scholarly journals The Evaluation of the Contractor’s Risk in Implementing the Investment Projects in Construction by Using the Verbal Analysis Methods

2019 ◽  
Vol 11 (9) ◽  
pp. 2660 ◽  
Author(s):  
Galina Shevchenko ◽  
Leonas Ustinovichius ◽  
Dariusz Walasek

The growth of the company’s investment potential is closely associated with the evaluation of the attendant risks of the process, various influencing factors, and the expected results. Therefore, the analysis of a number of qualitative and quantitative criteria of the projects and risks, as well as the potential profit-making opportunities in the investment decision making is required. This paper analyzes a decision-making strategy based on qualitative estimates obtained by investigating the risks posed, the management methods used, and the application of the proposed methods for assessing the contractor’s risk in construction companies.

Author(s):  
Galina Shevchenko ◽  
Leonas Ustinovichius

The paper investigates the investment decision–making, risk assessment and management problems faced by all participants of the investment process in construction. The main object of paper – risk of investment projects in construction. Companies often have to make investment decisions under uncertainty and therefore the study emphasizes the need, for carryng out investigations, developing metodology and intelectual decision making system that would holistically assess the whole available information to the investment project, increase the accuracy of risk assessment, improve project information management, reduce project risk factors for the occurrence of potential and would make informed investment decisions. The created and described verbal analysis method of the real alternatyve classification was integrated into the proposed model and implemented in practice.


2019 ◽  
Vol 279 ◽  
pp. 01011
Author(s):  
Martin Hotový

This paper presents the use of tools and approaches of system dynamics in the analysis of the efficiency of BIM tools implementation in relation to the management and planning of investments in the construction sector. The dynamic model based on the approach of system dynamics allows to simulate the impact rate (range) of BIM implementation in strategic investment decision-making in the construction sector. Based on the analysis, the key parameters critically affecting the large construction investment projects are determined. The proposed model is implemented as a submodel in the dynamic model designed for potential refinements in the strategic planning of the extent of investments into projects of civil infrastructure of the Czech Republic. The model allows to test different strategies in the virtual world before their implementation. The prediction of future developments based on the proposed model allows to streamline planning and decision-making processes.


2021 ◽  
Vol 13 (19) ◽  
pp. 10920
Author(s):  
Mahmoud Hijjawi ◽  
Chyi Lin Lee ◽  
Jufri Marzuki

This paper aims to examine whether and to what extent overconfident CEOs affect Australian real estate investment trusts’ (A-REITs) property investment activities during their tenure as the CEO of A-REITs, covering the period 2000–2019. A-REITs’ property investment and disposal activities are separately modelled against CEOs shares in their companies (an indicator of CEO overconfidence), as well as other controlled variables. We found that around 68% of A-REIT CEOs are overconfident over the study period. However, our empirical results also indicated that CEO overconfidence did not have a profound impact on A-REITs’ investment activities, either property acquisitions or disposals. This could be explained by high corporate governance of A-REITs. Specifically, Australian construction and property companies are the leading market players in sustainability. As publicly quoted companies, listed property and construction companies, particularly A-REITs could be exposed to various managerial issues, including corporate CEO overconfidence and its influence on the investment decision-making process. However, this managerial issue could be minimized via an enhancement of corporate governance that is a key pillar of sustainability. The mitigation of corporate overconfidence and implementation of corporate governance mechanisms makes REITs more accountable to their investors. The implications of the findings have also been discussed.


2020 ◽  
Vol 28 (4) ◽  
pp. 633-653 ◽  
Author(s):  
Fadi Alkaraan

Purpose This paper aims to examine the adoption of conventional and emergent analysis techniques in Strategic Investment Decision-Making (SIDM) practices in large UK manufacturing companies. It aims to update the current knowledge on SIDM practices in large manufacturing companies. The research question underlying this study: Are recently developed analysis techniques (i.e. those that aim to integrate strategic and financial analyses) being used to evaluate strategic investment projects? Design/methodology/approach The research evidence underpinning this study was made up of primary and secondary data, quantitative and qualitative. Firstly, a survey consisting of a mailed formal standard questionnaire was conducted where each respondent is required to answer the same questions based on the same system of coded responses. Secondly, qualitative data was collected using the annual reports of selected companies. Disclosures were used as supplementary source of information using the explanatory notes and parenthetical disclosures accompanying companies’ financial reporting. Sources for these disclosures included management discussions, analyses of company strategy and risk and forward-looking reports regarding future performance and growth opportunities (such as mergers and acquisitions activities). Accordingly, companies’ disclosures were used in this study as an alternative method to semi-structured interviews to collect qualitative data. More recently, companies such as Rio Tinto have prepared strategic annual reports for 2017 against the UK Corporate Governance Code (version 2016). Findings The choice and use of financial analysis techniques and risk analysis techniques depend on the type of project being evaluated. Decision makers in large UK companies do not appear to use emergent analysis techniques widely. Pre-decision control mechanisms have significant influence on SIDM practices. This includes the changes of internal and external contextual factors, including organisational culture, organisational strategies, financial consideration, comprising formal approval governance mechanisms, regulatory and other compliance policies interact with companies’ internal control systems. Companies incorporate non-financial factors alongside quantitative analysis of strategic investments opportunities. Energy efficiency and carbon reduction are key imperatives of companies’ environmental management. These factors viewed by decision makers as significant factors relevant for compliance with legislation as well as maintaining companies’ legitimacy issues, sustainable business, experience with new technology and improved company image. Research limitations/implications High risk, ambiguity and complexity are key characteristics embedded in SIDM processes. Macroeconomic issues remain crucial factors in scanning and screening investment opportunities, as reported by this study. The early stage of SIDM processes requires modelling under macroeconomic scenarios and assumptions of both internal and external parameters. Key assumptions include: projections of economic growth; commodity prices and exchange rates, introduction of technological and productivity advancements; cost and supply parameters for major inputs. SIDM practices rooted on comprehensive knowledge and experience of the industry and markets to draw subjective judgements about the riskiness of prospective projects, but these are rarely formalized into their SIDM processes. Findings of this study, however, remain within the context of UK companies. This study has its own limitations due to its time, location, respondents and sample selection, the size and the sector of the selected companies and questions addressed. Findings of this study raise a call for future research to examine SIDM processes in different settings to explore the relative impact of various organisational control mechanisms on SIDM practices. Also, to examine the influence of contextual factors (such as national culture, political, legal and social factors) on organisational control mechanisms. SIDM practices and processes have received significant attention from researchers, yet there is a lack of evidence in the literature about how companies approach strategic decision-making regarding divestments of some of their strategic investments. This type of strategic decision-making is not less important than other types of SIDM practices. Practical implications SIDM practices reflect the art and science of steering and controlling organisational resources to achieve a desired strategy. To understand the factors that shape SIDM practices and align them to organisational strategy, more attention is required to the choice and design of pre-decision controls and to the important role of strategic management accounting tools over the more traditional financial analysis techniques that have formed the focus of much prior empirical research. Social implications Key environmental issues viewed by decision makers as significant factors relevant for compliance with legislation as well as maintaining companies’ legitimacy issues and company image. Originality/value Despite their perceived importance in this study, quantitative accounting controls may fail to connect with the kind of investment decision-making required to bring strategic success. Indeed, it has been widely noted that financial evaluation techniques are inadequate for assessing strategic investment proposals; they can only function as a guideline, as SIDM practices involve so many uncertainties, risks and judgements. A key insight from this study is that the achievement of integration between the firm’s strategic investment projects and the overall organizational strategy forms a critical pre-decision control on managerial behaviour at an early stage in SIDM practices. As many strategic investment decisions are one-off, non-repeatable decisions, the information needed to support their evaluation is likely to be similarly unique. Sound SIDM practices require the support of a large amount of varied information, a significant proportion of which is collected and analysed prior to potential capital investment projects being considered, such as information related to strategic goal setting, risk-adjusted hurdle rates and the design of appropriate organisational decision hierarchies.


2018 ◽  
Vol 19 (3) ◽  
pp. 203-212
Author(s):  
Irina Kuzmina-Merlino ◽  
Oksana Skorobogatova ◽  
Niels Schmidtke ◽  
Fabian Behrendt

Abstract This paper is devoted to topical issues in the development of transport infrastructure as a key component of the transport system of Latvia. The level of development of transport infrastructure is measured by specific economic indicators, which in their turn depend on the volume and efficiency of acquisition of sources of funding. The paper sheds light on the economic indicators of the development of the transport infrastructure in Latvia and issues of funding of this sector. The data contained in this paper reveals the size and directions of public investment in the transport infrastructure development. The paper focuses on the necessity to create the effective investment mechanism for financing the transport infrastructure of Latvia as a useful instrument in making investment decisions. Based on the theory of decision making the authors developed Investment Decision-Making Concept, which can be used when selecting investment projects in the field of transport infrastructure and their evaluation. This paper is based on the litera ture review of previously published papers of these authors. The authors refine their conceptual approach for developing an investment decision making mechanism, proposed in earlier papers, and offer recommendations aimed at policy-makers, professionals, academics and those with a broad interest in the field.


2019 ◽  
Vol 5 (2) ◽  
pp. 291-302
Author(s):  
Mirza Nasir Mehdi ◽  
Anjum Ihsan ◽  
Shahid Bashir

Capital Investment projects are evaluated and appraised by the corporate managers of business firms listed on PSX through different pragmatic methods, tools and techniques. The complexity of the application of all the methods simultaneously including traditional financial methods, strategic pragmatic methods and risk management methods, urge the corporate managers to apply at least one of the pragmatic methods so that projects’ capital investment decision making criterion or criteria may be reached at to measure the appropriate capital investment decision making. Keeping all this in view, this paper aims to study the risk management techniques rather than studying and measuring all the traditional methods. This paper examines the effect of financial and non-financial factors on risk management methods which are supported by different theories and empirical background with proper references and citations. The responses of the corporate managers of 250 listed business firms on PSX through regression analysis show that almost 80% of the factors have a direct relationship with Risk Management Methods. The maximum significant results of the study point out that the capital investment projects are also evaluated by the corporate managers through risk management methods but the application of the financial and strategic methods cannot be ignored. As many of the project financial experts apply the risk management methods simultaneously with the collaboration of other methods as well. The results also show that effect of firm size as a moderator is also partial significant.


Author(s):  
Kenneth David Strang

Project executives believe complex multinational investment selection is complicated because there are many criteria to evaluate and the decision-making theories are difficult to implement in practice. The 2008 global recession has forced companies to rebalance existing programs and products. Thus, project selection is not merely a go/no-go decision for a single project but instead it is a multiple-criteria factor analysis of multiple new proposals – and whether to continue existing projects. Different selection approaches can produce opposite outcomes when applied to the same situation. Qualitative techniques such as managerial preferences or Delphi consensus building are subjective. Objective quantitative methods such as Markov analysis, linear programming and search heuristics are grounded on rigorous calculus theory, but they produce a single result (not priorities). Also, quantitative techniques may omit important managerial insight. This study demonstrates how qualitative and quantitative selection techniques can be combined for complex multinational investment decision making at a Virginia-USA-based coal mine company that generates electricity.


2007 ◽  
Author(s):  
Enrico Rubaltelli ◽  
Giacomo Pasini ◽  
Rino Rumiati ◽  
Paul Slovic

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