scholarly journals Exchange Rate Regime and Economic Growth in Asia: Convergence or Divergence

2020 ◽  
Vol 13 (1) ◽  
pp. 9
Author(s):  
Dao Thi-Thieu Ha ◽  
Nga Thi Hoang

Exchange rates and exchange rate regimes in a constantly changing economy have always attracted much attention from scholars. However, there has not been a consensus on the effect of exchange rate on economic growth. To determine the direction and magnitude of the impact of an exchange rate regime on economic growth, this study uses the exchange rate database constructed by Reinhart and Rogoff. This study also employs the GMM (Generalized Method of Moments) technique on unbalanced panel data to analyze the effect of the exchange rate regime on economic growth in Asian countries from 1994 to 2016. Empirical results suggest that a fixed exchange rate regime (weak flexibility) will affect economic growth in the same direction. As such, results from the study will serve as quantitative evidence for countries in the Asian region to consider when selecting a suitable policy and an exchange rate regime to attain high economic growth.

The economic participation rate and education for women as a part of the human fund and human learning force can affect the economic growth of the country, that it mostly attracts the attention of investigators. To consider the importance of this issue; we have evaluated the effect of the economic participation rate and education for women on economic growth in the south of Asia. The main purpose of this study is to investigate the relationship between economic participation rate and women's education level on economic growth in 7 South Asian countries (Afghanistan, Pakistan, India, Maldives, Sri Lanka, Bhutan, and Nepal) during 2005-2017. To achieve the purpose of the research, the method of random effects has been used. The results show that during the study period, the rate of women's economic participation in South Asian countries had a negative impact on economic growth. The coefficient of this variable -2.920470 - shows that by increasing the economic participation rate of women by one percent, economic growth decreases by 2.92 percent. The coefficient of the intersection of women's education rate on women's economic participation rate is positive and significant so that the coefficient of this variable (2.153211) shows that with a one percent increase in women's education rate and its effect on women's economic participation rate, economic growth increases by 2.15 percent finds. Furthermore, the exchange rate with a coefficient (1.802102) has a significant effect on economic growth, that a one percent increase in the exchange rate, can increase economic growth by 1.8 percent. But the variables of inflation and the degree of trade openness do not affect economic growth.


2007 ◽  
Vol 10 (1) ◽  
pp. 3-22
Author(s):  
Jardine A Husman

This paper analyzes the impact of exchange rate fluctuation on the output and price in two different regimes. The model employed distinguishes four different sources of impacts on the output and price, namely the anticipated and the un-anticipated exchange rate movement, the aggregate demand and the aggregate supply shock.The result confirms the impact of the exchange rate regime switch on how the exchange rate influences the output. The net impact of Rupiah depreciation will expand the output, indicating the dominance of the aggregate the demand shock through the competitive advantage than the aggregate supply shock through import price effect.The regime switch also alters the effectiveness of the monetary and the fiscal policy on the output. The magnitude of monetary and fiscal policy is much larger than the exchange rate impact on output, both managed and free floating regime.Keywords: exchange rate, anticipated vs. unanticipated depreciation, supply vs. demand channels.JEL Classification: F41, F43, F31


2021 ◽  
Vol 17 (23) ◽  
pp. 27
Author(s):  
Solomon Tewelde Argaie

Although coffee constitutes the largest share of exports, producers in Ethiopia have historically received a small percentage of the export revenue from the price of green coffee. Reasons often mentioned are heavy government intervention and high marketing and processing costs. Before 1992, government regulation of the domestic coffee market in the form of fixed producer prices and the Ethiopian Coffee Marketing Corporation's monopoly power put a substantial wedge between the producer price and the world price of coffee by imposing an implicit tax on producers. Having liberalized the market and adopted a floating exchange rate regime to boost exports (coffee) as the country struggles with foreign exchange shortages, not much has improved in exports (coffee) or foreign reserve availability. This paper utilizes monthly data from 2010-2015 to develop a multiple regression model to determine the impact the exchange rate has on coffee export if there is any. The empirical findings indicate that the exchange rate is not significant in determining or influencing exports but the prices of the two famous coffee types (Arabica and Robusta). Corroborated by the research outcome, we suggest that policymakers do not rely on the depreciation or devaluation of the ETB (Ethiopian Birr) as a tool for export promotion and growth.


2006 ◽  
Vol 06 (37) ◽  
pp. 1 ◽  
Author(s):  
Julian di Giovanni ◽  
Jay C. Shambaugh ◽  
◽  

2019 ◽  
Vol 12 (2) ◽  
pp. 109-126 ◽  
Author(s):  
Ercan Özen

Abstract Developing countries need higher economic growth to reach the level of developed countries. When developing countries exceed the potential economic growth, problems, such as, high external debt and high current deficit emerge. Such situations increase the financial risk of the country; in addition, international political risks, fluctuations in capital inflows and some manipulative movements have subjected countries to extreme exchange rate fluctuations. Purposes of this research: (1) to uncover the impact of high exchange rate volatility on small business activities and (2) to determine whether the level of exposure of the exchange rate shock on business owners varies by age. The methodology of the study involved a survey administered to 390 small and medium-sized enterprises (SMEs). The findings of the study show that after a period of significant exchange rate fluctuations, business activities were negatively affected, sales decreased, and job cuts increased. On the other hand, the exchange rate effect was mostly felt by all business owners of different ages. According to the study, it can be concluded that small enterprises are vulnerable to rising exchange rate volatility. The effect on SMEs with more work experience is not different. In order to alleviate the effects of adverse exchange rate movements, enterprises should be more cautious in their activities. Two suggestions can be made at this point: (i) Governments should follow optimal growth policies and (ii) Small businesses that have an important place in the economy should be made aware of the exchange rate risk and crisis management.


2017 ◽  
Vol 2 (2) ◽  
pp. 25
Author(s):  
Eka Putri Mayangsari

ABSTRACT The choice of exchange rate regime is the most relevant decision in the economic world that has to be faced by the economic authority until now. Exchange rate regime that is applied by one country become a controversial debate after the Asia’s crisis in the year 1997-1998, especially for developing countries and emerging economies in Asia. The purpose of this research is to see the impact of export diversification, intensive margin and extensive margin to the choice of the exchange rate regime in nine emerging and developing countries in Asia 1991-2014.This research uses the panel logistic regression model to analyze the two model that are used in the research; they are: model 1 (the impact of export diversification to the exchange rate regime),and model 2 (the impact of extensive margin and intensive margin to the exchange rate regime. To avoid and to lessen the chances of endogeneity problem therefore, all of the independent variables and the control variable must be lagged in one period.The results of the regression shows that export diversification have a significant positive impact on the exchange rate regime. When export diversification is decomposed into intensive margin and extensive margins, the result shows that the extensive margins also have a significant positive impact towards the exchange rate regime, while the intensive margin does not show any significant impact towards the exchange rate regime choice. Keywords: exchange rate regime, export diversification, intensive margin, extensive margin, emerging and developing countries in Asia. 


2019 ◽  
Vol 7 ◽  
Author(s):  
Mohammed Touitou ◽  
Yacine Laib ◽  
Ahmed Boudeghdegh

The transmission of changes in the exchange rate to macroeconomic performance has led to debates about their impact, particularly on growth economic. Many economists consider the exchange rate as a transmission channel of economic policy for open economies. This article focuses to determining empirically the impact of the exchange rate on economic growth. For this, we will adopt an approach in terms of the vector autoregressive model (VAR) with four variables namely, the real effective exchange rate, economic growth, financial development with credit indicators and finally the money supply. The empirical results allow us to confirm our theoretical expectations that decline in the real effective exchange rate of the dinar increases the growth economy through public spending for consumption and is stimulated by oil taxation.


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