scholarly journals Commuter Train Mode Choice Modelling Using Binary Logit Model

2019 ◽  
Vol 6 (1) ◽  
pp. 1
Author(s):  
Ryan Septiady Nugraha

Car production in Malaysia increasing dramatically. This situation created serious impact such as pollution and congestion. The Malaysian government should find a proper solution to prevent the vehicles growth by controlling them and improve public transportation services. The only way to get people to switch to public transportation is by improving the public transport system becomes more efficient. To find out the solution, an understanding of traveler behavior by applying to mode choice model using binary logit approach is necessary. Stated preferences method was adopted in order to construct hypothetical choice in current and future situations. A total of 250 respondents were selected as the sample based on the research study. This research employed a discrete choice analysis to examine the relationship between the independent variables (travel time, fares, comfort and safety). With variation of trip purpose (school, work, leisure activity, and shopping), model has been developed and tested to check the validity. The result shows that the potential of new train services to compete with the current commuter (KTM) and private car user are quite competitive. This is no doubt due to the characteristics of the respondent to choose a good level of services especially a better comfortability and safety with an affordable price (fares). It can be concluded that scenario 2 has great potential to be implemented since forecasting demand reached above 90%.

2019 ◽  
Vol 10 (2) ◽  
pp. 112-126
Author(s):  
Muhammad Ryan Septiady Nugraha

Car production in Malaysia is increase dramatically. This situation created serious impact such as pollution and congestion. The Malaysian government should find a proper solution to prevent the vehicles growth by controlling them and improve public transportation services. The only way to get people switch to pubic transportation is by improving the public transport system becomes more efficient. To find out the solution, an understanding of traveller behavior by apply mode choice model using binary logit approach is necessary. Stated preferences method was adopted in order to construct hypothetical choice in current and future situations. A total of 250 respondents were selected as the sample based on the research study. This research employed a discrete choice analysis to examine the relationship between the independent variables (travel time, fares, comfort and safety). With variation of trip purpose (school, work, leisure activity, and shopping), model has been developed and tested to check the validity. The result shows that the potential of new train services to compete with the current commuter (KTM) and private car user are quite competitive. This is no doubt due to the characteristics of the respondent to choose a good level of services especially a better comfortability and safety with an affordable price (fares). It can be concluded that scenario 2 has great potential to be implemented since forecasting demand reached above 90%.


2018 ◽  
Vol 181 ◽  
pp. 02007
Author(s):  
Resdiansyah

One aspect of Kuching City that has not progressed in tandem with the rest of the city is the public transport system, which is relatively old and almost non-existent. Transport and City planners seem to be at their wit’s end in coming up with satisfactory solutions to Kuching’s public transportation woes. In current situation, many proposals, but none have proven workable. As a result, representative buses remain a rare sight on Kuching city’s roads. To achieve a sustainable public transport industry, the old buses need to be regenerated and replaced with modern buses. The objectives of the intended study are to explore the consumer’s travel behaviour by employing mode choice modelling. Consequently, a study was conducted in Kuching City Area by using stated preference technique, analysed and compiled by using SPSS.17 multiple linear regressions analysis. In this context, discrete choice analysis was used to examine the relationship between independent variables (travel time, waiting time, fares and comfort) and dependent variables (choice of respondent whether to consume old bus or choose new bus services). A total of 2000 respondents were interviewed. The findings showed that for the trips purpose, fares and comfortability were the primary factors that reflected the decision or behaviour of the respondents asked. It was discovered that there is a significant relationship between the choice of the respondents and comfortability. It also appeared that longer travel time did not affect for the traveler’s choice at this stage. Hence, the study suggests that the local authority and the bus operators should establish a “quality partnership” and working together in order to come out with a much better and appropriate transport policy and schemes for the existing public transportation systems, especially bus services.


Transport ◽  
2015 ◽  
Vol 30 (3) ◽  
pp. 286-293 ◽  
Author(s):  
Ashu Shivkumar Kedia ◽  
Krishna Bhuneshwar Saw ◽  
Bhimaji Krishnaji Katti

Urban population in India has increased significantly from 62 million in 1951 to 378 million in 2011 in six decades. It is estimated to reach 540 million by the year 2021. This reflects on likely pressure on urban transportation system. The situation necessarily calls plans for balanced personal and public transport system. Mandatory trips bear more importance in this regard owing to their higher share in urban trips. Mode share and their choice behaviour in estimation of such trips play vital role in analysing and boosting sustainable transportation. Logit modelling approach is the conventional method generally adopted for analysing mode choice behaviour, which is based on the principle of random utility maximization derived from econometric theory. However, such models cannot address uncertainity prevailing in the choice decisions. On the contrary, fuzzy logic bypasses the binary crisp derivations of the inputs and accepts multivalued inputs in linguistic expressions, which make possible to resemble the human behaviour closely. Therefore, the attempt here is to develop fuzzy logic based mode choice model for education trips, which constitutes a good share in mandatory trips by covering various income groups of Indian society.


2018 ◽  
Vol 181 ◽  
pp. 03001
Author(s):  
Dwi Novi Wulansari ◽  
Milla Dwi Astari

Jakarta Light Rail Transit (Jakarta LRT) has been planned to be built as one of mass rail-based public transportation system in DKI Jakarta. The objective of this paper is to obtain a mode choice models that can explain the probability of choosing Jakarta LRT, and to estimate the sensitivity of mode choice if the attribute changes. Analysis of the research conducted by using discrete choice models approach to the behavior of individuals. Choice modes were observed between 1) Jakarta LRT and TransJakarta Bus, 2) Jakarta LRT and KRL-Commuter Jabodetabek. Mode choice model used is the Binomial Logit Model. The research data obtained through Stated Preference (SP) techniques. The model using the attribute influences such as tariff, travel time, headway and walking time. The models obtained are reliable and validated. Based on the results of the analysis shows that the most sensitive attributes affect the mode choice model is the tariff.


Author(s):  
Muhammad Awais Shafique ◽  
Eiji Hato

Mode choice models have been used widely to forecast the relative probabilities of using available travel modes. These depend on mode-related and traveler-related characteristics. On the other hand, smartphones are increasingly being used to collect sensors’ data relating to trips made after selection of a suitable mode. Such sensors’ data may be correlated with decision-making process of travelers regarding travel mode selection. Discrete Choice Modelling is used to simulate this decision-making process by computing utilities of various travel alternatives, and then calculating their respective probabilities of being selected. In this paper, multinomial logit (MNL) mode choice model is utilized to enhance the prediction capacity of supervised learning algorithm i.e. Weighted Random Forest. To make the procedure less energy-intensive, GPS data was used only to locate the origin and destination of any trip, to be incorporated in mode choice model. Afterwards only accelerometer data was utilized in feature selection for the learning algorithm. One tenth of the classified data was used to train the algorithm whereas rest was used to test it. Results suggested that with incorporation of MNL, the overall prediction accuracy of learning algorithm was increased from 93.75% to 99.08%.


Author(s):  
Sreeparvathy C M

Mode choice model is one of the crucial steps in the process for Transportation demand modelling. It fore-tell the share of trips attracted to public transportation. Mode choice models compacts very closely with the human choice making behaviour and this continues to attract researchers for further exploration of individual choice making process. The objective of this paper is to observe keenly on the challenges that a modeller will face in Indian scenario. A variety of models are available for prediction. But with the close review it is observed that all these models work either at aggregate level or disaggregate level which works on certain assumptions. This is definitely not going to reflect the actual mode choice behaviour. The particular characters that makes a difference from the world scenario discussed in this paper are diversity in decision making of individual, diversity in socio-economic characteristics, pride and prejudices in mindset that affect the false representation of data, concept of ridesharing and the inhibition in acceptance of the same, travel distance and mode availability in urban and rural scenario. It can be concluded that selecting a model that depict the true nature of commuter is a challenging process. The well-known models available can be trained and calibrated to suit to the need of Indian scenario. Use of machine learning and data mining could be a very useful tool in this model building as all the required changes can be incorporated efficiently


Author(s):  
Indra Markeshwan Zagoto ◽  
Charles Sitindaon ◽  
Oloan Sitohang

The objective of this research is to construct a user mode choice model between BRT Mebidang and Sri Lelawangsa railway line, and further to test the sensitivity of trip user choice toward certain change in attributes value. Data were collected using stated preference survey, and analysed using logit biner model. Based on user responses, it was found that 50.96% trip purpose is related to family/social matter, while the main reason to travel using both modes is convenience. The tility function of Mebidang bus is given as follow: UBM-KA = 7.256 - 0.565X1 - 0.031X2 + 0.101X3 - 0.071X4 + 0.088X5 where X1 is cost, X2 is time, X3 is headway, X4 is accesstime, dan X5 is service quality. The model shows that cost, time, and access time negatively affect Mebidang bus utility thus will lower the probability of user choosing bus over rail. In terms of sensitivity, access time and service quality are considered more sensitive in affecting the probability of choosing bus.


2020 ◽  
Vol 32 (2) ◽  
pp. 219-228
Author(s):  
Xin Hong ◽  
Lingyun Meng ◽  
Jian An

Travel physical energy expenditure for travellers has impact on travel mode choice behaviour. However, quantitative study on travel physical energy expenditure is rare. In this paper, the concept of travel physical energy expenditure coefficient has been presented. A case study has been carried out of young travellers in Beijing to get the value of physical energy expenditure per unit time under three transport modes, walking, car and public transportation. A series of experiments have been designed and conducted, which consider influence factors including age, gender, travel mode, riding posture, luggage level and crowded level. By analysing the travel data of money, travel time and physical energy expenditure, we determined that the value of travel physical energy expenditure coefficient δ is 0.058 RMB/KJ, which means that travellers can pay 0.058 RMB to reduce 1 KJ physical energy expenditure. Next, a travel mode choice model has been proposed using a multinomial logit model (MNL), considering economic cost, time cost and physical energy cost. Finally, the case study based on OD from Xizhimen to Tiantongyuan in Beijing was conducted. It is verified that it will be in better agreement with the actual travel behaviour when we take the physical energy expenditure for different types of travellers into account.


Sign in / Sign up

Export Citation Format

Share Document