scholarly journals Stock Price Prediction

2019 ◽  
Vol 9 (2S) ◽  
pp. 425-429
Keyword(s):  
Machine Learning ◽  
Stock Prices ◽  
Stock Price ◽  
Learning Algorithms ◽  
Machine Learning Algorithms ◽  
Company Stock ◽  
Stock Price Prediction ◽  
Price Prediction ◽  
Technical And Fundamental Analysis ◽  
Future Value

Stock trading is a very crucial activity in the world of Finance and is a supporting structure for many companies. Predicting the future value of a stock is the main goal of stock price prediction project. In this paper, we have used machine learning algorithms to predict future stock prices of a company. Stock prediction by the stock brokers is mainly done using the time series or the technical and fundamental analysis but as these techniques are very unreliable and limited, we propose making use of intelligent techniques such as machine learning. Python is a programming language which can be used to implement machine learning algorithms with its numerous inbuilt libraries. We propose an approach that uses machine learning algorithms and will be trained on the historical stock data that is available and gain intelligence, later it uses the knowledge acquired for predicting the stock prices accurately. Random Forest Regression is one of the machine learning technique that is used for stock price prediction for small and large capitalizations also in different markets employing both up-to-minute and daily frequencies.

scholarly journals Stock Price Prediction Using Convolutional Neural Networks on a Multivariate Time Series

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Sidra Mehtab ◽  
Jaydip Sen
Keyword(s):  
Machine Learning ◽  
Deep Learning ◽  
Stock Prices ◽  
Stock Price ◽  
Regression Models ◽  
Research Work ◽  
Hybrid Approach ◽  
Forecast Horizon ◽  
Stock Price Prediction ◽  
Price Prediction

Prediction of future movement of stock prices has been a subject matter of many research work. On one hand, we have proponents of the Efficient Market Hypothesis who claim that stock prices cannot be predicted, on the other hand, there are propositions illustrating that, if appropriately modelled, stock prices can be predicted with a high level of accuracy. There is also a gamut of literature on technical analysis of stock prices where the objective is to identify patterns in stock price movements and profit from it. In this work, we propose a hybrid approach for stock price prediction using machine learning and deep learning-based methods. We select the NIFTY 50 index values of the National Stock Exchange (NSE) of India, over a period of four years: 2015 – 2018. Based on the NIFTY data during 2015 – 2018, we build various predictive models using machine learning approaches, and then use those models to predict the “Close” value of NIFTY 50 for the year 2019, with a forecast horizon of one week, i.e., five days. For predicting the NIFTY index movement patterns, we use a number of classification methods, while for forecasting the actual “Close” values of NIFTY index, various regression models are built. We, then, augment our predictive power of the models by building a deep learning-based regression model using Convolutional Neural Network (CNN) with a walk-forward validation. The CNN model is fine-tuned for its parameters so that the validation loss stabilizes with increasing number of iterations, and the training and validation accuracies converge. We exploit the power of CNN in forecasting the future NIFTY index values using three approaches which differ in number of variables used in forecasting, number of sub-models used in the overall models and, size of the input data for training the models. Extensive results are presented on various metrics for all classification and regression models. The results clearly indicate that CNN-based multivariate forecasting model is the most effective and accurate in predicting the movement of NIFTY index values with a weekly forecast horizon.

scholarly journals Stock Price Prediction Using Machine Learning and LSTM-Based Deep Learning Models

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jaydip Sen ◽  
Sidra Mehtab ◽  
Abhishek Dutta
Keyword(s):  
Machine Learning ◽  
Deep Learning ◽  
Stock Prices ◽  
Stock Price ◽  
Regression Models ◽  
Short Term Memory ◽  
Efficient Market Hypothesis ◽  
Training Data ◽  
Stock Price Prediction ◽  
Price Prediction

Prediction of stock prices has been an important area of research for a long time. While supporters of the <i>efficient market hypothesis</i> believe that it is impossible to predict stock prices accurately, there are formal propositions demonstrating that accurate modeling and designing of appropriate variables may lead to models using which stock prices and stock price movement patterns can be very accurately predicted. Researchers have also worked on technical analysis of stocks with a goal of identifying patterns in the stock price movements using advanced data mining techniques. In this work, we propose an approach of hybrid modeling for stock price prediction building different machine learning and deep learning-based models. For the purpose of our study, we have used NIFTY 50 index values of the National Stock Exchange (NSE) of India, during the period December 29, 2014 till July 31, 2020. We have built eight regression models using the training data that consisted of NIFTY 50 index records from December 29, 2014 till December 28, 2018. Using these regression models, we predicted the <i>open</i> values of NIFTY 50 for the period December 31, 2018 till July 31, 2020. We, then, augment the predictive power of our forecasting framework by building four deep learning-based regression models using long-and short-term memory (LSTM) networks with a novel approach of walk-forward validation. Using the grid-searching technique, the hyperparameters of the LSTM models are optimized so that it is ensured that validation losses stabilize with the increasing number of epochs, and the convergence of the validation accuracy is achieved. We exploit the power of LSTM regression models in forecasting the future NIFTY 50 <i>open</i> values using four different models that differ in their architecture and in the structure of their input data. Extensive results are presented on various metrics for all the regression models. The results clearly indicate that the LSTM-based univariate model that uses one-week prior data as input for predicting the next week's <i>open</i> value of the NIFTY 50 time series is the most accurate model.

scholarly journals Failure in Stock Price Prediction: A Comparison bettwen the Curve-Shape-Feature and Non-Curve-Shape-Feature Modes of Existing Machine Learning Algorithms

2021 ◽  
Vol 16 (6) ◽  
Author(s):  
Ping Zhang ◽  
Jia-Yao Yang ◽  
Hao Zhu ◽  
Yue-Jie Hou ◽  
Yi Liu ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Machine Learning ◽  
Time Series ◽  
Stock Price ◽  
Financial Time Series ◽  
Learning Algorithms ◽  
Shape Feature ◽  
Curve Shape ◽  
Stock Price Prediction ◽  
Price Prediction ◽  
Financial Time

In the era of artificial intelligence, machine learning methods are successfully used in various fields. Machine learning has attracted extensive attention from investors in the financial market, especially in stock price prediction. However, one argument for the machine learning methods used in stock price prediction is that they are black-box models which are difficult to interpret. In this paper, we focus on the future stock price prediction with the historical stock price by machine learning and deep learning methods, such as support vector machine (SVM), random forest (RF), Bayesian classifier (BC), decision tree (DT), multilayer perceptron (MLP), convolutional neural network (CNN), bi-directional long-short term memory (BiLSTM), the embedded CNN, and the embedded BiLSTM. Firstly, we manually design several financial time series where the future price correlates with the historical stock prices in pre-designed modes, namely the curve-shape-feature (CSF) and the non-curve-shape-feature (NCSF) modes. In the CSF mode, the future prices can be extracted from the curve shapes of the historical stock prices. Conversely, in the NCSF mode, they can’t. Secondly, we apply various algorithms to those pre-designed and real financial time series. We find that the existing machine learning and deep learning algorithms fail in stock price prediction because in the real financial time series, less information of future prices is contained in the CSF mode, and perhaps more information is contained in the NCSF. Various machine learning and deep learning algorithms are good at handling the CSF in historical data, which are successfully applied in image recognition and natural language processing. However, they are inappropriate for stock price prediction on account of the NCSF. Therefore, accurate stock price prediction is the key to successful investment, and new machine learning algorithms handling the NCSF series are needed.

scholarly journals Stock Price Prediction Using Machine Learning

2021 ◽  
pp. 386-389
Author(s):  
Warade Kalyani Gopal ◽  
Jawale Mamta Pandurang ◽  
Tayade Pratiksha Devaram ◽  
Dr. Dinesh D. Patil
Keyword(s):  
Machine Learning ◽  
Stock Market ◽  
Stock Prices ◽  
Stock Price ◽  
Mathematical Functions ◽  
Stock Market Prediction ◽  
Stock Price Prediction ◽  
Future Value ◽  
A Company ◽  
Stock Values

In Stock Market Prediction, the aim is to predict for future value of the financial stocks of a company. The recent trend in stock market prediction technologies is the use of machine learning which makes predictions based on the values of current stock market by training on their previous values. Machine learning itself employs different models to make prediction easier. The paper focuses on Regression and LSTM based Machine learning to predict stock values. Factors considered are open, close, low, high and volume. In order to predict market movement, the stock prices and stock indicators in addition to the news related to these stocks. Most of the previous work in this industry focused on either classifying the released market news and demonstrating their effect on the stock price or focused on the historical price movement and predicted their future movement. In this work, we propose an automated trading system that integrates mathematical functions, machine learning, and other external factors such as news’ sentiments for the purpose of a better stock prediction accuracy and issuing profitable trades. The aim to determine the price of a certain stock for the coming end-of-day considering the first several trading hours of the day.

scholarly journals S&P 500 Stock Price Prediction Using Technical, Fundamental and Text Data

2021 ◽  
Vol 9 (4) ◽  
pp. 769-788
Author(s):  
Shan Zhong ◽  
David Hitchcock
Keyword(s):  
Machine Learning ◽  
Stock Prices ◽  
Stock Price ◽  
Language Models ◽  
News Item ◽  
Learning Models ◽  
Stock Price Prediction ◽  
Price Prediction ◽  
Using Data ◽  
Machine Learning Models

We summarized both common and novel predictive models used for stock price prediction and combined them with technical indices, fundamental characteristics and text-based sentiment data to predict S&P stock prices. A 66.18% accuracy in S&P 500 index directional prediction and 62.09% accuracy in individual stock directional prediction was achieved by combining different machine learning models such as Random Forest and LSTM together into state-of-the-art ensemble models. The data we use contains weekly historical prices, finance reports, and text information from news items associated with 518 different common stocks issued by current and former S&P 500 large-cap companies, from January 1, 2000 to December 31, 2019. Our study's innovation includes utilizing deep language models to categorize and infer financial news item sentiment; fusing different models containing different combinations of variables and stocks to jointly make predictions; and overcoming the insufficient data problem for machine learning models in time series by using data across different stocks.

scholarly journals Stock Price Prediction Using Convolutional Neural Networks on a Multivariate Time Series

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Sidra Mehtab ◽  
Jaydip Sen
Keyword(s):  
Machine Learning ◽  
Deep Learning ◽  
Stock Prices ◽  
Stock Price ◽  
Regression Models ◽  
Research Work ◽  
Hybrid Approach ◽  
Forecast Horizon ◽  
Stock Price Prediction ◽  
Price Prediction

Prediction of future movement of stock prices has been a subject matter of many research work. On one hand, we have proponents of the Efficient Market Hypothesis who claim that stock prices cannot be predicted, on the other hand, there are propositions illustrating that, if appropriately modelled, stock prices can be predicted with a high level of accuracy. There is also a gamut of literature on technical analysis of stock prices where the objective is to identify patterns in stock price movements and profit from it. In this work, we propose a hybrid approach for stock price prediction using machine learning and deep learning-based methods. We select the NIFTY 50 index values of the National Stock Exchange (NSE) of India, over a period of four years: 2015 – 2018. Based on the NIFTY data during 2015 – 2018, we build various predictive models using machine learning approaches, and then use those models to predict the “Close” value of NIFTY 50 for the year 2019, with a forecast horizon of one week, i.e., five days. For predicting the NIFTY index movement patterns, we use a number of classification methods, while for forecasting the actual “Close” values of NIFTY index, various regression models are built. We, then, augment our predictive power of the models by building a deep learning-based regression model using Convolutional Neural Network (CNN) with a walk-forward validation. The CNN model is fine-tuned for its parameters so that the validation loss stabilizes with increasing number of iterations, and the training and validation accuracies converge. We exploit the power of CNN in forecasting the future NIFTY index values using three approaches which differ in number of variables used in forecasting, number of sub-models used in the overall models and, size of the input data for training the models. Extensive results are presented on various metrics for all classification and regression models. The results clearly indicate that CNN-based multivariate forecasting model is the most effective and accurate in predicting the movement of NIFTY index values with a weekly forecast horizon.

scholarly journals A SURVEY ON STOCK PRICE PREDICTION USING MACHINE LEARNING

2021 ◽  
Vol 5 (11) ◽  
Author(s):  
Manavi Mishra ◽  
Manjushree Patil ◽  
Geetanjali Raut ◽  
Tushar Chaudhari
Keyword(s):  
Machine Learning ◽  
Stock Returns ◽  
Stock Prices ◽  
Stock Price ◽  
Machine Learning Techniques ◽  
Annual Income ◽  
Stock Price Prediction ◽  
Price Prediction ◽  
Financial News ◽  
Stock Investments

Stock returns are very fluctuating in nature. They rely upon various factors like previous stock prices, current market trends, financial news, etc. To feature their annual income, people have now started watching stock investments as a remunerative option. There are many tools available to investors using technical analysis to form decisions. With expert guidance and intelligent planning, we will almost double our annual income through stock returns. These days, social media has become a mirror. It reflects people’s thoughts and opinions on any particular event or news. Sentiments of the general public associated with an organization can have an upshot on its stock prices. This paper surveys various machine learning techniques and algorithms employed to boost the accuracy of stock price prediction.

scholarly journals Machine Learning Approaches in Stock Price Prediction: A Systematic Review

2022 ◽  
Vol 2161 (1) ◽  
pp. 012065
Author(s):  
Payal Soni ◽  
Yogya Tewari ◽  
Deepa Krishnan
Keyword(s):  
Machine Learning ◽  
Stock Prices ◽  
Stock Price ◽  
Machine Learning Algorithms ◽  
Learning Approaches ◽  
Share Prices ◽  
Stock Price Prediction ◽  
Combined Application ◽  
The Future

Abstract Prediction of stock prices is one of the most researched topics and gathers interest from academia and the industry alike. With the emergence of Artificial Intelligence, various algorithms have been employed in order to predict the equity market movement. The combined application of statistics and machine learning algorithms have been designed either for predicting the opening price of the stock the very next day or understanding the long term market in the future. This paper explores the different techniques that are used in the prediction of share prices from traditional machine learning and deep learning methods to neural networks and graph-based approaches. It draws a detailed analysis of the techniques employed in predicting the stock prices as well as explores the challenges entailed along with the future scope of work in the domain.

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