyses are particularly important for final estimations.


2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Carishma Gokhale-Welch ◽  
James McCall ◽  
David Keyser ◽  
Alexandra Aznar ◽  
Dr. Darghouth

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