scholarly journals The Aftermarket Performance of Initial Public Offerings in Pakistan

2016 ◽  
Vol 21 (1) ◽  
pp. 23-68
Author(s):  
Muhammad Zubair Mumtaz ◽  
Zachary A. Smith ◽  
Ather Maqsood Ahmed

This paper estimates the aftermarket performance of initial public offerings (IPOs) listed on the Karachi Stock Exchange. The evidence confirms that IPOs generate statistically significant abnormal returns in the short run, which indicates that underwriters initially underprice IPOs when analyzed using a short time horizon. However, when using longer time horizons to estimate abnormal performance, the results indicate that IPOs underperform in the long-run. There is an apparent dislocation between the initial valuation set by underwriters and the premium paid by the market for these new issues. The market sentiment that causes this temporary disequilibrium eventually fades and the market reprices the newly issued shares. We conduct an extreme bounds analysis to test the sensitivity and robustness of 16 explanatory variables in determining the long-term performance of unseasoned newly issued shares. The results indicate that the long-term investment ratio, industry affiliation, market-adjusted abnormal returns, financial leverage, return on assets, IPO activity period, the aftermarket risk level of unseasoned issues, and the post-issue promoter’s holdings variables significantly affect IPOs’ aftermarket performance. Theoretically, the overreaction hypothesis, ex-ante uncertainty hypothesis and window-of-opportunity hypothesis best explain IPOs’ aftermarket performance in this study.

2021 ◽  
Vol 2 (2) ◽  
pp. 97-140
Author(s):  
Muhammad Zubair Mumtaz ◽  
Ather Maqsood Ahmed

This study investigates the long-run pricing performance of 90 IPOs listed on the Karachi Stock Exchange from 1995 to 2010. This study finds evidence that IPOs show signs of underpricing and underperform over three years after listing; however, the observed pattern of underperformance is not always statistically significant. The equal-weighted buy-and-hold abnormal returns and calendar-time analysis confirm the significance of the IPO underperformance over the three year period after listing on the exchange. Extreme bounds analysis is used to test the sensitivity and robustness of twenty six explanatory variables in determining the IPO underperformance. The results reveal that the robust predictors of IPO underperformance include underpricing, financial leverage, age of the firm and oversubscription for buy-and-hold return calculations and underpricing, hot activity period, post issue promoters’ holding, issue proceeds and aftermarket risk level for cumulative abnormal return calculations. Moreover, the fads hypothesis and the window of opportunity hypothesis are applied to explain long-run IPO performance.


2013 ◽  
Vol 29 (4) ◽  
pp. 1189
Author(s):  
Haykel Hamdi ◽  
Duc Khuong Nguyen ◽  
Hassan Obeid

This article investigates the return behaviorof privatization initial public offerings (PIPOs) in Europe over both theshort- and long-run horizons. Using data from a sample of 162 PIPOs over theperiod 1986-2008, we show that European PIPOs outperform, in terms ofrisk-adjusted abnormal returns, a benchmark market index and a portfoliocomposed of 162 European private IPOs, regardless of the horizon of analysis.Our results are important for both investors and policymakers with respect totheir investment and privatization decisions, and also allow a betterunderstanding of the financial performance behavior of the privatizedstate-owned enterprises.


Author(s):  
Srinivasa Rao Dokku ◽  
Rajesh Choudary Jampala ◽  
P. Adi Lakshmi

The authors analyze 146 Indian Initial Public Offerings (IPOs) that were listed in Bombay Stock Exchange (BSE) between January 2007 and December 2009. The units of the sample are selected on the basis of companies available in the Indian stock market for three years for calculating short-term and long-term returns. The evidence suggests that the IPOs are initial day underpriced by 4.25 per cent and underperformed by 29.06 per cent after 36 months of listing. The study also finds that issue variables are highly influencing the IPOs performance in short run and long run but age of the company doesn't have any influence on its performance during the study period. The JEL classifications are G12, G14, G24, and G32.


2015 ◽  
Vol 1 (310) ◽  
Author(s):  
Joanna Lizińska ◽  
Leszek Czapiewski

The purpose of the research was to assess the price behavior of initial public offerings (IPO) of equities listed on the Warsaw Stock Exchange from 1996 to 2010. We also aimed to observe IPO underpricing and the underperformance phenomenon with different approaches. Short-term performance was analyzed with raw and adjusted initial returns. For the long-term, abnormal returns were compounded and cumulated. Different methods of outliers detection and ways of minimizing the detrimental effect of outliers were applied. In long-term studies, we also compared the results for the daily, weekly and monthly returns. IPO underpricing and underperformance on the WSE still remains substantial and significant, even accounting for the variety of methods applied. The difference in underpricing between the 1996–2004 and the 2005–2010 sample was insignificant. However, we reported statistically significant and economically important differences in underperformance between both samples.        


Author(s):  
Mahdi Filsaraei ◽  
Alireza Azarberahman ◽  
Jalal Azarberahman

Purpose: The core purpose of this paper empirically study of the initial public offerings (IPOs) of companies accepted in oil and chemical industries. The paper attempts to answer the question of is there any abnormal return from IPOs in listed companies in Tehran Stock Exchange (TSE).Design/methodology/approach: This research is an applied research, and its design is empirical, which is done by the method of post-event (past information). For the purpose of the study the t-statistic, regression and variance analyses are applied to examine the hypotheses. We use in the analyses a sample of 29 newly accepted Iranian oil and chemical companies listed on TSE for the period of 2001 to 2012. This paper has studied abnormal return and three abnormal phenomena have been considered in capital market. These phenomena consist: (1) underpricing or overpricing of the firm's stock, (2) lower or higher stock return of the firms and (3) Particular period in market for stock transactions volume.Findings: The results support the hypothesis that there is a positive abnormal return to investing in the newly accepted oil and chemical firms for stockholders. It also shown the firm size is the only factor that can affect the stock abnormal return. With considering significance level, investors have to give attention sequentially to other variables such as stock ownership centralization, going public time and stock offering volume.


2016 ◽  
Vol 106 (11) ◽  
pp. 3558-3576 ◽  
Author(s):  
Sibylle Lehmann-Hasemeyer ◽  
Jochen Streb

Analyzing 474 cases of firms going public in the German capital between 1892 and 1913, we show that innovative firms could rely on the Berlin stock market as a source of financing. Our data also reveal that initial public offerings (IPO) of innovative firms were characterized by particularly low underpricing, comparatively high first trading prices, and no long-run underperformance. We interpret these empirical results as evidence for the surprising fact that in the period of the Second Industrial Revolution the Berlin stock exchange was already a well-functioning market for new technology. (JEL G14, N23)


2010 ◽  
Vol 2 (2) ◽  
pp. 100-125
Author(s):  
Lioniva Emasari ◽  
Dewi Tamara

We study the long-term performance of IPO share issued in Indonesia during the 1996-2001 periods. The IPOs in this period are mostly concentrated in Finance, Trade, Property and Basic Industry & Chemicals. The cumulative abnormal return (CAR) and buy-and-hold abnormal return (BHAR) in the third year are 15.83% and negative 68.02%, respectively. The CAR and BHAR in the fifth year are negative 1% and negative 139.7%, respectively. The highest CAR for 3 and 5 years are mining industry, with 289.29% and 226.80%, respectively. The lowest CAR for third year is trade, service & investment industry, with negative 59.36% and fifth year is agriculture with negative 59.72%. The lowest BHAR for third and fifth year is trade, service and investment industry with negative 113.01% and negative 230.99 respectively. The long-run performance using cumulative abnormal return is similar with the market and cannot outperform the market.  


2019 ◽  
Vol 23 (4) ◽  
pp. 397-409
Author(s):  
Till Drebinger ◽  
Shailendra Kumar Rai ◽  
Heiko Hinrichs

We examine 616 Indian initial public offerings (IPOs), including 116 IPOs backed by private equity (PE), between 2000 and 2016, to test whether PE-backed IPOs perform better than non-PE-backed IPOs in the short run as well as in the long run in terms of cumulative abnormal returns (CARs). We also examine the impact of the PE firm nationality on post-IPO performance. Consistent with the existing literature, we find underperformance for all IPOs, on an average, within 1 year. However, PE-backed IPOs have lower degree of underperformance than non-PE-backed IPOs. We also find that size, liquidity and leverage have a positive impact on the post-IPO performance after the financial crisis, whereas issue amount and capital issue year are negatively correlated to CARs before and during the crisis. We also find significant effects of PE firm nationality on CAR development. IPOs backed by India-dedicated PE firms perform best, while those backed by foreign PE firms perform worst and even underperform non-PE-backed IPOs. IPOs by foreign PE firms perform better if they co-invest with India-dedicated PE firms.


Author(s):  
Huong Dang ◽  
Michael Jolly

This chapter examines the performance of 96 initial public offerings (IPOs) listed on New Zealand Stock Exchange (NZSX) during the 25-year period from July 1991 to June 2015. The NZX Gross All Index and two portfolios of matched peers based on sector/industry and either sales forecast or book-to-market ratio are constructed as benchmarks. Compared with three benchmark portfolios, IPO firms outperform in the short term (one year) but underperform in the medium- and long-term investment horizons (three to five years). The authors conduct three subsample analyses to examine the association between differences in valuation multiples (E/P, EBITDA/EV, and P/S) and long-term returns. The findings are consistent with the general consensus of superior returns from value investments: IPOs with above-median earnings ratio (E/P and EBITDA/EV) and below-median P/S exhibit higher cumulative average return (CAR) than IPOs with below-median earnings ratio and above-median P/S.


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