scholarly journals Investment Decisions with Two-Factor Uncertainty

2021 ◽  
Vol 14 (11) ◽  
pp. 534
Author(s):  
Tine Compernolle ◽  
Kuno J. M. Huisman ◽  
Peter M. Kort ◽  
Maria Lavrutich ◽  
Cláudia Nunes ◽  
...  

This paper considers investment problems in real options with non-homogeneous two-factor uncertainty. We derive some analytical properties of the resulting optimal stopping problem and present a finite difference algorithm to approximate the firm’s value function and optimal exercise boundary. An important message in our paper is that the frequently applied quasi-analytical approach underestimates the impact of uncertainty. This is caused by the fact that the quasi-analytical solution does not satisfy the partial differential equation that governs the value function. As a result, the quasi-analytical approach may wrongly advise to invest in a substantial part of the state space.

2002 ◽  
Vol 34 (01) ◽  
pp. 141-157 ◽  
Author(s):  
Paul Dupuis ◽  
Hui Wang

We consider a class of optimal stopping problems where the ability to stop depends on an exogenous Poisson signal process - we can only stop at the Poisson jump times. Even though the time variable in these problems has a discrete aspect, a variational inequality can be obtained by considering an underlying continuous-time structure. Depending on whether stopping is allowed at t = 0, the value function exhibits different properties across the optimal exercise boundary. Indeed, the value function is only 𝒞 0 across the optimal boundary when stopping is allowed at t = 0 and 𝒞 2 otherwise, both contradicting the usual 𝒞 1 smoothness that is necessary and sufficient for the application of the principle of smooth fit. Also discussed is an equivalent stochastic control formulation for these stopping problems. Finally, we derive the asymptotic behaviour of the value functions and optimal exercise boundaries as the intensity of the Poisson process goes to infinity or, roughly speaking, as the problems converge to the classical continuous-time optimal stopping problems.


2002 ◽  
Vol 34 (1) ◽  
pp. 141-157 ◽  
Author(s):  
Paul Dupuis ◽  
Hui Wang

We consider a class of optimal stopping problems where the ability to stop depends on an exogenous Poisson signal process - we can only stop at the Poisson jump times. Even though the time variable in these problems has a discrete aspect, a variational inequality can be obtained by considering an underlying continuous-time structure. Depending on whether stopping is allowed att= 0, the value function exhibits different properties across the optimal exercise boundary. Indeed, the value function is only𝒞0across the optimal boundary when stopping is allowed att= 0 and𝒞2otherwise, both contradicting the usual𝒞1smoothness that is necessary and sufficient for the application of the principle of smooth fit. Also discussed is an equivalent stochastic control formulation for these stopping problems. Finally, we derive the asymptotic behaviour of the value functions and optimal exercise boundaries as the intensity of the Poisson process goes to infinity or, roughly speaking, as the problems converge to the classical continuous-time optimal stopping problems.


2018 ◽  
Vol 64 ◽  
pp. 93-110 ◽  
Author(s):  
Roxana Dumitrescu ◽  
Marie-Claire Quenez ◽  
Agnès Sulem

We study pricing and hedging for American options in an imperfect market model with default, where the imperfections are taken into account via the nonlinearity of the wealth dynamics. The payoff is given by an RCLL adapted process (ξt). We define the seller's price of the American option as the minimum of the initial capitals which allow the seller to build up a superhedging portfolio. We prove that this price coincides with the value function of an optimal stopping problem with a nonlinear expectation 𝓔g (induced by a BSDE), which corresponds to the solution of a nonlinear reflected BSDE with obstacle (ξt). Moreover, we show the existence of a superhedging portfolio strategy. We then consider the buyer's price of the American option, which is defined as the supremum of the initial prices which allow the buyer to select an exercise time τ and a portfolio strategy φ so that he/she is superhedged. We show that the buyer's price is equal to the value function of an optimal stopping problem with a nonlinear expectation, and that it can be characterized via the solution of a reflected BSDE with obstacle (ξt). Under the additional assumption of left upper semicontinuity along stopping times of (ξt), we show the existence of a super-hedge (τ, φ) for the buyer.


2005 ◽  
Vol 08 (01) ◽  
pp. 123-139 ◽  
Author(s):  
MARTIN DAHLGREN ◽  
RALF KORN

The valuation of a Swing option for stocks under the additional constraint of a minimum time distance between two different exercise times is considered. We give an explicit characterization of its pricing function as the value function of a multiple optimal stopping problem. The solution of this problem is related to a system of variational inequalities. We prove existence of a solution to this system and discuss the numerical implementation of a valuation algorithm.


2009 ◽  
Vol 2009 ◽  
pp. 1-13 ◽  
Author(s):  
Atsuo Suzuki ◽  
Katsushige Sawaki

We deal with the pricing of callable Russian options. A callable Russian option is a contract in which both of the seller and the buyer have the rights to cancel and to exercise at any time, respectively. The pricing of such an option can be formulated as an optimal stopping problem between the seller and the buyer, and is analyzed as Dynkin game. We derive the value function of callable Russian options and their optimal boundaries.


2010 ◽  
Vol 27 (02) ◽  
pp. 227-242 ◽  
Author(s):  
ATSUO SUZUKI ◽  
KATSUSHIGE SAWAKI

In this paper, we derive closed form solution for Russian option with jumps. First, we discuss the pricing of Russian options when the stock pays dividends continuously. Secondly, we derive the value function of Russian options by solving the ordinary differential equation with some conditions (the value function is continuous and differentiable at the optimal boundary for the buyer). And we investigate properties of optimal boundaries of the buyer. Finally, some numerical results are presented to demonstrate analytical properties of the value function.


2016 ◽  
Vol 53 (2) ◽  
pp. 554-571 ◽  
Author(s):  
Mi Chen ◽  
Kam Chuen Yuen

Abstract In this paper the optimal dividend (subject to transaction costs) and reinsurance (with two reinsurers) problem is studied in the limit diffusion setting. It is assumed that transaction costs and taxes are required when dividends occur, and that the premiums charged by two reinsurers are calculated according to the exponential premium principle with different parameters, which makes the stochastic control problem nonlinear. The objective of the insurer is to determine the optimal reinsurance and dividend policy so as to maximize the expected discounted dividends until ruin. The problem is formulated as a mixed classical-impulse stochastic control problem. Explicit expressions for the value function and the corresponding optimal strategy are obtained. Finally, a numerical example is presented to illustrate the impact of the parameters associated with the two reinsurers' premium principle on the optimal reinsurance strategy.


1990 ◽  
Vol 4 (4) ◽  
pp. 493-521 ◽  
Author(s):  
Albert G. Greenberg ◽  
Robert J. Vanderbei

Gauss-Seidel is a general method for solving a system of equations (possibly nonlinear). It makes repeated sweeps through the variables; within a sweep as each new estimate for a variable is computed, the current estimate for that variable is replaced with the new estimate immediately, instead of on completion of the sweep. The idea is to use new data as soon as it is computed. Gauss- Seidel is often efficient for computing the invariant measure of a Markov chain (especially if the transition matrix is sparse), and for computing the value function in optimal control problems. In many applications the computation can be significantly improved by appropriately ordering the variables within each sweep. A simple heuristic is presented here for computing an ordering that quickens convergence. In parallel processing, several variables must be computed simultaneously, which appears to work against Gauss-Seidel. Simple asynchronous parallel Gauss-Seidel methods are presented here. Experiments indicate that the methods retain the benefit of a good ordering, while further speeding up convergence by a factor of P if P processors participate.In this paper, we focus on the optimal stopping problem. A probabilistic interpretation of the Gauss-Seidel (and the Jacobi) method for computing the value function is given, which motivates our ordering heuristic. However, the ordering heuristic and parallel processing methods apply in a broader context, in particular, to the important problem of computing the invariant measure of a Markov chain.


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