scholarly journals Aridity in the Central and Southern Pannonian Basin

Atmosphere ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 11 (12) ◽  
pp. 1269
Author(s):  
Milivoj B. Gavrilov ◽  
Milica G. Radaković ◽  
György Sipos ◽  
Gábor Mezősi ◽  
Gavrilo Gavrilov ◽  
...  

For the investigation of geographical, monthly, seasonal, and annual distributions of aridity and its annual trend in the region of the Central and Southern Pannonian Basin (CSPB), which includes the territories of Hungary and Vojvodina (Northern Serbia), the De Martonne Aridity Index (DMAI) was used. The DMAI was originally calculated from a total of 78 meteorological stations with the maximum available time series of climatological data in three cases: 1931–2017 for Hungary; 1949–2017 for Vojvodina; and 1949–2017 for Hungary and Vojvodina jointly. The Palmer Drought Severity Index (PDSI) was used to control the DMAI results. Temperature and precipitation trends were also investigated to understand their effects on the aridity trend. Three aridity types are distinguished on the annual level, five on the seasonal level, and four on the monthly level. The annual aridity had no trends in all three periods. It seems that aridity can be considered a more stable climate indicator of climate change than the temperature, at least in the CSPB.

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
phillip Ochieng ◽  
Isaiah Nyandega ◽  
Boniface Wambua

Abstract This study was to determine the spatiotemporal characteristics of historical and projected drought events throughout Isiolo County, Kenya, through using self-calibrating Palmer drought severity index (scPDSI). The scPDSI is a complex and robust drought index that applies the water balance model by incorporating the role played by evapotranspiration and soil properties on drought analysis therefore making it appropriate to identify the linkages between meteorological, agricultural and hydrological droughts. The historical scPDSI was computed at a monthly timescale using a 39-year long monthly mean precipitation data from Climate Hazard Group Infrared Precipitation with Station (CHIRPS) and monthly average temperature data from the Climate Research Unit (CRU). The climatological (1950-1996) available water holding capacity (AWHC) of the soil was obtained from Oak Ridge National Laboratory Distributed Active Archive Center (ORNL DAAC) for biochemical dynamics at a spatial resolution of 1o x 1o. The projected scPDSI under Representative Concentration Pathways (RCPs) was computed using bias corrected monthly temperature and precipitation model output data from Coordinated Regional Climate Downscaling Experiment (CORDEX). The datasets were extracted for ten grid points in the County. The scPDSI was used to assess the historical and projected duration, severity, and intensity of droughts. The major significant historical and projected drought events and their characteristics were clearly identified using the run theory. ScPDSI runs have shown that more severe drought events dominated the period between 1980 and 2000. ScPDSI had the longest dry event duration of 61 months and a severity of 126.412 with adverse effects on the eastern locations. The projected drought events identified Mar 2046 –Mar 2048 under RCP4.5 to be the most severe drought lasting for 25 months with severity of 59.292 while under RCP8.5 run Nov 2042 – Nov 2046 is identified as the most severe, 114.362 with the duration of water stress anticipated to last for 49 months. To examine the spatial variability of the drought events in the County, the Empirical Orthogonal Analysis (EOF) was applied to the historical and projected scPDSI time series. The EOF results indicated that the two leading eigen vectors accounted for over 85% of the spatial variability for both historical and projected droughts under the RCPs. Subsequently, the Mann-Kendall (MK) test was applied to the projected scPDSI, temperature and precipitation timeseries in order to determine the local expected drought trends. The MK test of the identified significant increase in trend for temperatures under RCP8.5 and precipitation under RCP4.5 towards the end of the last decade under the study period considered. Both scenarios showed a decline in trends of drought events in Isiolo County from 2020-2050.


2017 ◽  
Vol 14 (1) ◽  
pp. 7-14 ◽  
Author(s):  
Veronika Zuzulová ◽  
Bernard Šiška

Abstract The paper deals with identification of drought in western Slovakia, which is based on soil-climatological data. For this purpose, three sites were chosen: Bratislava, Piešťany and Hurbanovo, situated on the Danubian Lowland. The Palmer Drought Severity Index (PDSI) was calculated on monthly basis for time series 1981–2010, 2021–2050 and 2071–2100. There were determined the driest periods by percentage of dry months for each site. The driest period in Bratislava and Hurbanovo was in the first evaluated time series. In Piešťany we can expect, that the second time series will be the driest. Linear trend of drying area will be revealed in period 2071–2100 for all three sites. The aim of the paper is to analyze and compare the occurrence of drought in temporal and spatial dimensions on the west part of Slovakia.


2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Sinta Berliana S. ◽  
Indah Susanti ◽  
Bambang Siswanto ◽  
Amalia Nurlatifah ◽  
Hidayatul Latifah ◽  
...  

2010 ◽  
Vol 19 (1) ◽  
pp. 14 ◽  
Author(s):  
Katarzyna Grala ◽  
William H. Cooke

Forests constitute a large percentage of the total land area in Mississippi and are a vital element of the state economy. Although wildfire occurrences have been considerably reduced since the 1920s, there are still ~4000 wildfires each year in Mississippi burning over 24 000 ha (60 000 acres). This study focusses on recent history and various characteristics of Mississippi wildfires to provide better understanding of spatial and temporal characteristics of wildfires in the state. Geographic information systems and Mississippi Forestry Commission wildfire occurrence data were used to examine relationships between climatic and anthropogenic factors, the incidence, burned area, wildfire cause, and socioeconomic factors. The analysis indicated that wildfires are more frequent in southern Mississippi, in counties covered mostly by pine forest, and are most prominent in the winter–spring season. Proximity to roads and cities were two anthropogenic factors that had the most statistically significant correlation with wildfire occurrence and size. In addition, the validity of the Palmer Drought Severity Index as a measure of fire activity was tested for climatic districts in Mississippi. Analysis indicated that drought influences fire numbers and size during summer and fall (autumn). The strongest relationship between the Palmer Drought Severity Index and burned area was found for the southern climatic districts for the summer–fall season.


2021 ◽  
Vol 12 (1) ◽  
pp. 16-29
Author(s):  
Ika Purnamasari ◽  
◽  
Tri Wahyu Saputra ◽  
Suci Ristiyana ◽  
◽  
...  

2015 ◽  
Vol 29 (13) ◽  
pp. 4833-4847 ◽  
Author(s):  
Yi Liu ◽  
Xiaoli Yang ◽  
Liliang Ren ◽  
Fei Yuan ◽  
Shanhu Jiang ◽  
...  

2000 ◽  
Vol 78 (7) ◽  
pp. 851-861 ◽  
Author(s):  
Marc D Abrams ◽  
Saskia van de Gevel ◽  
Ryan C Dodson ◽  
Carolyn A Copenheaver

Dendrochronological techniques were used to investigate the dynamics of an old-growth forest on the extreme slope (65%) at Ice Glen Natural Area in southwestern Massachusetts. The site represented a rare opportunity to study the disturbance history, successional development, and responses to climatic variation of an old-growth hemlock (Tsuga canadensis (L.) Carr) - white pine (Pinus strobus L.) - northern hardwood forest in the northeastern United States. Hemlock is the oldest species in the forest, with maximum tree ages of 305-321 years. The maximum ages for white pine and several hardwood species are 170-200 years. There was continuous recruitment of hemlock trees from 1677 to 1948. All of the existing white pine was recruited in the period between 1800 and 1880, forming an unevenly aged population within an unevenly aged, old-growth hemlock canopy. This was associated with large increases in the Master tree-ring chronologies, indicative of major stand-wide disturbances, for both hemlock and white pine. Nearly all of the hardwood species were also recruited between 1800 and 1880. After 1900, there was a dramatic decline in recruitment for all species, including hemlock, probably as a result of intensive deer browsing. White pine and hemlock tree-ring growth during the 20th century was positively correlated with the annual Palmer drought severity index (r = 0.61 and 0.39, respectively). This included reduced growth during periods of low Palmer drought severity index values, the drought years of 1895-1922, and dramatic increases during periods of high Palmer drought severity index values in the 1970s and 1990s. Significant positive and negative correlations of certain monthly Palmer drought severity index values with 20th century tree-ring chronologies also exist for white pine and hemlock using response function analysis. The results of this study suggest that old-growth forests on extreme sites in the eastern United States may be particularly sensitive to direct and indirect allogenic factors and climatic variations and represent an important resource for studying long-term ecological and climatic history.Key words: age structure, radial growth analysis, disturbance, climate, fire, tree rings.


2018 ◽  
Vol 559 ◽  
pp. 461-470 ◽  
Author(s):  
Ufuk Beyaztas ◽  
Bugrayhan Bickici Arikan ◽  
Beste Hamiye Beyaztas ◽  
Ercan Kahya

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